Author Topic: THE GREAT AMERICAN PRICE TRAP: Riding the Inflation Beast From DC to the Last Mortgage Denied at Daw  (Read 270 times)

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Online Luis Gonzalez

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THE GREAT AMERICAN PRICE TRAP: Riding the Inflation Beast From DC to the Last Mortgage Denied at Dawn
By a Man Who’s Seen the Ledger and Lived to Tell the Tale.
The Last Wire

The American Dream didn’t die — it was marked up to death. You can see the corpse outlined in chalk on every Zillow page and mortgage calculator, and if you look hard enough you can still hear Biden’s stimulus-heavy fog machine hissing in the distance. We were told the money-printing spree was an act of national compassion, a patriotic splurge, a necessary storm of federal benevolence. But once that tsunami of liquidity hit shore, the price tags mutated like lab animals exposed to cosmic rays — groceries, gas, rent, homes, all jolted skyward.

And while the experts in D.C. sip lattes and whisper about “cooling inflation” and “soft landings,” the real story is plastered right in front of us: prices don’t fall in America — not without a collapse so violent it rattles teeth. Deflation isn’t coming. It’s a fantasy. A bedtime story manufactured for voters who crave a cure. The Federal Reserve openly warns that deflation is a disaster scenario — and they’ll do anything to avoid it, even if it means Americans live inside a long, expensive hangover. Federal Reserve: Why Deflation Is Dangerous.

The inflation spike during the Biden years reset the country’s economic floorboards. That’s the part the pundits avoid admitting: the new price level is permanent. Locked in. Cemented. The cost of living jumped — and it isn’t jumping back down. BLS Inflation Data.

So what does that leave us with?

Continue reading at The Last Wire

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Online Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Welp... it's now 1981 going on 1982. Trump has 2 more years to turn this around or we'll go hard left in 2028.  :shrug:

Offline roamer_1

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Welp... it's now 1981 going on 1982. Trump has 2 more years to turn this around or we'll go hard left in 2028.  :shrug:

Mere months. He will lose both houses.

Online Luis Gonzalez

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Welp... it's now 1981 going on 1982. Trump has 2 more years to turn this around or we'll go hard left in 2028.  :shrug:

The Left (Mamdani et al) will frame 2028 as an affordability crisis that the Right failed to bring under control during the Trump years.

Typical Left. Create the problem, then become the solution to it with policies that will lead to even more government control. 
"The growth of knowledge depends entirely upon disagreement." - Karl Popper

“You can vote Socialism in, but you’re gonna have to shoot your way out of it.” - Me

Online Hoodat

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Welp... it's now 1981 going on 1982. Trump has 2 more years to turn this around or we'll go hard left in 2028.  :shrug:

Trump has already proven that he has no intention of bringing inflation under control.  Funding more government with freshly printed money has been his choice time and time again.
If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Online Luis Gonzalez

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Trump has already proven that he has no intention of bringing inflation under control.  Funding more government with freshly printed money has been his choice time and time again.

What are you taking about? Inflation is back to normal levels.

Prices will never go back down. Because of the THEFT of 20% of our national worth by way of excessive money printing during the Biden Admin.

Prices and inflation are two different things.

To get back to pre Biden era prices, we will need to experience SEVERAL periods of negative inflation

“Several periods of negative inflation” is also known as a Depression. .
"The growth of knowledge depends entirely upon disagreement." - Karl Popper

“You can vote Socialism in, but you’re gonna have to shoot your way out of it.” - Me

Online Hoodat

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So I'll put you in the same category with Trump.  Instead of doing away with inflation altogether, we'll tolerate a 'normal' amount just to keep Big Government intact.

Oh, and we could bring prices back to pre-Biden simply by removing the excess money the Fed printed up over the last five years, four under Biden and one under Trump.

Inflation is such a simple matter.  If you don't want inflation, don't expand the money supply.  This is 100% in the hands of government.  But the problem is that government wants inflation.  They want the money devalued because it reduces their overall debt.  It steals value away from the people and hands that value back to the government.  Inflation is one of the greatest evils ever perpetrated upon a free people - 100% government-driven.
If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline roamer_1

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No one ever talks about contracting the money supply... why is that?

Online Luis Gonzalez

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No one ever talks about contracting the money supply... why is that?

The way we usually contract the money supply is via “foreign aid”.

Get it out of circulation and send it elsewhere.

If it returns. It’s (usually) in the form of purchases of American products.
"The growth of knowledge depends entirely upon disagreement." - Karl Popper

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Online Luis Gonzalez

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So I'll put you in the same category with Trump.  Instead of doing away with inflation altogether, we'll tolerate a 'normal' amount just to keep Big Government intact.[/url]

Oh, and we could bring prices back to pre-Biden simply by removing the excess money the Fed printed up over the last five years, four under Biden and one under Trump.

