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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1400 on: October 05, 2025, 10:59:19 pm »
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1401 on: October 05, 2025, 11:02:14 pm »
MAKS 25 🇺🇦👀
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA

🔥 Feodosiya oil terminal



7:54 PM · Oct 5, 2025  ·  14.7K Views

https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1974986624728805615
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1402 on: October 05, 2025, 11:05:21 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1403 on: October 05, 2025, 11:08:05 pm »
Meanwhile, Putin continues his slaughter of Ukrainian civilians:


OSINT Intuit 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 🇬🇧 🇺🇦 🇮🇱 🇬🇪
@UKikaski

At least 8 persons were killed by the RF strike on Lviv last night. Four of the deaths were from one family alone including a 15-year-old.

#Genocide
#PutinWarCriminal



8:09 AM · Oct 5, 2025  ·  2,692 Views

https://x.com/UKikaski/status/1974809175805817023
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1404 on: October 05, 2025, 11:12:24 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1405 on: October 05, 2025, 11:17:00 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1406 on: October 05, 2025, 11:25:50 pm »
Russian politician who called for Ukraine ceasefire is charged with telling lies about the army

Andrew Osborn  |  October 2, 2025  |  12:52 PM EDT

MOSCOW, Oct 2 (Reuters) - The deputy leader of Russia's liberal Yabloko party, which opposes the war in Ukraine, has been charged with spreading lies about the Russian army, and could face up to 10 years in jail if found guilty.

Maxim Kruglov, 38, a former lawmaker in Moscow's city legislature, told a Moscow court hearing on Thursday from a glass courtroom cage that the accusation against him was "absurd" and that he posed no danger to society.

The court disregarded his statement, however, and ordered he be held in a detention facility for just under two months until November 29 at state investigators' request.

Natalya Tikhonova, a lawyer for Kruglov, said her client had been charged over two posts he had made on the Telegram social media network in 2022. She said he had been harshly interrogated in the middle of the night, and that his home had been searched.

She said one post had referred to U.N. data about the number of people killed in the port city of Mariupol in eastern Ukraine which Russia took control of in May 2022, and another to events in Bucha, a town north of Kyiv, in March 2022.

Ukraine and its Western allies accuse Russian forces of killing civilians in Bucha; Moscow says killings there were staged to discredit its troops. In Mariupol, Ukraine says Russia was responsible for the deaths of thousands of civilians during a long siege  .  .  .

https://www.reuters.com/world/russian-politician-who-called-ukraine-ceasefire-is-charged-with-spreading-lies-2025-10-02/
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1407 on: October 05, 2025, 11:29:27 pm »
‘Not ready to fight endlessly’: Russian propagandists are breaking ranks as chronic war fatigue sets in

After nearly four years of relentless propaganda, some of Vladimir Putin’s trusty allies are breaking ranks to lift the lid on a number of claims.

Alex Blair  |  October 5, 2025  |  2:28PM

For years, Russia’s state-sponsored propagandists have told the public the same story.

The invasion of Ukraine was a continuously victorious forward march and a campaign of steady victories. But now, even some of the Kremlin’s most loyal mouthpieces are admitting Vladimir Putin’s favourite narrative no longer holds.

Frustrated US figureheads are also becoming increasingly blunt about Moscow’s failures despite early claims Donald Trump would broker a Russia-friendly settlement to end the war.

Unfortunately for Russia, the “special military campaign” once slated to take under three weeks has run for over three years. Western allies pumped billions into Ukraine’s defence in a bid to send a message, remaining firm that nobody, not even a superpower like Russia, can just roll their tanks in and seize land like they’re living in the early 20th century.  .  .

.  .  .  What’s different today is that the same doubts are surfacing even inside Russia’s highly complex propaganda machine.

Tatyana Montyan, a former Ukrainian lawyer turned ardent defender of Russia and its invasion, has now admitted manpower is drying up and warned President Vladimir Putin may soon be forced into another wave of mobilisation, a policy that has already forced thousands of military-aged men out of the country.  .  .

https://www.news.com.au/technology/innovation/military/not-ready-to-fight-endlessly-russian-propagandists-are-breaking-ranks-as-chronic-war-fatigue-sets-in/news-story/48a47f2bf37e33f2a20809cb0f264fa1
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline BobfromWB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1408 on: October 06, 2025, 10:52:55 am »
Kremlin snuffbox/Кремлевская табакерка, Oct 5 2025


The number of pacifists in Russia is growing. How is this possible?

Recent closed-door polling data has shown that in Russia, the number of people who not only do not support the war but are actually opposed is growing. The results of such polls should be taken with a grain of salt, as not all opponents of the SVO are willing to speak out openly in a war-torn environment.

Sociologists have recorded that more and more Russians are unwilling to participate in the military "at any price." According to Kremlin sources, at least several factors contributed to this figure.

"It's one thing when we talk about a short, victorious war. But when fighting has been going on for four years, and you're increasingly experiencing it firsthand, then it's perceived differently. In this regard, even the Chechen war didn't feel so close," the source said.

A source in the Presidential Administration's political bloc emphasized: "More and more people are becoming, in one way or another, not spectators, but direct participants in events. These include soldiers, their families, friends, and loved ones. People are dying, being wounded, and returning home with amputations. Whether we like it or not, there are more and more of these people on the streets."

This, according to interviewees, influences the perception of war as something terrible and horrific, but this vision needs to change.

