Trump Might Hit 1400 by June 7

[HAPPY2BME]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3CMOotOuQF4

Published on Apr 29, 2016

According to the latest Republican primary delegate counts, Donald Trump could hit 1400 delegates committed to him on the first ballot at the July Republican National Convention in Cleveland.
Trump only needs 1237 to win the nomination on the first ballot.
Last Tuesday, Trump won an unpredicted 111 of the possible 119 bound delegates in the 5 northeastern states that voted.
Trump has just turned the tables in Oregon as well. Polling out this morning, according to the Oregonian, shows that Trump is now leading Cruz by a 43 to 26% margin. Kasich trails with 17 percent.
Trump’s “favorability” rating is soring too – up to 49% among Republicans, with Cruz falling to 42% and Kasich at 34%.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good Day.

[Wingnut]

Trump is Mr. 1100 Man.
Falls short in Size and in delegates.

[Eowyn]

No, he won't.

https://www.conservativereview.com/commentary/2016/04/if-trump-does-not-get-to-1237-cruz-could-win-convention

[BigHomer]

Unit around THE ONE, THE ETERNAL, THE DONALD.   He's our only hope, and ..uh.. change to.  He might even stop the seas from rising.

Apologies.  I think I just threw up in my mouth a little bit.  I'm just not used to acting like a UUUGE "conservative".

[geronl]

We will definitely need a third party or a write-in movement if there are 2 liberal Democrats nominated

[austingirl]

Trump is Mr. 1100 Man.
Falls short in Size and in delegates.

I agree. Lots of bluster and bragging, but he was way behind the curve in having a ground game in each state. I think there will be a contested convention and "his" delegates will abandon ship- maybe even some on the first ballot. I will look forward to watching his head explode if that happens.

[Frank Cannon]

Trump Might Hit 1400 by June 7

I agree. He will be well over 1400 lawsuits by June 7th.

[OldSaltUSN]

My prior sarcastic reply was a bit troll-ish, so I have self-censored and removed it.   

There have been a ridiculous number of ridiculous stories and blog posts about Trump that mimic the kind of idol worship Obama received in 2008.   Some of these sources were fake media sites, tracked back to likely Trump operatives trying to shape the social media narrative.  I took the OP's post as such, and responded with sarcasm.  However, that doesn't justify posting trollish trash on someone else's thread.   (This place isn't FreeRepublic, and I'm not a Trumpkin.)

If Trump gets over 1237, he'll still be a minority candidate within the GOP majority, and he'll go down in flames in November, much the same as Cruz will without Trump supporters.   I think it's more accurate to say that Trump won't carry a majority of GOP voters in November than to claim he'll have 1400 delegates by the convention.  He can boast of 2000 delegates, but if there aren't real voters behind them, it's just agitprop. 

If he gets 1400, it'll only be because of Trump's back room shenanigans.  A bully who regularly and successfully worked with "blue state" building trade unions, and used eminent domain to toss the weak onto the streets,  ain't gonna have a problem finding a way to flip a couple a hundred delegates to his position on the first ballot, through threats, intimidation, or rewards.

Trump will NOT change hearts and minds via bullying.  We know he considers "Lyin' Ted" and "Horseface Carley" (my Trumpist moniker based on Trump's past comments) to be losers, along with everyone who has supported them.  We understand, Donald, so, bye.   Go get some Hillary voters to replace us.

Regrets on the previous post.  Regards.

I'm out.

[A-Lert]

Good thing Trump and Trump supporters are never insulted, bullied, denigrated and called vulgar names. 

[OldSaltUSN]

Good thing Trump and Trump supporters are never insulted, bullied, denigrated and called vulgar names. 

Really?

Right, point to one on this thread.

"Insult?"  Where?
"Bullied?"  When?
"Denigrated? " Well, my sarcastic original post might qualify, if I weren't impersonating a Trump supporter.
"Vulgar names? " Name one word I said that was vulgar.  ONE single word.

Come on, Trump-supporting-victim.  Call it out. 
Have the courage of your convictions.
Maybe I AM blind to own sins. 
Call a moderator.  Get me kicked.  Oopps, they don't do that here, except for personal attacks.

What IS insulting is your moral equivalence, that anything I have posted on this tread is a remotely similar to the aggressions Trumpkins ROUTINELY do.

