Visegrád 24
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At the current pace of Russia’s offensive, it would take Vladimir Putin 103 years to occupy all of Ukraine.
The Economist estimates that to fully occupy the Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions alone, Russia would need another five years if its current rate of advance remains unchanged.
Since launching its renewed offensive in May 2025, Russia has seized just 0.4% of Ukrainian territory and failed to achieve any major strategic goals.
The front line has remained largely static since Ukraine’s counteroffensive in October 2022, while losses have been catastrophic.
From the start of the full-scale invasion until January 2025, Russian losses were estimated at 640,000–877,000 troops, including 137,000–228,000 killed.
By October 13, those numbers had risen by almost 60%, reaching between 984,000 and 1.43 million total casualties, with 190,000–480,000 killed, based on data compiled by Western governments and independent researchers.
Earlier, DeepState estimated that since November 2022, Russia has occupied less than 1% of Ukraine’s territory.