http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/11/15/The-2014-Elections-Are-Over-Let-the-Interpretation-Beginby JAMES P. PINKERTON 15 Nov 2014, 9:42 AM PDT
By now everybody knows what happened in the 2014 midterms. The challenge is to keep the results—a great victory for Republicans—in perspective.
In particular, now that the 2014 midterms have passed into history, we can ask: What implications can we draw about the 2016 election?
The first point to be made is that the voters—God bless ‘em!—are fickle. One can see an electoral roller coaster ride in just about every decade of American history. We might take note, for instance, of the Roaring Twenties. They began with the 1920 Warren G. Harding Republican landslide, a 26-point margin, which crushed even a young Franklin D. Roosevelt on the Democratic ticket. Then in 1922 came the Democratic comeback in Congress; Democrats won 76 House seats that year.
Yet 1924 saw yet another Republican presidential landslide, as Calvin Coolidge led the top of the GOP ticket.
And so it goes, on and on, lots of reversal of fortune, lots of comebacks.
More recently, we can think back to the electoral zigzags of 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2010, 2012, and 2014 and be reminded, yet again, that yes, the voters are fickle.
But suppose we drill down specifically on the“second midterm” phenomenon, sometimes called “the six year itch.” That is, let’s examine the second midterm election for the party in the White House—such as 2014 for the Democrats. Here, the general rule is that the incumbent party suffers big losses, although that doesn’t always happen; it didn’t happen, for instance, to the Democrats in 1998.
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