"War isn't just a matter of time. We have a specific goal [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6243 ], and achieving it requires paying a high price. It's very sad that not everyone understands this," a Kremlin source said.


https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6259
« Last Edit: October 06, 2025, 10:56:06 am by BobfromWB »
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Offline BobfromWB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1409 on: October 06, 2025, 10:55:54 am »
Kremlin snuffbox/Кремлевская табакерка, Oct 5 2025


Putin hinted to Trump about Tomahawks, but there are concerns that he will "continue bluffing."

At a plenary session of the Valdai International Discussion Club, Vladimir Putin stated that the US decision to supply Ukraine with long-range, high-precision Tomahawk missiles would destroy the positive trends in relations between Moscow and Washington.

We previously wrote that the transfer of this type of missile is unlikely to fundamentally change the course of the fighting, but the Kremlin is trying at all costs to avoid this scenario. Not least because many important targets would fall within the range of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. And these aren't just drones, but actual missiles, albeit not the most modern.

"Vladimir Vladimirovich understands how to deal with Trump. It's a dance for two. And if the US president values ​​the thaw that has come with his arrival in the White House, then let him consider the consequences of his actions," one of Russia's leading diplomats told us.

Curiously, Vladimir Putin did not consult with Kirill Dmitriev before making this statement. This only confirms the significant decline in his influence [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6241 ].

Sources close to the President believe Donald Trump has been bluffing a lot lately. He's allegedly not actually prepared to hand over the Tomahawks to the Kyiv regime. But he will use this as a means of exerting pressure on both Moscow and Kyiv.

Another source, however, recalled that Russia often learned of the transfer of serious weapons to Ukraine from its allies after the fact. Let's hope that in the case of the Tomahawks, we'll at least learn about it in advance.


https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
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Offline BobfromWB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1410 on: October 06, 2025, 10:58:48 am »
Kremlin snuffbox/Кремлевская табакерка, Oct 6 2025

Could part of Russia be left without electricity?

It's easy to see that Ukraine has begun targeting not only our refineries but also our energy facilities. Specifically, problems are already being observed in the Belgorod and Bryansk regions.

In connection with the upcoming winter, our interlocutors hope for the best, but do not hide their concern.

"The number of drones is growing. It's clear that we can't protect all facilities with air defense systems. Residents of border regions need to be prepared for a certain amount of power shortages," said a government source.

He clarified that this doesn't just apply to the Kursk, Belgorod, and Bryansk regions and new regions. Krasnodar Krai, Crimea, the Tula, Voronezh, Rostov, and even Moscow regions could also be affected.

Sources in one of the border regions note that power outage schedules will be developed in the event of major emergencies, and they are already preparing for water and heating problems. Heating is perhaps the most important factor, as freezing of heating networks is essential in winter conditions.

However, all sources hope that a complete blackout in major cities can be avoided.


https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
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Offline BobfromWB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1411 on: October 06, 2025, 11:03:06 am »
Kremlin snuffbox/Кремлевская табакерка, Oct 6 2025


Putin was offered the opportunity to recruit migrants en masse into the army and form them into "Muslim suicide squads."

Philosopher Alexander Dugin conveyed this proposal to the President.

"I recently devised a mechanism for Russifying migrants (more about it here, ed. [ https://t.me/Agdchan/23373 ] ). I made the participation of their young men and women in the Special Military Forces a mandatory requirement. I thought long and hard about this idea and refined it. It's essential to recruit Muslim migrants en masse into the army and utilize them fully at the front," Alexander Gelyevich told us.

In his opinion, “the situation at the front is catastrophic; we are moving forward extremely slowly.”

"The problem can be solved with special units assembled from migrants. They won't even have to convert to Orthodoxy. We need to recruit Muslims en masse into the army and throw them into the attack - under the leadership of Russian commanders, but without direct Russian participation.

"A sort of Muslim suicide squad, after all, Islam says it's honorable to die in battle. Some of them could even become shahids and blow themselves up when they break through to enemy positions.

"Our enemy will definitely not withstand such a blow. These suicide bombers must perform a heroic act and pave the way for the advance of other units. And then things will get better. And the current disgrace on the front will be replaced by victories.

"And the families of the suicide bombers, whom they drag from their Asia, will receive full legalization and full rights in Russia," the philosopher described the essence of his proposal.

In his opinion, once the migrant groups have cleared a path, "select Russian troops will follow them." For now, he suggests sparing Russian soldiers," whose blood will still be needed on other fronts of our war, and not just in Ukraine."

Dugin noted that his proposal was received personally by Vladimir Putin.

The Kremlin confirmed that several of the philosopher's proposals (not only on the SVO but also on increasing the birth rate) have been submitted to the President. However, Vladimir Vladimirovich has not yet responded to them.

https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
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Offline BobfromWB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1412 on: October 06, 2025, 11:04:30 am »


Misplaced coma on the troop count. It should be 1,116,340.
« Last Edit: October 06, 2025, 11:06:37 am by BobfromWB »
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Offline BobfromWB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1413 on: October 06, 2025, 11:08:47 am »
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1414 on: October 06, 2025, 06:16:14 pm »
MAKS 25 🇺🇦👀
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA

🔥🚫 Reuters: Kirish refinery, one of Russia's largest, has shut down its main AVT-6 primary oil processing unit after a drone strike and fire on October 4. The shutdown could take about a month.