Inflation is such a simple matter.  If you don't want inflation, don't expand the money supply.  This is 100% in the hands of government.  But the problem is that government wants inflation.  They want the money devalued because it reduces their overall debt.  It steals value away from the people and hands that value back to the government.  Inflation is one of the greatest evils ever perpetrated upon a free people - 100% government-driven.

I get the appeal of the “inflation is simple” narrative. It’s clean, it’s satisfying, it fits on a bumper sticker. But the real world isn’t built like that, and pretending it is doesn’t get us any closer to the truth—or to solutions.

First: zero inflation isn’t some promised land. It means zero nominal wage growth, zero flexibility in credit markets, and a much higher chance of slipping into deflation, which is far worse for working people than a steady 2% glide. The idea that a modern economy can run with no inflation and no shock absorbers sounds great until you try to live inside it.

Second: the notion that we could “just remove the excess money” and magically reset prices to 2019 ignores how prices actually form. The money supply isn’t a bathtub you drain. Since 2020 we’ve dealt with broken supply chains, a global pandemic, a commodity shock from Russia’s war, OPEC games, demographic shifts, corporate pricing power, and a surge in demand after lockdowns. You can’t unwind all of that by flipping a switch at the Fed. What you can unwind is the job market—fast—if you try.

Third: inflation is not “100% government-driven.” No economist, left, right, or libertarian, makes that claim. It takes willful blindness to look at a global pandemic, multiple supply shocks, energy disruptions, and record-high corporate margins and still point to Washington as the sole culprit. Monetary policy mattered, yes—but it was one instrument in a very loud orchestra.

Fourth: the idea that government wants inflation because it supposedly benefits them doesn’t survive basic political gravity. No administration wants to go into an election cycle carrying 8% inflation on its back. If this was an intentional play, they executed it with the precision of a drunk climbing a ladder.

The real issue isn’t the existence of inflation—it’s the volatility, the whiplash, the sense that families are once again stuck riding an economic beast they didn’t choose. Stable, predictable inflation is workable. Chaos is not. That’s the point of the piece: not “let’s tolerate inflation,” but why do we keep accepting a system that exposes ordinary people to these violent swings?

That’s the adult conversation. Everything else is economic cosplay.
"The growth of knowledge depends entirely upon disagreement." - Karl Popper

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Online Luis Gonzalez

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No one ever talks about contracting the money supply... why is that?

Just gave this more thought. The bit about foreign aid is good. It was explained to me by G. Edward Griffin during a Banana Republican Radio Hour back in my FReeper days. G Griffin authored "The Creature from Jekyll Island", detailing the "birth" of the Fed, and money policies in general.

People don’t talk about “contracting the money supply” because in the real world it’s not a scalpel — it’s a stick of dynamite. Pull liquidity out too fast, and you don’t get lower prices; you get a credit freeze, layoffs, and a wave of defaults.

The Fed already does controlled contraction through rate hikes and balance-sheet runoff, because that’s the only way to do it without blowing a hole in the economy.

The fantasy of a big, deliberate shrinkage sounds clean on paper. In practice, it’s a recession generator, not a solution.
"The growth of knowledge depends entirely upon disagreement." - Karl Popper

“You can vote Socialism in, but you’re gonna have to shoot your way out of it.” - Me

Online Luis Gonzalez

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Online Hoodat

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The way we usually contract the money supply is via “foreign aid”.

Get it out of circulation and send it elsewhere.

If it returns. It’s (usually) in the form of purchases of American products.

Wow.  Your economic ignorance is staggering.

Dollars going overseas are still part of the money supply.  And that pales in comparison to the number of trade deficit. dollars outgoing.

Oh, and those dollars usually return in the purchase of commodities, real estate. and business investments.
If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Online Luis Gonzalez

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Wow.  Your economic ignorance is staggering.

Dollars going overseas are still part of the money supply.  And that pales in comparison to the number of trade deficit. dollars outgoing.

Oh, and those dollars usually return in the purchase of commodities, real estate. and business investments.

Calling me “ignorant” usually means that your argument is running low on fuel. Let’s stick to substance.

I’m not claiming foreign aid contracts the money supply — Griffin doesn’t either. His point is that sending dollars abroad can temporarily blunt domestic inflation by letting those dollars circulate overseas before returning as U.S. purchases or Treasuries.

Before crafting my article, I checked mainstream sources supporting this mechanism:

Dollar recycling / petrodollar flows: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-petrodollar-explosion-where-does-it-all-end/

Exported inflation / imported disinflation: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2022/03/inflation-global-factors-ha-rossi-zerah

Foreign purchases soaking up U.S. liquidity: https://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/2011/1014/ifdp1014.htm

It’s not a permanent fix, but it’s a real mechanism: money leaves, circulates abroad, then returns, shifting when and where inflation hits.

Name-calling doesn’t make that any less true.
"The growth of knowledge depends entirely upon disagreement." - Karl Popper

“You can vote Socialism in, but you’re gonna have to shoot your way out of it.” - Me