http://poltics-as-unusual.blogspot.com/2016/03/doctrinaire-conservatives-have-made.html Doctrinaire Conservatives Have Made the Word Conservative Powerless
One of the mysteries of the 2016 election cycle is why so many conservatives are rejecting the true conservative in the race and going with a loud mouthed New Yorker. Even southern Evangelicals, the most conservative of the conservative, voted in the main for the loud mouthed New Yorker.
Why has the word conservative become powerless to motivate Republican voters? The image below should provide a clue.
The US middle class is shrinking. In 1979 it made up 60% of the population. Today it is less than 50%, and it continues to shrink. Rather than have the diamond shape of 1979--where the majority of Americans fell in the middle class--we have a pyramid shape, where the majority of Americans are in the lower portion of the pyramid.
Real wages have not gone up for the middle class since 1979. I'm not sure that's a problem. As long as wage levels for the middle class allow them to maintain a middle class lifestyle, we're good. What's not good is the overall size of the economy has grown (in real dollars) since 1979, but the middle class has shrunk.
The size of the economy (in real dollars) has increased 150%.
The population has only increased 40%
The size of the middle class has shrunk 10%
The middle class is continuing to shrink.
It's clear a large swath of the American populace believes the middle class is shrinking due to (1) immigration (both illegal and legal) and (2) trade policy. This is at odds with the opinions of doctrinaire conservatives. I used the word doctrinaire deliberately.
Doctrinaire: a person who tries to apply some doctrine or theory without sufficient regard for practical considerations; an impractical theorist.
Most of the Republican candidates, pundits, and "keepers of the Reagan flame" who claim the mantle of real conservative are in fact doctrinaire conservatives. They have fallen so in love with a theory, that they don't see the real world consequences of putting that theory in practice.
We've seen this before with doctrinaire communist, who insisted that communism failed because we didn't try hard enough. If we would only try a purer form of communism, it would work. They may be right, but I sure as hell ain't going to risk trying the damn thing.
And, I sure as hell ain't going to risk the doctrinaire conservatives plan--unlimited immigration and "free trade"--because it is responsible for shrinking the American middle class. I am open minded, but any plan must lead off with this statement:
Here is how I am going to grow the American middle class...
Until conservatives make the above statement (and follow it with a realistic plan), appeals to "true conservatism" are going to fall on deaf ears.
A shrinking middle class is not a sustainable model for the American economy, nor for a political party. Trump is the only person (of either party) addressing the problem, and that is why large numbers of Republican and Democratic voters are falling in behind him.
Voters want, and need, problem solvers, not theorist. Trump is showing that doctrinaire conservatism is a dead end politically.