Six months is a ways away, but do you think things are going to change much between now and then??
I won't make predictions on what might happen between now and November, but I will point out that unforeseen events have changed the course of elections in the past.
And also, remember the old fable (which I'll paraphrase here):
Once there was a man who had offended a great king. The king had the man dragged before him and declared that the man would be put to death. Upon hearing this, the man fell to his knees and begged, "Oh great king, please have mercy upon me, and in return within a year I will teach your favorite horse to sing!"
The king's court laughed at the man, and the king himself was doubtful, but the man implored him again, "Let me but live as a prisoner in your stable for one year, and you will see that at the end of that time your favorite horse will be able to sing!" And so he finally convinced the king to grant this mercy, that his execution would be delayed a year, and if indeed at the end of the year the horse could sing then the man would be freed.
The next day the man was in the stables trying to teach the king's horse to sing, but the horse seemed more interested in his oats and hay. The stablehands watching his efforts laughed at the man, and said, "What have you accomplished with your foolish promise? You are bound to fail, and at the end of the year the king will probably have you tortured before you are killed, for your mockery of him!"
The man shook his head and said, "I have already accomplished much! For one thing, I have delayed my execution at least a year, which is no small thing. And in that year, many things might happen! The king might have mercy and release me, or I might die from some other cause. The king himself might die, or perhaps be overthrown, and his successor might then release me."
The man then smiled, and said, "And who knows, perhaps in a year, the horse will have learned to sing!"
