Boom: Data Analyst Delivers 'Big Time Reality Check' for Dems on Midterms

[rangerrebew]

Boom: Data Analyst Delivers 'Big Time Reality Check' for Dems on Midterms

By Nick Arama  | 2:55 PM on May 12, 2026The opinions expressed by contributors are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of RedState.com.
   

 
Midterms are getting closer, and Republicans are going to need to go all in to show they are the better choice. Midterms historically tend to run against the party in power, so they have that deficit up front.

But wins in the redistricting battle have been buoying Republican hopes. Plus, it's been quite something to watch Democrats like House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (NY-08) lose their minds and attack the courts when they lose. It's why they're screaming and scrambling to stop the GOP redistricting wins, even postulating nutty schemes like trying to boot the Virginia Supreme Court judges who voted in a way they didn't like.
 

Heartbreak for Dems As VA Senate Majority Leader Delivers Crushing Blow to Latest Gerrymander Scheme

Now CNN senior data analyst Harry Enten has some more good news for Republicans and what he termed "a big time reality check" for Democrats.


Enten explained that not only hadn't Democrats' generic Congressional ballot lead expanded; it had, in fact, shrunk since March. They had been up six points in March, but now it was only three points, with "no clear leader" and "within the margin of error," Enten emphasized.

https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2026/05/12/data-analyst-delivers-some-bad-news-for-dems-on-midterms-n2202254

[Fantom]

I have long thought there would be a decisive shift to this political stalemate(actually slow death of freedom from the Romney types) .... anyways.

The movement of democraps to the far fascist left is complete. There are no more Zell Millers, or Joe Lieberman's.. even the honorable left, ..it died with Patrick Moynihan... so long ago.

 Across America there has been a significant shift from "D" to "R" , especially amongst core democrap demograpics. Hispanics are a natural fit in the conservative realm, blacks should be too.. why they are not is a separate consideration I do not wish to broach at this juncture..  but even they are leaving the democrap plantation in ever increasing numbers... this is a good thing, MLK would be proud.

In chemistry there is a thing called "precipitation of a solution". That is when an aqueous solution is so finally balanced that the addition of a single drop of water(or pure elements) containing additional elements needed to reach that critical point.. results in a solid precipitating, as if a snowstorm into a solid.

Hopefully we have reached that point,  and will see a political snowstorm. Resulting in a solid majority of peoples who desire freedom. 

If so, we can thank Trump ... our Zell Miller.

Lord, such a long road. As a Young man, the heady times of Reagan, Thatcher, Pope John, Lech Walesa... dark hair has long turned grey... Please Lord, make it so before evil causes undo death.


 

[Bigun]

I have long thought there would be a decisive shift to this political stalemate(actually slow death of freedom from the Romney types) .... anyways.

The movement of democraps to the far fascist left is complete. There are no more Zell Millers, or Joe Lieberman's.. even the honorable left, ..it died with Patrick Moynihan... so long ago.

 Across America there has been a significant shift from "D" to "R" , especially amongst core democrap demograpics. Hispanics are a natural fit in the conservative realm, blacks should be too.. why they are not is a separate consideration I do not wish to broach at this juncture..  but even they are leaving the democrap plantation in ever increasing numbers... this is a good thing, MLK would be proud.

In chemistry there is a thing called "precipitation of a solution". That is when an aqueous solution is so finally balanced that the addition of a single drop of water(or pure elements) containing additional elements needed to reach that critical point.. results in a solid precipitating, as if a snowstorm into a solid.

Hopefully we have reached that point,  and will see a political snowstorm. Resulting in a solid majority of peoples who desire freedom. 

If so, we can thank Trump ... our Zell Miller.

Lord, such a long road. As a Young man, the heady times of Reagan, Thatcher, Pope John, Lech Walesa... dark hair has long turned grey... Please Lord, make it so before evil causes undo death.

 

I don't know how I knew (I was 15 years old when LBJ defeated Barry Goldwater) but somehow did that we were in for a LONG siege, and we still are.

[bilo]

I think the final straw was when Rats started advocating mutilating children. Now all the Rats do is scream Trump is bad.

The shift has been on going for a long time and the Rats knew it, that's why they pushed for illegal immigration.

If the Pubs hold the House and Senate this time, it may be a long time before the Rats win the House majority again. Redistricting in Red States is going to continue and the Blue States have already largely maxed out their advantage. In fact they may lose some seats as the DOJ sues them for voter rights act violations, since you can no longer redistrict based on race. Also, the demographic trend favors the Pubs because people are fleeing Blue States to live in Red States and the Red States have higher birth rates. By the mid 2030's the Pubs may have a structural 25-30 seat majority.

On top of all those trends, I believe minority voters will start voting for the Pubs in greater numbers as they see minority Reps being elected in majority white districts. We often forget that Pubs vote ideology not physical characteristics. As that reality seeps into the popular culture it will be harder and harder for the Rats to promote racial animosity.

[Smokin Joe]

I have long thought there would be a decisive shift to this political stalemate(actually slow death of freedom from the Romney types) .... anyways.

The movement of democraps to the far fascist left is complete. There are no more Zell Millers, or Joe Lieberman's.. even the honorable left, ..it died with Patrick Moynihan... so long ago.

 Across America there has been a significant shift from "D" to "R" , especially amongst core democrap demograpics. Hispanics are a natural fit in the conservative realm, blacks should be too.. why they are not is a separate consideration I do not wish to broach at this juncture..  but even they are leaving the democrap plantation in ever increasing numbers... this is a good thing, MLK would be proud.

In chemistry there is a thing called "precipitation of a solution". That is when an aqueous solution is so finally balanced that the addition of a single drop of water(or pure elements) containing additional elements needed to reach that critical point.. results in a solid precipitating, as if a snowstorm into a solid.

Hopefully we have reached that point,  and will see a political snowstorm. Resulting in a solid majority of peoples who desire freedom. 

If so, we can thank Trump ... our Zell Miller.

Lord, such a long road. As a Young man, the heady times of Reagan, Thatcher, Pope John, Lech Walesa... dark hair has long turned grey... Please Lord, make it so before evil causes undo death.

Every time I think stupidity can reach saturation, they stir in another element.