http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2016/11/01/the_polls_are_trending_trumpThe Polls Are Trending Trump
November 01, 2016
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RUSH: Let's go through the polling data that I mentioned. This is... Well, it's all interesting, and there are... It depends on how you look at these things, folks. I mean, I'm spotting trends. Other people are, too. Some people don't. It just... It's really hard to separate your desire, your prejudicial desire from static analysis of what's actually happening. But I can just tell you that where we are right now is not where anybody of expert status anywhere thought we would be.
But it is where a lot of people thought we would be. A lot of people on the Trump side -- a lot of people who are not part of the Republican or Democrat hierarchy in Washington -- always thought this was possible. And I can quote people from last fall who, before it was risky to make such a prediction, felt confident Trump could win this in a landslide back last fall. Now, I don't have those people saying that now.
But, I mean, the point is there have been all kinds of believers that Trump could win. You've had pessimists, too. I mean, you've had the Never Trump crowd beside themselves over any prospect of Trump winning. But I'm just telling you that where we are right now with the news and the way it's falling out and Donna Brazile being let go, and the New York Times exonerating Trump on Russia, and Obama not trying to savage Comey? This is not where anybody, particularly on the Clinton side, thought they would be.
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RUSH: Let's get to the actual polling data now. This is from the Politico. What have you heard about early voting? Let me ask you that before I get to this. I'm talking about specific early voting this year, what have you heard about it? Here's what you've heard. You've heard that the early voting is just skunking Trump. The early voting, the Democrat enthusiasm, why, it's not been seen anywhere near this throughout the campaign. Because it hasn't. There hasn't been any enthusiasm for Hillary. She can't draw crowds or any of that. But the early voting, the news is, oh, my God, the Democrats are dwarfing the Republicans in early voting. This is a phenomenon. And they're reporting it. The Drive-By Media is reporting it.
All over the country, Florida where we live, you wouldn't believe it, the stories day in and day out. The early voting, hardly any Republicans are voting at all in early voting, it's Democrats, and it's just, it's like nothing anybody's ever seen before. Well, Politico today: "Weak Early Voter Turnout Among African-Americans Hurts Clinton In Florida -- Black voters cast ballots in higher numbers in 2012 for Obama. Hillary Clinton has a black voter problem in the nation’s biggest battleground state.
"After the first full weekend of in-person early voting ended Sunday, African-American turnout failed to meet expectations -- or historic precedent -- leaving top Democrats and activists fuming or worried that Clinton’s campaign isn’t living up to the hype in Florida."
So they're admitting they have been hyping early voting, they have been hyping demographics of the early voting, particularly they've been talking about Democrat early voting and African-American and Hispanic and Latino early vote, it's off the charts, we've never seen anything like it, and now it's one week before, and it's time to start getting real. "The black vote is way underperforming compared to 2012." That is a quote from somebody named Smith. I've got the pull quote here. It's Dan Smith, University of Florida political science professor. Black vote way underperforming.
Yesterday we had Indiana in the Monmouth poll, Trump plus 11. Yeah, I know it's Indiana. Plus 11? Unheard of. Nobody expected that. Reuters: "Clinton holds five-point lead as FBI looks at more emails: Reuters/Ipsos poll -- Democrat Hillary Clinton held a five percentage point lead over Republican rival Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Monday, down only slightly since the FBI said last week it was reviewing new emails. ... Clinton had held a 6 point advantage over Trump in the five-day tracking poll last Thursday."
However, if you move over here to the ABC tracking poll: "Trump Leads Clinton by 1 Point in New Poll as Enthusiasm Declines." She was up 12 in this poll on October 23rd. Now Trump is up by one. Is that really what's happened here? Has Hillary lost 13 points in this poll? That's what they want us to believe.
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RUSH: Just a couple of internal notes here from the ABC poll. Trump now leads Clinton by eight points in the share of voters who are very enthusiastic about their choice as of Friday, but compared to past elections it's low for both, 53% for Trump, 45% for Clinton. Trump is still beating her eight points on enthusiasm. Strong enthusiasm for Clinton has lost seven points since the start of tracking, especially Friday through Sunday.
So October 23rd she was up by 12. Today Trump is up by one in the ABC tracking poll. And how does that happen? Do we actually believe somebody can lose that much in, what, seven, eight days, 12 points? Maybe so with this WikiLeaks and then the FBI, who knows. But my real thinking is the first number, the plus 12, was never right. I don't think Hillary's ever been plus 12 over anybody at any point in this campaign. I just don't believe it. I'm not suggesting the polling has been purposely wrong. I just don't believe it's been accurate in catching public sentiment, for whatever reason.
Now, this this. This just in from Zero Hedge. The 25th WikiLeaks release of hacked emails of John Podesta. A new one has been discovered. March 2nd, 2015. This is an exchange between Podesta and Clinton aide Cheryl Mills, and this email says: "On another matter, and not to sound like Lanny, but we're gonna have to dump all those emails." That's Podesta talking to Cheryl Mills.
Now, this email happens at the same time that the New York Times ran the story about Hillary Clinton using a personal email account and a private server in her basement at home instead of the State Department servers. Almost at the same time there's an email from Podesta to one of Hillary's aides that says, "We are gonna have to dump all those emails."
What emails is he talking about? The same day the New York Times reports she's got a private server. The point here is that this email might actually go to intent! Podesta telling a Hillary aide we're gonna have to dump all those emails on her server.
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