ABC/Washington Post Poll: Trump Leads Clinton by 1 Point in New Poll as Enthusiasm Declines

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SOURCE: ABC NEWS

URL: http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-leads-clinton-point-poll-enthusiasm-declines/story?id=43199459&cid=clicksource_4380645_1_hero_headlines_bsq_hed

by: Gary Langer


Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI’s email investigation.

While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she’s now a slim point behind Donald Trump -- a first since May -- in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.

Forty-six percent of likely voters support Trump in the latest results, with 45 percent for Clinton. Taking it to the decimal for illustrative purposes, a mere .7 of a percentage point divides them. Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent.

See PDF with full results here: http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1184a102016ElectionTrackingNo10.pdf

Trump now leads Clinton by 8 points in the share of voters who are very enthusiastic about their choice as of Friday. But, compared to past elections it’s low for both of them –- 53 percent for Trump, 45 percent for Clinton.



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Methodology

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 27-30, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,128 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 38-28-29 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

Q5a and Q5b were asked Oct. 28-30, among 388 and 397 Clinton and Trump supporters, respectively; they both have 5.5-point error margins.

The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York, N.Y. See details on the survey’s methodology here.