The shutdown will reduce oil product production in Russia, which is already facing a fuel crisis and shortages of some grades of gasoline due to repeated attacks on its energy infrastructure by Ukrainian drones.

The plant, owned by Surgutneftegaz, is meanwhile restoring another primary unit damaged in a previous attack in September. The company plans to operate at ≈70% capacity by bringing in other units.



10:29 AM · Oct 6, 2025  ·  57.5K Views

https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1975206717324407200
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Online Kamaji

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1415 on: October 06, 2025, 06:56:12 pm »
Quote from: Hoodat on October 06, 2025, 06:16:14 pm
MAKS 25 🇺🇦👀
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA

🔥🚫 Reuters: Kirish refinery, one of Russia's largest, has shut down its main AVT-6 primary oil processing unit after a drone strike and fire on October 4. The shutdown could take about a month.

The shutdown will reduce oil product production in Russia, which is already facing a fuel crisis and shortages of some grades of gasoline due to repeated attacks on its energy infrastructure by Ukrainian drones.

The plant, owned by Surgutneftegaz, is meanwhile restoring another primary unit damaged in a previous attack in September. The company plans to operate at ≈70% capacity by bringing in other units.



10:29 AM · Oct 6, 2025  ·  57.5K Views

https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1975206717324407200

Ukraine should keep hitting it until it shuts down completely.
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Nie mój cyrk, nie moje małpy

Offline berdie

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1416 on: October 06, 2025, 07:13:49 pm »
Quote from: Kamaji on October 06, 2025, 06:56:12 pm
Ukraine should keep hitting it until it shuts down completely.


Yep.
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Offline PeteS in CA

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1417 on: October 06, 2025, 07:48:11 pm »
The estimates I've heard are that 35% or more of Russia's refining capacity is offline. I have a feeling that Russia's ability to repair the facilities - replacement parts, equipment, and skilled people - is strained.
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I am not and never have been a leftist.

If, as anti-Covid-vaxxers claim, https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2021/robert-f-kennedy-jr-said-the-covid-19-vaccine-is-the-deadliest-vaccine-ever-made-thats-not-true/ , https://gospelnewsnetwork.org/2021/11/23/covid-shots-are-the-deadliest-vaccines-in-medical-history/ , The Vaccine is deadly, where in the US have Pfizer and Moderna hidden the millions of bodies of those who died of "vaccine injury"?

Millions now living should have died. Anti-Covid-Vaxxer ghouls hardest hit.

Offline MeganC

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1418 on: October 06, 2025, 10:16:48 pm »
Quote from: PeteS in CA on October 06, 2025, 07:48:11 pm
The estimates I've heard are that 35% or more of Russia's refining capacity is offline. I have a feeling that Russia's ability to repair the facilities - replacement parts, equipment, and skilled people - is strained.

If by 'strained' you mean 'non-existent', I agree   tipping hat!!
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1419 on: October 06, 2025, 10:54:49 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1420 on: October 06, 2025, 10:55:24 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1421 on: October 06, 2025, 10:57:33 pm »
WarTranslated
@wartranslated

A new record for strike range on Russian territory — attack drones flew 2,000 kilometers to hit an oil refinery in Tyumen.

The Russians didn’t even activate an air raid alert, as they did not expect an attack from such a distance.



Video:  https://x.com/i/status/1975323691304264157

6:14 PM · Oct 6, 2025  ·  16.2K Views

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1975323691304264157
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1422 on: October 06, 2025, 11:03:46 pm »
WarTranslated
@wartranslated

A Russian war correspondent complains that due to Ukrainian drones, the chances of simply reaching the front lines are 50/50, and the life expectancy of a Russian assault soldier in the war in Ukraine is 12 days.



9:53 AM · Oct 6, 2025  ·  88.3K Views

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1975197740486554087
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1423 on: October 06, 2025, 11:05:27 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1424 on: October 06, 2025, 11:13:54 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1425 on: October 06, 2025, 11:17:58 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1426 on: October 06, 2025, 11:21:17 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1427 on: October 06, 2025, 11:22:27 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1428 on: October 06, 2025, 11:40:06 pm »
Leaked Data Exposes Catastrophic Russian Army Losses: Over 280,000 Casualties in Just Eight Months

Vlad Litnarovych  |  Oct 06, 2025  |  13:44

For the first time, internal Russian figures on military losses in 2025 have surfaced, published by the Ukrainian project “I Want to Live ,” revealing devastating personnel and equipment losses that Moscow has tried to conceal on October 6.

According to the leaked data, in the first 243 days of 2025, Russia lost 281,550 soldiers killed, wounded, missing, or captured.

Tatarigami_UA
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The Ukrainian project @hochuzhit_com has published a photo of a document with Russian losses over 8 months, from January to September 2025. According to it, total KIA numbers 86,744, roughly 10,843 per month, which is very close to our earlier estimates. Total losses are 281,550



5:05 AM · Oct 6, 2025  ·  638K Views

https://x.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1975125211914834145

Of those, 86,744 were killed, including 1,583 officers and 8,633 prisoners recruited from penal colonies. 33,966 are missing, among them 11,427 convicts.

158,529 wounded, including 6,356 officers and 16,489 prisoners, and 2,311 captured by the Ukrainain forces.

