Author Topic: GOP's Trump problem will fade, but Democrats' Bernie Sanders troubles are just beginning  (Read 692 times)

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Offline Formerly Once-Ler

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http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-0811-goldberg-bernie-sanders-democrats-20150811-column.html



Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders speaks at a rally in Portland, Ore. on Sunday. According to his campaign, the event drew a crowd of 28,000, which is the largest of any campaign event so far in the 2016 race. (Troy Wayrynen / Associated Press)


"We are trying to be reasonable," an organizer for Bernie Sanders' Seattle rally said.

The black female protesters who stormed the stage became enraged. "We aren't reasonable!" they shouted back. "If you do not listen to [us], your event will be shut down," one of them declared to the crowd.

Sanders caved to the protesters from the Black Lives Matter movement and gave activist Marissa Johnson the microphone. "I was going to tell Bernie how racist this city is, even with all of these progressives, but you've already done that for me. Thank you," she said, apparently in response to members of the crowd who booed her. I suppose if you've already conceded that you aren't reasonable, it's not hard to argue that booing an uninvited rabble-rouser is "racist."

It's understandable that all eyes have been on the insane food fight Donald Trump has instigated on the right. Even Trump's biggest detractors — and I count myself among their number — have to concede that Trump is awfully entertaining. But while the spectacle on the right seems like a canceled TV reality show pilot — call it "Desperate Billionaires of Manhattan" — the spectacle on the left is no less fascinating or significant.

Sanders, the lifelong independent socialist running for the Democratic nomination, has been gathering historic crowds, much larger than anything Hillary Rodham Clinton or Trump have been able to manage. Saturday's rally drew 15,000 people. The following night in Portland, Ore., 28,000 reportedly attended. The best Clinton has done — in her adopted home state of New York, at her kickoff event no less — was 5,500.
Clinton's most comfortable in the role of elitist technocrat, which is ... not so useful for wooing voters in a populist environment. - 

The Clinton team is clearly nervous. Her poll numbers have been plummeting as Sanders' have been surging. The campaign moved up its ad buys from November to this month. She's been tacking ever further left.

The trouble for Clinton and the Democrats generally is that while Barack Obama was able to unite the factions of the left to get himself elected, it's not clear anyone else can.

Obama wanted to be a Reagan of the left, a "transformative" president who moved the magnetic poles of American politics leftward. The jury is out on that project, but he did succeed in at least one sense. Reagan united foreign policy hawks, social conservatives and economic conservatives — the famous three legs to the stool of the conservative movement.

Obama did something very similar on the left. He united the civil rights or identity politics wing, the economic or egalitarian wing and the more elitist technocratic wing. Obviously, these movements overlap — just as the different factions of the Reagan coalition overlapped — but each has its own priorities and passions.

Aided by his experience as a former community organizer and his historic status as the first black president, Obama held the coalition together through force of personality.

The Democratic Party has always had internal conflicts. Franklin D. Roosevelt's coalition contained socialist Jews and blacks and Southern segregationists. That coalition held for 20 years after his presidency. But the Obama coalition seems to be fraying while he's still in office, and none of his presumptive heirs have the charisma or skills to repair or sustain the coalition.

Sanders has charm, but the Jewish socialist transplant from Brooklyn has spent his political life in a state that has only 7,500 blacks. He lacks the vocabulary to appeal beyond the white left. Meanwhile, the black left, an indispensable voting bloc, has no standard-bearer in the primaries and is clearly angry about it.

Clinton's most comfortable in the role of elitist technocrat, which is great for fundraising from Wall Street and wooing Beltway journalists, but it's not so useful for wooing voters in a populist environment. Thanks to her husband, she still has goodwill among African Americans. But she lacks the charisma, passion or personal story to excite either the black left or the white left. The woman who left the White House "dead broke" makes five times the average American's annual income per speech.

The GOP's Trump problem will eventually melt away. I suspect the Democrats' troubles are far more durable.

Online libertybele

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The disdain for the Washington Establishment on both sides is very obvious.  Something neither side expected.
Romans 12:16-21

Live in harmony with one another; do not be haughty, but associate with the lowly, do not claim to be wiser than you are.  Do not repay anyone evil for evil, but take thought for what is noble in the sight of all.  If it is possible, so far as it depends on you, live peaceably with all…do not be overcome by evil, but overcome evil with good.

Offline EdinVA

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The disdain for the Washington Establishment on both sides is very obvious.  Something neither side expected.

Your right, contrary to all the pundits and polling....
Finally people seem to be making their own decisions...

Offline Fishrrman

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Maybe Sanders thinks he can win the democratic nomination without "the black vote".

I wouldn't say that's impossible. Particularly if he can win the lion's share of Hispanics and Asians.

Perhaps "black lives" -- at least in a political sense -- "don't matter" to either party any more...

Offline NavyCanDo

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Be it Sanders or Hillary you can bet Black Lives Matter will be there to interrupt the DNC Convention. Maybe violently. 
A nation that turns away from prayer will ultimately find itself in desperate need of it. :Jonathan Cahn