Rasmussen: White House Watch: Down to the Wire?

[mystery-ak]

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Dead even. With nearly one-in-10 voters still looking beyond the top four candidates or undecided and less than three weeks to go until Election Day.

Today’s Rasmussen Reports White House Watch telephone and online survey shows Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump each picking up 42% support among Likely U.S. Voters. Seven percent (7%) still prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while one percent (1%) opt for Green Party nominee Jill Stein. But three percent (3%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Yesterday, it was Clinton 42%, Trump 41%. Clinton edged back into a two-point lead at the beginning of the week after falling behind by two at the end of last week.

Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am Eastern based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters.

Trump’s performance in the second debate improved his fortunes after the release of a devastating 11-year-old video that showed him making graphic sexual comments about women. Clinton in turn has been battling revelations from WikiLeaks’ release of hundreds of internal campaign e-mails and is now facing new questions about her handling of classified information while secretary of State. The two major party candidates have their final debate tonight.

Eighty-four percent (84%) of voters are certain already how they will vote, and among these voters, Clinton and Trump are tied at 47% apiece. Among voters who could still change their minds between now and Election Day, it’s Clinton 35%, Trump 34%, Johnson 27% and Stein with four percent (4%).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 16-18, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct19

[Longmire]

Dead even...corresponds with the LA Times/USC poll. 

[Luis Gonzalez]

Rasmussen... October 19, 2012

This morning Rasmussen Reports' daily tracking poll — for the first time since the first debate — shows Obama is finally competitive again, polling 48% to Romney's 48%.

While the polling is still well within the margin of error, this is one of the first times in weeks that Obama can look at a poll and see some good news.

It's a FAR cry from Gallup, which has Romney up 7.

Coming from a historically conservative firm, too, could be perceived as good news for the campaign too.

Yesterday, Rasmussen had Romney topping Obama 49% to 47%, so this two point swing is, if anything, good news for a president in need of a sturdy swing in the poll momentum.

http://www.businessinsider.com/its-a-race-again-obama-tied-with-romney-in-rasmussen-daily-tracking-poll-2012-10

[ScottinVA]

No.. it won't be close.  Clinton now leads in Arizona, is tied with Trump in - of all places - Utah, and has closed the gap in Texas.  Once-reliable red states are now battlegrounds.

Hillary will win by a comfortable margin.  Nothing Trump says or does at tonight's debate will help his case.

[sinkspur]

Rasmussen.  This result is the reason Nate Silver has this overwhelmingly biased-toward-GOP poll at a C+.