Monday, October 31, 2016
Hillary Clinton appears unbruised so far from the reopening of the FBI’s investigation of her and holds a slight lead as the final full week of the campaign begins.
The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey finds Clinton with 45% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Trump’s 42%. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson has five percent (5%) of the vote, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein earns two percent (2%). Another two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Clinton and Trump were tied with 45% each on Friday. They were within two points or less of each other nationally all last week in a survey with a +/- 2.5% margin of error.
Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am Eastern based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters. This survey is the first in which one of the nights follows FBI Director James Comey’s announcement on Friday that his agency is reopening the investigation of Clinton’s handling of classified information after the discovery of tens of thousands of previously unseen private e-mails.
In a survey less than two weeks ago but before the latest FBI announcement, 70% of voters said Clinton’s mishandling of classified information is important to their vote for president, and 53% disagreed with the FBI’s decision in July not to seek a criminal indictment against her.
In the latest survey, 86% of voters say they are now sure of how they will vote. Among these voters, it’s Clinton 49%, Trump 47%, Johnson three percent (3%) and Stein one percent (1%). Among voters who still could change their minds, it’s Clinton 40%, Trump 29%, Johnson 21% and Stein nine percent (9%).
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The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 26, 27 and 30, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct31