VoteCastr Early Vote Estimate: Colorado Looking Very, Very Tight

[Free Vulcan]

This post has been updated with new data since it was originally published.

Slate’s VoteCastr project—which will provide real-time estimates of turnout in seven swing states on Election Day—will launch in earnest later this morning. But with early voting now over, VoteCastr has enough info to make its first estimates of where things stand in Colorado, a state where the vast majority of ballots are cast by mail (and where VoteCastr won’t have poll trackers in the field).

Based on the 1.66 million early votes VoteCastr has run through its model, Clinton leads Trump by 2.7 points, 46.3 percent to 43.6 percent. VoteCastr expects a total of 2.815 million total votes will be cast in the state by the end of the day, meaning the early votes we have so far represent 58.8 percent of the total expected vote. I want to be clear: VoteCastr isn’t predicting that Hillary Clinton will win Colorado, only that she currently has a higher projected share of known ballots cast than Donald Trump...




Read more at: http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/11/08/votecastr_early_vote_estimate_colorado_looking_very_very_tight.html

[InHeavenThereIsNoBeer]

It's not even close once you add those 166,000 "other" votes to Clinton.  After all any vote that's not for Trump goes to the witch, right?