http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/new-york-primary-trump-cruz-kasich-222155 Trump poised for a winning spree
The real estate mogul's final sprint for to lock down 1,237 delegates starts in New York.
By Kyle Cheney
04/19/16 05:20 PM EDT
Updated 04/19/16 05:31 PM EDT
Donald Trump’s losing streak is about to end where his wild roller coaster of a campaign began — his home state of New York.
The billionaire is poised for a ringing victory that will take the edge off a brutal month of controversy and soaring unpopularity. It’s a chance for Trump to rewrite a campaign narrative that seemed to get away from him — and will likely be the first triumph in a cascade of victories across the northeast over the next week.
Even as champagne corks are set to pop at Trump’s victory party in his eponymous tower on Fifth Avenue, there’s a crucial subplot that backers of Ted Cruz and John Kasich will be watching intently: can Trump crack 50 percent support.
Trump’s rivals have spent weeks working to keep the mogul below that threshold, which would wrest a handful of delegates away from Trump’s grasp. As the GOP nomination fight increasingly becomes a seminar in complicated delegate math, limiting Trump’s support on his home turf would amount to a victory of sorts.
Trump’s allies are hopeful that he can score 80 to 85 of New York’s 95 national convention delegates. Hitting that level of dominance will require Trump to hit 50 percent support state wide — earning a guaranteed pot of 14 delegates — as well as cracking 50 percent in nearly all of New York’s 27 Congressional districts, a more difficult feat.
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