Here’s the key to reading the tight polls and predicting a Trump win

[Lando Lincoln]

Here’s the key to reading the tight polls and predicting a Trump win
New York Post
Henry Olsen
November 3, 2024

Readers of my Post piece predicting Donald Trump will win and Republicans will have a good night in congressional contests may wonder how I derived the numbers underlying those calls.

Here I examine that in detail and show why getting the balance between Democrats and Republicans among voters — partisan preference — is the key unlocking the polls.

(…)

https://nypost.com/2024/11/03/us-news/heres-the-key-to-reading-the-tight-polls-and-predicting-a-trump-win/

[Lando Lincoln]

Worth the read, I think.

[Bigun]

Here’s the key to reading the tight polls and predicting a Trump win
New York Post
Henry Olsen
November 3, 2024

Readers of my Post piece predicting Donald Trump will win and Republicans will have a good night in congressional contests may wonder how I derived the numbers underlying those calls.

Here I examine that in detail and show why getting the balance between Democrats and Republicans among voters — partisan preference — is the key unlocking the polls.

(…)

https://nypost.com/2024/11/03/us-news/heres-the-key-to-reading-the-tight-polls-and-predicting-a-trump-win/

 

[Lando Lincoln]

Here is Olsen’s summary, including his electoral map:

https://nypost.com/2024/11/03/opinion/this-race-is-close-but-im-predicting-donald-trump-wins-the-electoral-college-and-possibly-the-popular-vote/