In addition to the human toll, the Russian military reportedly lost 13,145 pieces of equipment beyond repair and 48,458 units damaged but salvageable. On average, that amounts to 35,193 personnel and 7,700 pieces of equipment lost each month, with 1,643 destroyed irrecoverably.  .  .

https://united24media.com/latest-news/leaked-data-exposes-catastrophic-russian-army-losses-over-280000-casualties-in-just-eight-months-12228
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1429 on: October 06, 2025, 11:43:46 pm »
Drone Raid on Russia’s Major Explosives Factory—Ukraine Targets Heart of Kremlin’s Shell Production

Vlad Litnarovych  |  Oct 06, 2025  |  15:43


Illustrative image. Aerial view of the Sverdlov explosives plant in Dzerzhinsk, Nizhny Novgorod region. (Photo: open source)

Ukraine’s General Staff has confirmed a successful strike on one of Russia’s most critical defense industry sites—the Zavod im. Ya. M. Sverdlova explosives plant in the Nizhny Novgorod region, some 750 kilometers from the Ukrainian border, on October 6.

The attack triggered “numerous explosions and a fire in the target area,” according to the official statement.

The Sverdlov plant, located outside the city of Dzerzhinsk, is Russia’s largest producer of explosives used to fill everything from artillery shells to ballistic missiles.

It is also, by Moscow’s own declarations, the country’s only industrial-scale manufacturer of octogen (HMX) and hexogen (RDX), key compounds that underpin almost the entire range of Russian ammunition.  .  .  .

https://united24media.com/latest-news/drone-raid-on-russias-major-explosives-factory-ukraine-targets-heart-of-kremlins-shell-production-12237
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1430 on: October 06, 2025, 11:47:05 pm »
Russian Officer Torches $6M Mi-8 Helicopter in “Trash-Burning” Mishap at Airbase

Ivan Khomenko  |  Oct 06, 2025  |  10:35

A Russian National Guard officer inadvertently destroyed a Mi-8AMTSh helicopter after ordering the burning of waste near an airfield in Novocherkassk, Kommersant reported.

According to the Russian outlet, the incident occurred last year when the officer instructed a subordinate to burn garbage in a pit despite explicit prohibitions from command and heightened fire risk.

The flames spread rapidly through dry grass and reached an area where aviation equipment was parked.

The fire consumed a Mi-8 helicopter containing fuel, rescue equipment, parachutes, and pyrotechnic supplies. The total damage to the 685th Separate Special-Purpose Aviation Regiment of the National Guard was estimated at 574 million rubles.

A military investigation initially charged the officer, identified as Nikolai Novosyolov, with abuse of power under Article 286 of the Russian Criminal Code. The Novocherkassk Garrison Court later reclassified the case as negligence under Article 293, citing “especially large-scale material damage.”

Kommersant reported that Novosyolov fully admitted guilt. The court sentenced him to a fine of 350,000 rubles and barred him from holding supervisory positions for one year. A civil claim by the aviation unit was partially satisfied, with the officer ordered to pay five million rubles in compensation.

The regiment appealed the ruling, demanding full reimbursement of the losses. However, the Southern District Military Court upheld the original verdict, noting that with a monthly income of about 37,000 rubles, the officer would be unable to repay the total cost of the destroyed helicopter.  .  .  .

https://united24media.com/latest-news/russian-officer-torches-6m-mi-8-helicopter-in-trash-burning-mishap-at-airbase-12210
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1431 on: October 06, 2025, 11:49:21 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1432 on: October 06, 2025, 11:52:55 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline BobfromWB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1433 on: October 07, 2025, 06:15:20 am »
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 6, 2025

Excerpts:

Russia appears to be accelerating the informational and psychological condition setting phase - “Phase 0” - of its campaign to prepare for a possible NATO-Russia war in the future. Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) claimed on October 6 that the United Kingdom (UK) is planning for a group of pro-Ukrainian Russians fighting for Ukraine to conduct an attack on a Ukrainian Navy ship or a foreign civilian vessel in a European port.

The SVR claimed that the saboteurs will claim they were acting on orders from Moscow and that the UK plans to equip the group with Chinese-made underwater equipment in order to blame the People's Republic of China (PRC) for supporting Russia's aggression against Ukraine.

The SVR’s October 6 claim follow similar SVR false flag claims targeting European states, such as Poland, Moldova, and Serbia, and the SVR has been issuing such statements more frequently in recent weeks that constitute a new concerted pattern of activity.


Russia appears to be conducting concerted preparations as part of the physical and psychological condition-setting phase for war contingencies. Russia has been engaged in a variety of overt and covert attacks against NATO states, such as sabotage missions, electronic warfare (EW) interference, GPS jamming, and arson, in recent years.

Russia has dramatically increased these attacks on NATO states in recent weeks since Fall 2025 - most notably with the drone incursions into NATO airspace.

This pattern of organized activity suggests that Russia has entered the first phase of preparations - “Phase 0” - to move to a higher level of war than the one Russia is currently engaged in, such as a future NATO-Russia war.

ISW is not assessing at this time whether the Kremlin has decided to engage in such a higher level of war or on what timeline the Kremlin may expect to do so. Russia has been undertaking longer-term plans that ISW assesses may be part of preparation for a NATO-Russia war in the future, such as the restructuring of Russia's military districts on its western border and the buildup of military bases on the border with Finland.

ISW has not observed indicators that Russia is actively preparing for an imminent conflict with NATO at this time.


Russia's overt and covert attacks and false flag claims serve multiple purposes for Moscow both internationally and at home. Russia aims to create fear throughout the European population and fragment NATO's resolve. The wide range in the type and location of the attacks and false flag claims aims to foster a sense that the threat of violence is pervasive throughout all of Europe.