By the way, I just challenged your innuendo and the veracity of your claim.  I still haven't' insulted you.

Plus, I never, ever expect an apology from a Trump supporter.   I've never seen one on a blog.  Not even once.

[A-Lert]

Really?

Right, point to one on this thread.

"Insult?"  Where?
"Bullied?"  When?
"Denigrated? " Well, my sarcastic original post might qualify, if I weren't impersonating a Trump supporter.
"Vulgar names? " Name one word I said that was vulgar.  ONE single word.

Come on, Trump-supporting-victim.  Call it out. 
Have the courage of your convictions.
Maybe I AM blind to own sins. 
Call a moderator.  Get me kicked.  Oopps, they don't do that here, except for personal attacks.

What IS insulting is your moral equivalence, that anything I have posted on this tread is a remotely similar to the aggressions Trumpkins ROUTINELY do.

By the way, I just challenged your innuendo and the veracity of your claim.  I still haven't' insulted you.

Plus, I never, ever expect an apology from a Trump supporter.   I've never seen one on a blog.  Not even once.

I wasn't singling you out.  You haven't been here long. Most of the offenders have been disciplined. The owners had to plead for civility a number of times. There are few of us Trump supporters still posting. A few long time posters left because of the insults and attacks. Who are the aggressive "Trumpkins" to whom you refer? Since I've been posting here I have yet to see a single Cruz supporter called a vulgar name. Granted, I haven't been posting here very long myself, but I tend to read a majority of the political thread posts.

I haven't witnessed an anti-Trump/neverTrump apologize to a Trump supporter.

[OldSaltUSN]

I wasn't singling you out.  You haven't been here long. Most of the offenders have been disciplined. The owners had to plead for civility a number of times. There are few of us Trump supporters still posting. A few long time posters left because of the insults and attacks. Who are the aggressive "Trumpkins" to whom you refer? Since I've been posting here I have yet to see a single Cruz supporter called a vulgar name. Granted, I haven't been posting here very long myself, but I tend to read a majority of the political thread posts.

I haven't witnessed an anti-Trump/neverTrump apologize to a Trump supporter.

I was referring to FreeRepublic, and countless other forums out there.

Regret my misunderstanding.  We CAN agree to disagree agreeably.

Peace out.

[catfish1957]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3CMOotOuQF4

Published on Apr 29, 2016

According to the latest Republican primary delegate counts, Donald Trump could hit 1400 delegates committed to him on the first ballot at the July Republican National Convention in Cleveland.
Trump only needs 1237 to win the nomination on the first ballot.
Last Tuesday, Trump won an unpredicted 111 of the possible 119 bound delegates in the 5 northeastern states that voted.
Trump has just turned the tables in Oregon as well. Polling out this morning, according to the Oregonian, shows that Trump is now leading Cruz by a 43 to 26% margin. Kasich trails with 17 percent.

Trump’s “favorability” rating is soring too – up to 49% among Republicans, with Cruz falling to 42% and Kasich at 34%.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good Day.

Sadly, America has been duped by this PT Barnumish Trojan Horse.  This bastard is the master of deceptive perceptions as he has painted every opponent with a brush of lies and deceit.  NEVERTRUMP!!!!!!!!

[Bill Cipher]

We will definitely need a third party or a write-in movement if there are 2 liberal Democrats nominated

Too late for that this year, but definitely something that should become a major project with a target for 2020 or 2024. 

[A-Lert]

Sadly, America has been duped by this PT Barnumish Trojan Horse.  This bastard is the master of deceptive perceptions as he has painted every opponent with a brush of lies and deceit.  NEVERTRUMP!!!!!!!!

All these people have been duped? They are all stupid and you are so smart? 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Donald_Trump_presidential_campaign_endorsements,_2016

[catfish1957]

All these people have been duped? They are all stupid and you are so smart? 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Donald_Trump_presidential_campaign_endorsements,_2016

Tell you what....I'll recant if you can get Trump to release his most guarded secret.....     The off the Record NYT Interview.   There is a reason why Trump is making sure that is not known.  it is because it will explain what Trump really stands for, and that there isn't a lick of difference between he and Hitlerly.  If you can't recognize that, well I'm sorry.

