Actually he has proof. They screwed that pooch last fall with their downward revision, yet that seems to be swept under the rug.
Their trust is already out the door.
Where was the proof? The downward revisions? There have been revisions on these numbers all of the time I've been aware of them.
According to ChatGPT, here are the revisions:
🧾 Summary Table
Month Original Estimate Revision Final Estimate
January +143,000 — +143,000
February +117,000 –15,000 +102,000
March +228,000 –43,000 +185,000
April +147,000 +11,000 +158,000
May +139,000 +5,000 +144,000
June +147,000 –133,000 +14,000
Combined May/June — –258,000 —
July +73,000 (May/June retroactive cuts) +73,000
I don't really see any pattern there, do you? Looks like up and down revisions, which has happened at least since W (that I'm aware of).