Russia aims to use fear in Europe to gain concessions in its war against Ukraine and a possible future NATO-Russia war. Russia is trying to push Europeans to decrease their support of Ukraine out of fear that continued support will increase Russia's overt or covert attacks.

Russia is also trying to push Europe to decrease or cease its ongoing efforts to shore up its defenses out of fear that these efforts will provoke Russian attacks. These efforts are part of Russia's wider reflexive control campaign that aims to push Russia's opponents to make policy decisions that actually benefit Russia.

The Kremlin's use of the SVR’s repeated false flag claims aims to affect the Russian population's views of the West, framing Western actors - not Russia - as responsible for attacks or threat of attacks. The Kremlin is setting conditions to justify and rally public support for any possible future Russian aggression against NATO.


European officials continue to report drone sightings in European airspace. Norwegian officials reported a possible sighting of unidentified drones over the Gardermoen International Airport in Oslo, Norway, on the night of October 5 to 6 ...


German officials attributed recent drone flights over the Munich Airport to Russia. German Chancellor Friederich Merz stated on October 5 that he “assumes” that Russia was behind “most” of the drone flights that forced German authorities to close the Munich Airport on the nights of October 2 to 3 and October 3 to 4 ...


The Kremlin continues to deny responsibility for recent drone incursions into NATO airspace. Russian Security Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev used his English-language Telegram account on October 6 to deflect blame away from Russia for recent drone incursions in European airspace, including by claiming that the drones could have been a Ukrainian provocation.

Medvedev claimed that the reason for the incursions “is not the point.” Medvedev threateningly claimed, rather, that the point is for Europeans to “get a taste of what the danger of war really means” and to feel their “imminent and excruciating end closing in.” Medvedev claimed that French President Emmanuel Macron and Merz are “scoring political points on blood” and that Europeans might “rip the heads off” of Macron and Merz if Europeans were to “understand what war means” ...


Russian forces conducted a fiber optic first-person view (FPV) drone strike for the first time against Kramatorsk on October 5 - furthering Russian efforts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics within and near the fortress belt in Donetsk Oblast. Kramatorsk City Military Administration Head Oleksandr Honcharenko reported on October 5 that Russian forces struck Kramatorsk with a fiber-optic FPV drone for the first time, damaging a car ...

Russian forces are now able to conduct FPV strikes against all the cities of the fortress belt - Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, and Kostyantynivka.

Russian strikes against logistics hubs and major ground lines of communication (GLOCs) in the fortress belt are part of Russia's efforts to adapt its drone technologies and tactics to generate effects of battlefield air interdiction (BAI).

Russian forces are expanding their employment of fiber optic drones, including by equipping relatively cheap Molniya fixed-wing FPV drones with fiber optic cables to make the Molniyas immune to Ukrainian electronic warfare (EW).

Russia is also reportedly producing over 50,000 fiber optic drones per month. [ The US is aiming to ramp up production of small drones - not fiber optic - to 20,000 per year ... ] ...


Ukraine continues to conduct long-range drone strikes against Russian defense industrial enterprises and oil refineries. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on October 6 that Ukrainian forces conducted a strike against the Sverdlov Plant in Dzerzhinsk, Nizhny Novgorod on the night of October 5 to 6.

The Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Sverdlov Plant is one of Russia's largest explosives manufacturers and produces ammunition for aviation and artillery shells, aerial bombs, anti-tank guided missiles warheads, ammunition for Russian engineering forces, and warheads for air defense missiles.


The Ukrainian General Staff reported and geolocated footage confirmed that Ukrainian forces struck the Naval Oil Terminal in occupied Fedosia, Crimea, which transports oil and oil products from railway cars to sea vessels and road transport vehicles, and supplies Russian forces in Ukraine ...

Brovdi noted that Russian forces use the terminal to supply fuel to Russian forces in occupied Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts by rail. Russian opposition outlet Astra reported that Ukrainian forces also struck the Ayvazivska railway station in Feodosia.

A Kremlin-affiliated Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces struck the Tuapse Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai overnight, causing a fire in a security room and injuring 2 ...


Reuters reported on October 6 that Ukraine's October 3 to 4 overnight strike against the Kirishinefteorgsintez Oil Refinery in Kirishi, Leningrad Oblast, shut down its CDU-6 oil refining unit, which has a capacity of 160,000 barrels per day and accounts for 40 percent of the plant's total refining capacity ...

ISW continues to assess that Ukraine's strike campaign against Russian refineries is impacting Russia's domestic gasoline market, exacerbating shortages, and causing price spikes that will likely push inflation upwards and create further macroeconomic instability in Russia.


Russian forces conducted a series of drone strikes against Ukraine on the night of October 5 to 6, striking a maternity hospital ...

The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Ukrainian air defense downed 83 drones and that 30 drones struck 7 locations. Ukrainian Presidential Office Head Andriy Yermak reported that Russian drones targeted a maternity hospital in Sumy Oblast with 11 children, 35 patients, and 120 employees inside, causing a fire ... Russia is prioritizing strikes against civilians and energy infrastructure to continue its long-standing campaign to degrade Ukraine's energy security ahead of Winter 2025–2026 and demoralize the Ukrainian populace.


The Ukrainian military continues to transition to a corps structure. The Ukrainian General Staff confirmed on October 6 that it is disbanding the Dnipro Group of Forces (GoF), which was responsible for operations from Kharkiv Oblast through Zaporizhzhia City, as part of its transition to the corps structure.

