Rasmussen Election 2016 Poll: Utah President: Trump 42%, Clinton 31%, McMullin 21%

[SirLinksALot]

SOURCE: RASMUSSEN REPORTS

URL: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/utah/election_2016_utah_president


Thursday, November 03, 2016

Utah appears to have moved safely into Republican Donald Trump’s column with less than a week to go until Election Day.

A new Heat Street/Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of Likely Utah Voters finds Trump with 42% support to Democrat Hillary Clinton’s 31%. Republican-turned-Independent candidate Evan McMullin has faded to 21%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earns three percent (3%) of the vote. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Last week, it was Trump 32%, McMullin 29%, Clinton 28%. The week before that, Trump held a negligible 30% lead over McMullin (29%) and Clinton (28%).

But as in other parts of the country, Utah Republicans appear to be coming home to Trump as his race with Clinton tightens following the announcement that the FBI has reopened its investigation of her mishandling of classified documents. GOP vice presidential nominee Mike Pence visited Utah last week, and popular Republican Rep. Jason Chaffetz has announced publicly he is backing Trump after all.

A week ago, it was Trump 47%, McMullin 38% among GOP voters in Utah. The latest survey finds Trump ahead 63% to 27% among Republican voters. Utah hasn’t supported a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964, but an upset win by McMullin, a former Republican congressional staffer who says he is the real conservative in the race, could cost Trump much needed electoral votes in a close national contest.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of all Utah voters thought Clinton would win the election in the previous survey. Now 51% feel that way. Thirty-four percent (34%) say Trump will win, while 15% are undecided. Republican voters in the state by a 49% to 34% margin now believe Trump will be the winner.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Utah was conducted on October 29-31, 2016 by HeatStreet/Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

[aligncare]

 

Would you like that McMuffin toasted, Sir?

[geronl]

The 3rd party, independent vote is going to be much higher than normal. In a lot of states.

[Frank Cannon]

McMuffin is done. Just this week there was a rally in UT with every #NeverTrump GOP pol saying they changed their minds and argued to rally around Donny. That's pretty much going to kill any momentum he thought he had running against the two major parties.

[TomSea]

Would you like that McMuffin toasted, Sir?

Cool.

[jmyrlefuller]

And yet Rasmussen has never polled Utah before and all the other polls have McMullin at about 30% there.

Gee, Rasmussen an outlier? Where've I noticed that one before...?

[montanajoe]

And yet Rasmussen has never polled Utah before and all the other polls have McMullin at about 30% there.

Gee, Rasmussen an outlier? Where've I noticed that one before...?

I worked out of Salt Lake City for more than 30 years and still go down on occasion. What is striking to me is that Trump is only at about 35-40%  and from talking to people I know down there he is not expected to do much better come Tuesday. Trump will probably win, but with half of the vote that would be expected in the most Republican state in the nation, the GOP candidate normally wins by a 40-45% margin. Only being to muster 40% total is amazing..