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Author Topic: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead  (Read 1701 times)

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Offline Just_Victor

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LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« on: September 15, 2016, 12:16:04 pm »
http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/

Who’s Winning? Daily track of Clinton and Trump’s support
By Armand Emamdjomeh and David Lauter | Sept 15, 2016

 Hillary Clinton 41.3%  Donald Trump 47.2%

more

« Last Edit: September 15, 2016, 12:16:41 pm by Just_Victor »
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Offline Longmire

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2016, 01:06:27 pm »
Would love to see Trump break 50% on this poll.
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Offline sinkspur

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2016, 01:08:05 pm »
Outlier.
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Offline Just_Victor

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2016, 01:26:05 pm »
Quote from: sinkspur on September 15, 2016, 01:08:05 pm
Outlier.

The poll carries a 7 day rolling average. We are approaching the 7 day mark since Hillary's health issues broke into the MSM.  In my mind that is what this poll reflects.  Whether it sticks or not remains to be seen.
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Offline cato potatoe

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2016, 04:42:29 pm »
Did this outfit poll any prior elections?  If not, then the trends are useful ... the bottom line not so much.
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Offline LonestarDream

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2016, 05:22:11 pm »
Me too. The trend is good. +3 +5 and now +6. 

2000 LV makes this poll one of the better ones.

Quote from: Longmire on September 15, 2016, 01:06:27 pm
Would love to see Trump break 50% on this poll.
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Offline Longmire

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2016, 11:41:33 pm »
Quote from: LonestarDream on September 15, 2016, 05:22:11 pm
The trend is good. +3 +5 and now +6. 

2000 LV makes this poll one of the better ones.

I consider it predictive...it certainly predicted the rise of Trump.

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Offline sinkspur

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2016, 11:51:06 pm »
Quote from: LonestarDream on September 15, 2016, 05:22:11 pm
Me too. The trend is good. +3 +5 and now +6. 

2000 LV makes this poll one of the better ones.

Not really.  It polls the same people, every day.  That means volatility, and is just as likely to reverse itself next month.
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Offline LMAO

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #8 on: September 15, 2016, 11:51:41 pm »
Quote from: Just_Victor on September 15, 2016, 01:26:05 pm
The poll carries a 7 day rolling average. We are approaching the 7 day mark since Hillary's health issues broke into the MSM.  In my mind that is what this poll reflects.  Whether it sticks or not remains to be seen.

Not just the health issue. It's also people believing the media and Hillary herself are lying about the extent of her health issues
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Offline sinkspur

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #9 on: September 15, 2016, 11:51:55 pm »
Quote from: Longmire on September 15, 2016, 11:41:33 pm
I consider it predictive...it certainly predicted the rise of Trump.

You would.  Polls are snapshots, not "predictive."
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Offline Longmire

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #10 on: September 16, 2016, 01:05:10 am »
  It polls the same people, every day. 

False. It polls a weighted subset of a larger group and they're not the same ones every day.  :nono:

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Offline Longmire

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #11 on: September 16, 2016, 01:09:00 am »
Quote from: sinkspur on September 15, 2016, 11:51:55 pm
You would.  Polls are snapshots, not "predictive."

Your non-understanding of this poll's methodology is understandable.

Not every knife is a Ginsu  :laugh:
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Offline unknown

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Re: LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll: Trump with 6 point lead
« Reply #12 on: September 16, 2016, 02:09:45 am »

 :beer:
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I won't be here after the election and vote.

If Hillary wins - I will be busy, BLOAT! (It won't be long before she won't let you buy.)

If Trump wins, I won't be here to GLOAT. (I don't want to hang around while everyone looks at every speck in his eye.)
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