Kelly Conway deserves a lot of credit for getting Trump competitive again and maybe pulling away.
I think the outreach to Blacks with the memorable line "what the hell do you have to lose" may not swing a large % of the Black vote his way, but I'm sure it resonated with the single white female vote and soccer moms because it showed "he cares". Also, his new maternity leave proposal is hitting that voter bloc.
Also, the under reported seriousness of hillary's collapse and the power of You Tube to get information out to the public has helped him a lot.
Right now I would bet he wins. If he handles the debates well and shows hillary to be the corrupt insider she is.