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How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?   (6/15/26)

Voting closes: Wednesday, Sep 23, 2026 06:11 am

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Online corbe

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How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:11 am »
   What think you, Fellow Briefers?
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #1 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:15 am »
I am going out on a limb, and say it won't be signed.  Iran would love to embarrass Trump in the most visible way possible.

Like.....   maybe they don't show up.
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #2 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:31 am »
Quote from: catfish1957 on Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:15 am
I am going out on a limb, and say it won't be signed.  Iran would love to embarrass Trump in the most visible way possible.

Like.....   maybe they don't show up.

That would be fine with me!  Iran would be saving Trump from himself!
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Online Bigun

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #3 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:35 am »
Quote from: catfish1957 on Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:15 am
I am going out on a limb, and say it won't be signed.  Iran would love to embarrass Trump in the most visible way possible.

Like.....   maybe they don't show up.

I said the same elsewhere this morning.
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Online libertybele

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #4 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:41 am »
Any agreement won't be binding.  Iran can't be trusted.  All those at the G7 know it and I believe this 'signing' is purely symbolic.

Who knows what's going to happen next...I'm still hoping that Trump and Hegseth have something else up their sleeves.
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #5 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:48 am »
Quote from: libertybele on Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:41 am
Any agreement won't be binding.  Iran can't be trusted.  All those at the G7 know it and I believe this 'signing' is purely symbolic.

Who knows what's going to happen next...I'm still hoping that Trump and Hegseth have something else up their sleeves.

Perhaps the purpose of the "agreement" is to reset the 60-day counter for the War Powers Act?   :shrug:
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Online libertybele

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #6 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 07:25 am »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:48 am
Perhaps the purpose of the "agreement" is to reset the 60-day counter for the War Powers Act?   :shrug:

Possibility.  I guess we wait and see. 
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Offline Timber Rattler

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #7 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 09:04 am »
Quote from: catfish1957 on Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:15 am
I am going out on a limb, and say it won't be signed.  Iran would love to embarrass Trump in the most visible way possible.

Like.....   maybe they don't show up.

They'll have Hezbollah take some more potshots at Israel, provoking a military response, and use that to blow up Trump's grand MOU signing ceremony.
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Offline Sighlass

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #8 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 12:34 pm »
The whole thing has gone off totally contrary to my thinking of how it would play out. I give up, and I think Trump has too.

Bomb Bomb Iran is my thoughts and for a bit it played out. I give up any trying to predict what will happen next.
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Online rustynail

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #9 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 12:39 pm »
One Thousand Years!
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #10 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 07:24 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on Monday, Jun 15, 2026 06:48 am
Perhaps the purpose of the "agreement" is to reset the 60-day counter for the War Powers Act?   :shrug:
THat's what I think. 'This war will be end, permanently'.

Then, when Iran breaks the Truce, we can start another one.

(We had two Gulf Wars, but I do not think this will last so long).
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #11 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 07:58 pm »
This all depends on your definition of 'ceasefire'.  As long as attacks from the IRGC (and their proxies) are not counted against the ceasefire, then it will last until Israel launches a counterattack against those attacking them.
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: How long do you think the US-Iran Ceasefire will last?
« Reply #12 on: Monday, Jun 15, 2026 07:59 pm »
Quote from: Smokin Joe on Monday, Jun 15, 2026 07:24 pm
(We had two Gulf Wars, but I do not think this will last so long).

Technically, we had only one war - the second being a continuation of the first.
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