3rd PARTY 2016!!!!!!!!!!

[A-Lert]

Then here is your first. @A-Lert

On the OTS, I sometimes referred to Trump Supporters as "Branch Trumpidians" because I felt it was an apt description.  No matter the facts laid in their laps, they made excuses and "belieeeeve."  I was also frustrated that Trump ruined the election when we would have won it and had a good chance of electing a Constitutional Conservative if not for his interference.

After seeing "Cruzlim" and "Lying Ted" tossed about, I realized that using such terms to describe Trump supporters were in poor taste and hurtful to fellow people from TOS.  I stopped for a long while and called them "Trumpsters."  I used the term "Trumpsters", not as a perjorative, but as a shorter, lazier way to type "Trump Supporter."  I'm embarrassed to say that I didn't notice that it was a play on "dumpster" which is what I now assume is meant as I read on the TOS this morning that "Trumpster" is considered derogatory and hurtful.

I admit that when angered on TOS at the nastiness, I did revert back to "Branch Trumpidians" or "Trumpidians" a few times.  The vile, hateful rhetoric by the Trump Supporters towards Cruz and his supporters over there was obtrusive to put it mildly.  Frankly, "Branch Trumpidian" was  kind  considering the words that were going through my mind, but chose not to type.

Without digging through my posts to check, I assume I used the term "Trumpster" here on this forum.  To those I offended, I do apologize.  I've only seen a few rather rude posts here, but nothing that comes remotely close to to the rabid, frothing hyenas on TOS.  You have been fairly gracious to we refugees considering that I suspect you were dismayed to see us join your board in an overwhelming mass.  For that alone, you have earned my respect and your apology for my lack of showing that respect.

I was banned from FR years ago because I wouldn't allow myself to be bullied and intimidated by the cliques. I never looked back and never regretted it. The insults and name calling of candidate supporters is ridiculous and juvenile IMO. I haven't been a poster here for very long, but had lurked for a number of years. I participated in a number of rough and tumble forums, but could see that eventually it was a waste of time. All a person has to do is look at the people endorsing a candidate. Are they all stupid, dupes, idiots, morons, dumbasses, Aholes and fools? Trump supporters  have been called those names here.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Donald_Trump_presidential_campaign_endorsements,_2016

Trump is an imperfect human being as are the rest of us. I contend that he loves the country and probably would have more to lose than 99% of the people in the country if he had a failed presidency. I want America to be  great again. I want the borders secured. I want to see the US become more business friendly. I want fair trade. I want a strong, fairly compensated, well cared for, well-equipped military. I don't like being $19 trillion in debt. I believe it is past time that other countries start  shouldering more financial responsibility for their own protection. I believe Trump is the candidate most likely to be able to accomplish the aforementioned.

[A-Lert]

Tell you what....I'll recant if you can get Trump to release his most guarded secret.....     The off the Record NYT Interview.   There is a reason why Trump is making sure that is not known.  it is because it will explain what Trump really stands for, and that there isn't a lick of difference between he and Hitlerly.  If you can't recognize that, well I'm sorry.

3rd PARTY 2016!!!!!!!!!!

Did you look at the list of Trump endorsers? Are they all dupes and fools?

[Jackson]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3CMOotOuQF4

Published on Apr 29, 2016

According to the latest Republican primary delegate counts, Donald Trump could hit 1400 delegates committed to him on the first ballot at the July Republican National Convention in Cleveland.
Trump only needs 1237 to win the nomination on the first ballot.
Last Tuesday, Trump won an unpredicted 111 of the possible 119 bound delegates in the 5 northeastern states that voted.
Trump has just turned the tables in Oregon as well. Polling out this morning, according to the Oregonian, shows that Trump is now leading Cruz by a 43 to 26% margin. Kasich trails with 17 percent.
Trump’s “favorability” rating is soring too – up to 49% among Republicans, with Cruz falling to 42% and Kasich at 34%.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good Day.

And 1,000 leprechauns might jump out your butt and start singing Danke Schoen in perfect harmony.

[catfish1957]

Did you look at the list of Trump endorsers? Are they all dupes and fools?

There is a big difference in the human skill sets of smart (intelligence) and gullibility.  Trump supporters who claim to be conservative meet the latter.