Ukrainian forces formally began implementing organizational reforms to transition the Ukrainian military into a corps structure in February 2025 ...

Ukraine's efforts to form an echelon between brigades and operational groups of forces and to strengthen the army corps staff structure will likely improve Ukrainian command and control for Ukrainian brigades and help facilitate more effective operations, assuming Ukraine can effectively develop the corps-level professional staff


https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-6-2025/
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Offline BobfromWB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1434 on: October 07, 2025, 09:10:38 am »
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Offline PeteS in CA

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1435 on: October 07, 2025, 10:53:17 am »
Quote from: MeganC on October 06, 2025, 10:16:48 pm
If by 'strained' you mean 'non-existent', I agree   tipping hat!!

The supply of specialized parts/equipment may be exhausted, since Ukraine often hits refineries a couple of weeks after previous hits. IOW, hitting when repairs are in progress and new parts/equipment are on site. The supply of specialized personnel probably is less than the number of refineries needing repair.
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I am not and never have been a leftist.

If, as anti-Covid-vaxxers claim, https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2021/robert-f-kennedy-jr-said-the-covid-19-vaccine-is-the-deadliest-vaccine-ever-made-thats-not-true/ , https://gospelnewsnetwork.org/2021/11/23/covid-shots-are-the-deadliest-vaccines-in-medical-history/ , The Vaccine is deadly, where in the US have Pfizer and Moderna hidden the millions of bodies of those who died of "vaccine injury"?

Millions now living should have died. Anti-Covid-Vaxxer ghouls hardest hit.

Offline PeteS in CA

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1436 on: October 07, 2025, 11:02:56 am »
A drone flying 2000 Km is not likely to carry a very large explosive payload, but it complicates Russian SAM protection coverage.

I wonder whether vodka was a factor in the destruction of that Mi-8 transport helicopter.
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I am not and never have been a leftist.

If, as anti-Covid-vaxxers claim, https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2021/robert-f-kennedy-jr-said-the-covid-19-vaccine-is-the-deadliest-vaccine-ever-made-thats-not-true/ , https://gospelnewsnetwork.org/2021/11/23/covid-shots-are-the-deadliest-vaccines-in-medical-history/ , The Vaccine is deadly, where in the US have Pfizer and Moderna hidden the millions of bodies of those who died of "vaccine injury"?

Millions now living should have died. Anti-Covid-Vaxxer ghouls hardest hit.

Offline DefiantMassRINO

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1437 on: October 07, 2025, 11:21:19 am »
Lviv is awfully close to Poland.

I wonder if Russians are agitating the Poles in the hopes they'll instigate the NATO vs Russia War that Putin needs for Russian domestic political consumption.

Or, Putin is reminding Ukrainians that no place is safe from attack within Ukraine to undermine Zelensky.

Putin doesn't need to win.  He just needs the other side to lose before he does.
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Offline DB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1438 on: October 07, 2025, 04:48:30 pm »
Quote from: PeteS in CA on October 07, 2025, 11:02:56 am
A drone flying 2000 Km is not likely to carry a very large explosive payload, but it complicates Russian SAM protection coverage.

I wonder whether vodka was a factor in the destruction of that Mi-8 transport helicopter.

Who knows where the drone was launched from. Could have been near the target for all we know.
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1439 on: October 07, 2025, 06:14:56 pm »
Quote from: DefiantMassRINO on October 07, 2025, 11:21:19 am
Lviv is awfully close to Poland.

I wonder if Russians are agitating the Poles in the hopes they'll instigate the NATO vs Russia War that Putin needs for Russian domestic political consumption.

The only reason Putin is launching missiles at Lviv is because Ukrainian civilians live there.
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1440 on: October 07, 2025, 06:16:10 pm »
Quote from: DB on October 07, 2025, 04:48:30 pm
Who knows where the drone was launched from. Could have been near the target for all we know.

There's a few Russian propagandists out there insisting that the drones were launched from Kazakhstan.
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1441 on: October 07, 2025, 06:22:35 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1442 on: October 07, 2025, 11:41:50 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1443 on: October 07, 2025, 11:42:30 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1444 on: October 07, 2025, 11:47:08 pm »
Anton Gerashchenko
@Gerashchenko_en

Today, Russian dictator, war criminal and international terrorist Putin turns 74. He now definitely has one year less left to live.

When Putin invaded Ukraine, did he think this would become his last war? Of course not. He has plans that go way beyond Ukraine.

But Russia will never be the same again. Essentially, Putin is in fact already dead. He has thrown Russia decades back in development by starting this bloody war. There is no way back for him now, and he's trying to drag down as many people as he can with him.

The question is - how soon and at what price will Putin be removed from power. And so, to be honest, I think that the real question and issue here is how soon will Ukraine get everything it needs to win the war and weaken Putin's regime irreparably.

Like any normal person, I am incredibly sick of Putin by now. I hope a time will come soon when he and any mentions of him will disappear from the face of the earth.

What will you wish Putin on his birthday?



Last edited
7:57 AM · Oct 7, 2025  ·  264.1K Views

https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1975531018028208594
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1445 on: October 07, 2025, 11:51:48 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline Hoodat

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1446 on: October 07, 2025, 11:54:38 pm »
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Offline MeganC

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1447 on: October 08, 2025, 08:48:38 am »
I am in Indio, California (near Palm Springs) right now. Business + vacation. I was at Sherman's yesterday and met a charming Russian couple who fled Russia several years ago. They both used to work for Russia 1 television.

