November 8, 2024
Dog ate my homework: Allan Lichtman offers his excuses for failing to foresee Trump's big victory
By Monica Showalter
As callings for Trump rolled in early Wednesday, plenty of conservatives were looking for laughs from leftists broadcasting themselves bawling about the result for all the world to behold.
I was laughing at this tweet from RealClearPolitics founder Tom Bevan:
https://twitter.com/TomBevanRCP/status/1854165260195758514Lichtman is a bright academic prognosticator, but boy, was he insufferable during this election, claiming he had 'science' of some kind to forecast the election for Kamala Harris.
He says it's unnecessary to rely on polls or other indicators for presidential predictions, because all one needed to do was look at his system of 13 "keys," meaning, checkboxes of conditions on the ground, in a methodology that sort of resembles how Chinese astrology is done.
Lichtman had been right in the past but with all the media attention he got for it, he seemed to have lost his touch, reaching Peak Allan instead of a correct prediction. He badmouthed RealClearPolitics which has a poll of polls, as well as pollsters in general because he insisted he was always right. He got into a scrap with Nate Silver, who makes predictions of his own, a long extended one on Twitter, insisting that Nate's forecast for a Trump victory was utter nonsense.
Now he's eating crow, and his excuses are something else.
more
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/11/dog_ate_my_homework_allan_lichtman_offers_his_excuses_for_failing_to_foresee_trump_s_big_victory.html
