Point I'm making is the Iowa Polls or even national polls this early mean very little. We only have one debate behind us, out of many, and a very long campaign cycle ahead of us. For anyone to say "sorry losers, if your candidate is not Trump your odds of winning Iowa is beyond the laws of physics", does not pay close attention to politics, or has a very short memory. Carson, Fiorina, Rubio, Cruz, Bush, among others have a good chance of being the winner in Iowa or be the eventual nominated candidate - and that can be backed up by history. The laws of physics at this point still say to ignore the polls, because the nomination is anyone's prize for the taking.