They said the economy was going down before the 2022 phase of the war and no one was surprised that Putin wanted to reconquer the former Warsaw Pact countries. Russia the way it is cannot exist without colonies or client states.

They think Russia will collapse by this time next year.

 :0001:
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Offline PeteS in CA

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1448 on: October 08, 2025, 09:53:26 am »
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I am not and never have been a leftist.

If, as anti-Covid-vaxxers claim, https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2021/robert-f-kennedy-jr-said-the-covid-19-vaccine-is-the-deadliest-vaccine-ever-made-thats-not-true/ , https://gospelnewsnetwork.org/2021/11/23/covid-shots-are-the-deadliest-vaccines-in-medical-history/ , The Vaccine is deadly, where in the US have Pfizer and Moderna hidden the millions of bodies of those who died of "vaccine injury"?

Millions now living should have died. Anti-Covid-Vaxxer ghouls hardest hit.

Offline BobfromWB

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Re: Ukraine 7
« Reply #1449 on: October 08, 2025, 10:14:08 am »
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 7, 2025

Excerpts:


The Kremlin continues its reflective control campaign aimed at preventing the US from selling Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine. Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated on October 7 that the US sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine would be a “serious escalation” that would not change the situation on the frontline in Ukraine, and noted that Tomahawk missiles can carry a nuclear warhead.

Peskov stated that Putin made his position “unequivocally” clear on how Russia would respond to such action, referring to Putin's October 2 and 5 threats against the US provision of Tomahawk missiles. Putin threateningly warned the United States against selling Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine ... claiming that American military personnel would have to directly participate in Ukrainian Tomahawk strikes ... threatened on October 5 that US provisions of Tomahawk missiles would “lead to the destruction” of the “emerging positive trend” in US-Russian relations.

ISW continues to assess that the Kremlin is attempting to portray potential US Tomahawk deliveries to Ukraine as a dangerous escalation to deter the United States from sending such weapons to Ukraine.


Other Russian officials are echoing Putin's threats. Russian Security Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev absurdly claimed on October 7 that Ukraine would use US-made Tomahawk missiles to strike Paris, Berlin, and Warsaw and that US President Donald Trump ”should understand that” ...

Russian State Duma Deputy Maksim Ivanov and Russian Senator Vladimir Dzhabarov similarly claimed that Russia would be forced to launch a “preemptive” strike against Ukraine and that “not only Ukraine will suffer” if the US sends Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine.

The Kremlin has previously conducted similar influence operations when the United States was discussing sending Ukraine Army Tactical Missile Systems ATACMS, HIMARS, F-16 fighter jets, and Abrams tanks, and has routinely successfully delayed the provision of Western weapons to Ukraine ...

These recent Russian threats about Tomahawk missile provisions are part of Russia's wider reflexive control campaign that aims to coerce Russia's opponents to make policy decisions that actually benefit Russia.


Leaked Russian estimates of Russian killed in action (KIA) to wounded in action (WIA) rates in Ukraine underscore the impact of increased tactical drone usage in Ukraine and the extent to which drones complicate ground advances and casualty evacuation.

Ukraine's “I Want to Live” initiative published leaked Russian data on October 6 detailing Russian military casualties from January to August 2025.

The data indicates that Russian forces suffered a total of 281,550 casualties of which: 86,744 were killed in action (KIA), including 1,583 officers and 8,633 penal recruits; 33,996 are missing in action (MIA), including 11,427 penal recruits; 158,529 were wounded in action (WIA), including 6,356 officers and 16,489 penal recruits; and 2,311 were captured.

Ukraine's “I Want to Live” initiative's data on total Russian military casualties from January to August 2025 is similar to Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Oleksandr Syrskyi’s report that Russian forces had suffered 299,210 casualties since January 2025 as of September 9.

Ukraine's “I Want to Live” initiative reported that Russia's casualty ratio is one KIA for every 1.3 WIA, likely due to insufficient tactical medicine training and the Russian military command's frequent failure to sufficiently rehabilitate WIA.

The standard KIA to WIA ratio is one-to-three, which demonstrates that the Russian forces currently appear to have an abnormally high KIA to WIA ratio (1:1.3) likely due to the efficacy of pervasive tactical-level drone strikes that have created kill zones (an area immediately near the frontline where a mass of tactical strike and reconnaissance drones pose an elevated risk to any equipment or personnel that enters the area) throughout the theater, complicating both sides ability to evacuate casualties and triage WIA.

ISW has previously observed reports that the Russian military command is struggling to and frequently refusing to recover WIA, likely due to the threat of Ukrainian drone strikes that are significantly complicating movement on the battlefield.


The leaked estimates indicate that Russian forces suffered their highest casualties in the Pokrovsk, Kupyansk, and Lyman directions between January and August 2025, reflecting command prioritization of these sectors of the front. The “I Want to Live” documents indicate that the Russian Central Grouping of Forces, responsible for the Pokrovsk direction, suffered the heaviest casualties during this period, with 43,709 killed, missing, and captured and 52,865 wounded.

These figures reflect the Russian military command's prioritization of the Pokrovsk direction throughout 2025, as Russian forces suffered roughly 34% of their casualties in this direction during the first 8 months of 2025.

