Shock Polls: Trump Surges to Lead in Virginia, Tied in Colorado

[SirLinksALot]

SOURCE: POLIZETTE

URL: http://www.lifezette.com/polizette/shock-polls-trump-surges-lead-virginia-tied-colorado/

by: Jim Stinson


Two shocking polls dropped on Wednesday show Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump may be finally on a path to an Electoral College victory.

Trump has been struggling to put together the final piece of the electoral puzzle in his presidential bid. In short, he needs 270 electoral votes, and taking the lead in some key swing states has remained elusive. But if the new polls are correct, at least two of those states are now firmly within Trump’s reach.

In Virginia, Trump has jumped from 34 percent to 44 percent. Clinton gets 41 percent, a 5-point drop in one month, according to Hampton University.


The Hampton poll was conducted from Oct. 26 to Oct. 30. The margin of error is plus-or-minus 4.58 percent.

The bad news for Clinton didn’t stop in the Old Dominion State.

The Denver Post reported that a University of Denver poll found Clinton and Trump are tied at 39 percent in a four-way race in Colorado, in a survey of likely voters conducted Saturday through Monday.

Virginia and Colorado have been particularly tough nuts for Trump to crack. To win the White House, it is generally agreed that Trump needs to hold solid GOP states and then win Ohio, Iowa, Florida, and North Carolina. After that, Trump needs a final combination of small- to medium-sized swing states — likely Nevada, Colorado, or Virginia — to cross the finish line.

It has all seemed a tall order. Then on Friday, the FBI informed Congress it would relaunch an investigation into Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s private email server. The server in question was used by Clinton from 2009 to 2013 to handle her emails as secretary of state. That is alleged to be, at least, a violation of the Federal Records Act.

Then more bombshell news broke Sunday: The FBI is also aggressively investigating the Clinton Foundation for corruption, a development sure to further hamstring her flagging campaign’s stumble to the finish line.

If Trump has Colorado and Virginia back in play, then Clinton’s “blue wall” strategy is crumbling. Trump could well be adding some more unexpected states before Tuesday, if the FBI news gets worse.

[SirLinksALot]

Virginia General Election

Likely voters

Early October

Donald Trump (R)   34%
Hillary Clinton (D)   46%

Late October

Donald Trump (R)   44%
Hillary Clinton (D)   41%

Source: Hampton University 11-2

[aligncare]

This is exactly how Ronald Reagan tracked against Carter. Came on strong at the very end.

[LMAO]

Judging by the Hillary supporters I know, it's no question this latest email issue is having an effect.

The shrillness amongst them has increased

[Frank Cannon]

Even with this Hampton poll with the high MOE, he is down over 3 points in VA.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/va/virginia_trump_vs_clinton-5542.html

The Denver U poll has Hitlary up 1 in that poll, not even. She is plus 2 in the RCP.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/co/colorado_trump_vs_clinton-5751.html

Bottom line is that Donny is still under water in the polls even after the news of the FBI broke.

[GAJohnnie]

Judging by the Hillary supporters I know, it's no question this latest email issue is having an effect.

The shrillness amongst them has increased

You can also tell from the shrill hysterics being posted by the fake Conservative #Never Trumpers that it is working.

[r9etb]

The Denver Post reported that a University of Denver poll found Clinton and Trump are tied at 39 percent in a four-way race in Colorado, in a survey of likely voters conducted Saturday through Monday.

Keep in mind that Colorado is using ONLY mail-in ballots for the 2016 election, and they were sent out last month.  There are no election-day polling stations.  So, in essence, Colorado is an early-voting-only state. 

What that means: You can't necessarily trust this poll, for the simple reason that any changes in the polls for Colorado are meaningful only to the extent that they sample among people who have not already mailed in their ballots.

According to the Denver Post, turnout to date is about 33% (defined as the percentage returned, of the total ballots mailed out).

[sinkspur]

This is exactly how Ronald Reagan tracked against Carter. Came on strong at the very end.

Silly.  Reagan surged at the end because he crushed Carter in the only debate, held ten days before the election.

Meanwhile, don't get your hopes up.  Trump will be the first Republican to lose college-educated whites in a generation:

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-11-03/clinton-s-growing-lead-with-college-educated-whites-could-doom-trump

[Frank Cannon]

This is exactly how Ronald Reagan tracked against Carter. Came on strong at the very end.

Reagan was ahead or competitive against Carter all through the summer and fall. If anything Carter tightened the race up until the debate. Once again you need to lie to convince yourself that Donny isn't on the cusp of losing to a criminal...