Author Topic: Trump 38%, Clinton 38%  (Read 321 times)

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Offline mystery-ak

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Trump 38%, Clinton 38%
« on: April 29, 2016, 02:57:03 pm »
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/trump_38_clinton_38

Friday, April 29, 2016

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are again tied up in a head-to-head matchup.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump and Clinton each earning 38% support. Sixteen percent (16%) say they will vote for some other candidate if they are the two major party candidates, while six percent (6%) plan to stay home. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 25-26, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
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Offline Relic

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Re: Trump 38%, Clinton 38%
« Reply #1 on: April 29, 2016, 02:58:47 pm »
Can't be true. I was just reading comments on here about how Trump will be absolutely destroyed in November.

This is obviously some sort of fake poll for propaganda purposes.

Offline sinkspur

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Re: Trump 38%, Clinton 38%
« Reply #2 on: April 29, 2016, 03:08:17 pm »
Until this result is confirmed by other pollsters, it must be considered an outlier.  It is out of sync with every poll taken in the last 45 days.
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Offline jmyrlefuller

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Re: Trump 38%, Clinton 38%
« Reply #3 on: April 29, 2016, 03:15:21 pm »
Until this result is confirmed by other pollsters, it must be considered an outlier.  It is out of sync with every poll taken in the last 45 days.
Rasmussen has always been the most Republican-leaning of the major pollsters. It is probably a little bit of an outlier.

But both major candidates under 40% is the real story here. An effective third party could make a major impact this time around.
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Offline Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: Trump 38%, Clinton 38%
« Reply #4 on: April 29, 2016, 03:16:18 pm »
Unfortunately, IIRC, Rasmussen also had Romney beating Obama didn't it? This might be as prescient as "toe sucker" Dick Morris.

Offline sinkspur

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Re: Trump 38%, Clinton 38%
« Reply #5 on: April 29, 2016, 03:20:38 pm »
Rasmussen has always been the most Republican-leaning of the major pollsters. It is probably a little bit of an outlier.

But both major candidates under 40% is the real story here. An effective third party could make a major impact this time around.

Since Scott Rasmussen left the polling firm that bears his name in 2012, Rasmussen has been pretty erratic.
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Offline truth_seeker

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Re: Trump 38%, Clinton 38%
« Reply #6 on: April 29, 2016, 03:31:15 pm »

The latest GWU/Battleground poll has Clinton by only 3, within the MOE. Dated 4/25

That is two polls during this week, showing the gap closing. This is mounting empirical evidence.

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