Polling mania: Why are many pundits still convinced that Trump can't win?
By Howard Kurtz Published September 06, 2016
The presidential race is tightening, according to the polls that journalists swear by.
But much of the coverage still portrays Donald Trump as a long shot and Hillary Clinton as a virtual shoo-in.
What’s up with that?
A giant caveat: those of us in the news business are way too addicted to polls. We treat every 2-point, margin-of-error swing in a swing state as a tremor, if not an earthquake. It’s early September, we haven’t had the debates yet, and too many of us are impersonating Karnak the Magnificent.
When Clinton jumped out to as much as a 12-point lead after the Democratic convention, many pundits were convinced, privately if not publicly, that Trump was toast. But it was fairly obvious that the race would tighten, as races tend to do, and Hillary has been slipping, especially in the wake of new revelations about her email and family foundation.
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http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/09/06/polling-mania-why-are-many-pundits-still-convinced-that-trump-cant-win.html
