Can Donald Trump really win against Hillary Clinton? That's what a lot of people are asking right now right?
Let's take a look at the numbers thus far and see where we are.
The following are completed vote totals as tallied by
www.realclearpolitics.com so they are easily accessable by anyone wishing to discuss the math...
Democrat vote totals to date: 21,741,148
For Hillary: 12,438,491
For Sanders: 9,302,657
43% of democrat voters do not want Hillary. Hold on to that thought for a moment...
GOP vote totals to date: 25,130,818
For Trump: 10,647,150
For Cruz, Rubio or Kasich: 14,483,668
58% of gop voters do not want Trump. Again, hold on to that thought for a moment...
Swing States:
Florida Democrat Votes: 1,664,003
Florida GOP Votes: 2,276,926
Advantage-GOP (The "if" comes later)
North Carolina Democrat Votes: 1,076,699
North Carolina GOP Votes: 1,108,778
Advantage-To close to call (The "if" comes later)
Virginia Democrat Votes: 778,865
Virginia GOP Votes: 952,714
Advantage-GOP (The "if" comes later)
Ohio Democrat Votes: 1,192,815
Ohio GOP Votes: 2,011,357
Advantage-GOP (Here comes the "if")
By running the numbers it appears on the surface the the GOP candidate would have a clear advantage and perhaps run the swing states for the first time in a long time. However, a few things must be considered on both political platforms.
For the Democrats, nearly half of all Democrat voters have pulled the lever for Sanders. Will they fall in line and vote for Hillary? if so, how many? All of them? Doubtful..
For the GOP, with almost 60% of all republican voters pulling the lever for someone other than Trump, will they fall in line and vote for Trump? Very unlikely, especially considering the vitriol on which Trump has ran his campaign to date. Will he be able to unite the party? Well, that depends on a couple of things. How far will his pivot to the left go? (He's already started in case you might not be reading/watching the news) and who will he pick as a running mate?
On the surface, two clear choices are either Kasich who might help win Ohio and Rubio who might help with Florida and the Hispanic vote overall. I expect him to go with Rubio and offer Kasich a high level cabinet position.
All this being said, the general will come down to which of the two inefficient and awful choices we are presented with will be able to muster enough of the opposition within their own parties to get enough votes to win.
My instinct say's Hillary at this point for Trump with all of his pomp and circumstance will suddenly find himself being askded very difficult questions by the same media that propped him up, and to be even more clear, during a debate with Hillary, she will absolutely take him apart. Mark my words.