[Hank Rearden]

Trump is an imperfect human being as are the rest of us. I contend that he loves the country and probably would have more to lose than 99% of the people in the country if he had a failed presidency.

I agree with everything except the last part of the second sentence.

Here's why that premise is faulty.

First, with his adult children and in-laws running the Trump enterprises, you can expect his business interests to at least double or triple in value during the first term of his presidency even if he did nothing right. The same scum who do Clinton Foundation deals will be looking to buy a seat at the table by investing in Trump-branded deals whether or not Donald Trump is offering it for sale.

Second, the term "failed presidency" is defined now by elites and spun in the media and our educational institutions. Do you think Obama's horrific 8 years will be spun as anything other than a success in the news, movies, and educational textbooks? He's too-black-to-fail, too-marxist-to-fail, and too-gay-to-fail.

Along those lines, a President Trump could have an abysmal record for four or eight years in office yet still have a poor performance praised far and wide as a success if he gets with the progressive program. Let's say Trump builds a wall but makes a deal for amnesty for those already here, "fixes" Obamacare with single-payer socialism, raises taxes on the "wealthy" (middle class who don't get the loopholes), vetoes pro-life bills to keep abortion "safe and legal," and has a foreign policy that's on par with Bush 43 or Obama. Fox News, Wall Street Journal, NY Times, WaPo, et al would be praising these "successes" as a sign that Trump had grown in office, similar to the fawning that occurs over Justices Roberts and Kennedy every time they knife the Constitution.

[Jazzhead]

We will definitely need a third party or a write-in movement if there are 2 liberal Democrats nominated

Agreed.   That may be the silver lining if Trump is nominated.   The GOP I joined and have been loyal to for forty years will be unrecognizable to me,  and I will be done with it.   But a new vehicle for those of us who oppose fascism and value individual liberty can and will emerge.  Maybe the Libertarian Party can be transformed into a broad-based party. 

The first order of business will be to defeat Trumpism, and the second will be to assemble a new liberty-centric coalition to rise from the GOP's ashes.   

[Jazzhead]

Too late for that this year, but definitely something that should become a major project with a target for 2020 or 2024.

No, it's not too late for this year.   A third party won't win the Presidency, but can be a vehicle for defeating Trumpism. 

[Wingnut]

And 1,000 leprechauns might jump out your butt and start singing Danke Schoen in perfect harmony.

A cappella?  Or Wayne Newton Karaoke back ground?

[A-Lert]

I agree with everything except the last part of the second sentence.

Here's why that premise is faulty.

First, with his adult children and in-laws running the Trump enterprises, you can expect his business interests to at least double or triple in value during the first term of his presidency even if he did nothing right. The same scum who do Clinton Foundation deals will be looking to buy a seat at the table by investing in Trump-branded deals whether or not Donald Trump is offering it for sale.

Second, the term "failed presidency" is defined now by elites and spun in the media and our educational institutions. Do you think Obama's horrific 8 years will be spun as anything other than a success in the news, movies, and educational textbooks? He's too-black-to-fail, too-marxist-to-fail, and too-gay-to-fail.

Along those lines, a President Trump could have an abysmal record for four or eight years in office yet still have a poor performance praised far and wide as a success if he gets with the progressive program. Let's say Trump builds a wall but makes a deal for amnesty for those already here, "fixes" Obamacare with single-payer socialism, raises taxes on the "wealthy" (middle class who don't get the loopholes), vetoes pro-life bills to keep abortion "safe and legal," and has a foreign policy that's on par with Bush 43 or Obama. Fox News, Wall Street Journal, NY Times, WaPo, et al would be praising these "successes" as a sign that Trump had grown in office, similar to the fawning that occurs over Justices Roberts and Kennedy every time they knife the Constitution.

First, Obamacare was passed by congress. Second, abortion, gay marriage and other "social issues" are going to be decided by the SCOTUS, not the POTUS. If Hillary is elected, kiss the SCOTUS goodbye for 30 years. Third, we know what Clinton would do about the 2nd Amendment and we know that without that right the rest ring hollow. Fourth, we know how Hillary feels about our military. We know that Trump is a patriot.

We can speculate about Trump, but Hillary is a known quantity. I don't want her anywhere near the White House.