Rasmussen: Is There Silent Trump Support That Pollsters Are Missing?

[mystery-ak]

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Some have suggested that Donald Trump has hidden support among voters who are unwilling to say publicly where they stand because they’re fearful of criticism. We won’t know for sure until Election Day, but Republicans are clearly more reluctant than Democrats this year to say how they are going to vote.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 17% of Likely Republican Voters are less likely this year to let others know how they intend to vote compared to previous presidential campaigns. Just 10% of Likely Democratic Voters say they are less likely to tell.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 25% say they are less likely this year to say publicly which presidential candidate they will vote. Unaffiliateds have leaned in Trump’s direction in recent weeks in our White House Watch survey but also have been the biggest supporters of Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson.

more
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/is_there_silent_trump_support_that_pollsters_are_missing

[sinkspur]

So a pollster takes a poll with people who refuse to be polled? 

Folks, the SAME THING was said during the primaries, that there was some hidden Trump support somewhere who refused to answer a poll for fear of derision.

If anything, Trump underperformed his polls, though every poll correctly predicted the outcome of the GOP primaries.  In other words, people who said they were going to vote for Trump didn't.

[starstruck]

So a pollster takes a poll with people who refuse to be polled? 

Folks, the SAME THING was said during the primaries, that there was some hidden Trump support somewhere who refused to answer a poll for fear of derision.

If anything, Trump underperformed his polls, though every poll correctly predicted the outcome of the GOP primaries.  In other words, people who said they were going to vote for Trump didn't.

If they polled likely voters, maybe the issue of not answering the poll was the embarrassment of telling somebody they wouldn't be voting this year.