The Central Grouping of Forces’ 2nd Combined Arms Army (CAA) (Central Military District [CMD]) suffered 15,310 killed, missing, and captured and 16,260 wounded, and the 51st CAA (formerly 1st Donetsk People's Republic Army Corps [DNR AC], Southern Military District [SMD]) suffered 13,000 killed, missing, and captured and 14,201 wounded - the heaviest casualties out of Russia's CAAs.

The 2nd CAA has been involved in fighting mainly south and east of Pokrovsk since October 2023 and the 51st CAA redeployed to the frontline east of Pokrovsk in early 2025 and is currently responsible for Russia's penetration toward Dobropillya.

The Central Grouping of Forces’ 41st CAA, active in the Novopavlivka and Pokrovsk directions, suffered 7,544 killed, missing, and captured and 13,335 wounded. Russian forces have failed to seize Pokrovsk, Myrnohrad, Novopavlivka, or Druzhkivka after months of fighting despite sustaining significant casualties.


The documents reveal that Russia's Northern Grouping of Forces ... suffered 53,572 casualties, second only to the Central Grouping of Forces. Russian forces may have sustained a significant portion of these casualties during the intensified Russian effort to retake Kursk Oblast in February and March 2025. The Western Grouping of Forces, responsible for the Kupyansk, Lyman, and Borova directions, suffered 47,410 casualties.

The 1st Guards Tank Army (Moscow Military District [MMD]), primarily active in the Lyman and Kupyansk directions, suffered casualties of 9,987 killed, missing, and captured and 11,411 wounded - the third highest figure among Russia's CAAs fighting in Ukraine - underscoring the intensity of fighting in the Kupyansk and Lyman directions in recent months. The Western Grouping of Forces’ 20th CAA (MMD), active in the Borova and Lyman directions, suffered casualties of 6,410 killed, missing, and captured and 5,712 wounded. The Western Grouping of Forces has failed to seize any of the major settlements in its area of responsibility (AoR) - Kupyansk, Borova, and Lyman - in 2025.


Russian forces also sustained significant casualties in lower priority frontline areas in eastern and southern Ukraine. The Southern Grouping of Forces, active in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area and the Siversk direction, suffered 32,740 casualties, with the 3rd CAA (formerly 2nd Luhansk People's Republic [LNR] AC, Southern Military District [SMD]) around Siversk suffering 13,055 casualties, the highest in the grouping of forces.

The Southern Grouping of Forces has made minimal progress since seizing Toretsk in June 2025. The Eastern Grouping of Forces, responsible for eastern Zaporizhia Oblast and the Velykomykhailivka direction, suffered 38,011 casualties, with the 5th CAA (Eastern Military District [EMD]), responsible for Russia's grinding advance toward and into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, suffering 16,980 casualties, the highest in the grouping of forces.

The documents indicate that fighting in the Dnepr Grouping of Forces’ AoR, which includes the Kherson direction and western Zaporizhia Oblast, remains relatively desultory amid ongoing Russian efforts to reactivate the frontline in western Zaporizhia Oblast with the Dnieper Grouping of Forces suffering 13,243 casualties.


Russian forces appear able and willing to sustain these casualty rates despite achieving limited tactical advances. A Russian insider source that has consistently provided accurate reports about changes in the Russian military command previously reported that the Russian MoD recruited 292,000 people between January 1 and September 15, 2025 - an average of 31,600 recruits per month.

The leaked documents indicate that Russian forces lost an estimated 281,550 casualties between January and August 2025 - an average of 35,193 casualties per month.

Russian casualty rates thus far in 2025 appear slightly higher than current monthly Russian recruiting rates, but Russian casualty rates have been decreasing over the last four months ...

ISW previously assessed that Russian casualty rates marginally decreased and gains became less costly during Summer 2025 compared to Fall 2024 and Spring 2025, likely due in part to Russia's renewed emphasis on using UAVs to interdict Ukrainian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) in rear areas.

Russia has proven its ability to recruit enough people to sustain losses in Ukraine over the last 3 years while possibly beginning to generate a strategic reserve, and the Kremlin is unlikely to abandon or decrease the pace of operations in Ukraine so long as Russia can continue to more than sustain such losses.


European states continue to provide humanitarian and military aid to Ukraine and conclude joint agreements with Ukraine's defense industrial base (DIB) ...


Ukrainian Minister of Strategic Industries Herman Smetanin announced on October 7 that Ukrainian state-owned defense enterprise manager Ukroboronprom concluded cooperation agreements for “float and fly” drone concepts with US-based drone manufacturer LeVanta Tech at the Third International Defense Industry Forum (DFNC3) in Kyiv ...


The Russian military command reportedly appointed Former Commander of the Russian Force Grouping in Syria Lieutenant General Sergei Kisel as the deputy commander of the Northern Grouping of Forces. A Russian insider source, who has accurately reported on Russian military command changes in the past, reported on October 6 that Kisel became the deputy commander of the Northern Grouping of Forces under the recently appointed Northern Group of Forces Commander Colonel General Yevgeny Nikiforov ... Kisel commanded the 1st Guards Tank Army (GTA, Moscow Military District [MMD]) at the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, but Russian authorities reportedly suspended Kisel in Spring 2022 for his failure to seize Kharkiv City and sent Kisel to serve in Syria.

Russian milbloggers claimed in late 2024 that the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) removed Kisel as the commander of the Russian Force Grouping in Syria for unspecified reasons.

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-7-2025/
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