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Online mystery-ak

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Latest Polls RCP
« on: October 06, 2024, 05:34:37 pm »
Stay up to date on all the latest 2024 election and state of the union polls. Gain valuable insights into the evolving political landscape and stay ahead of the latest trends.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2024, 08:01:24 pm »
 :bkmk:
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2024, 01:00:42 am »
Interesting. Shows Trump up 27 in ND.
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2024, 10:07:00 am »
When any of you check a poll.  The first and most important thing when looking at it, is whether the pollster is up front with their demographic numbers.   When they don't show or easily disclose........   It's one being tanked and biased for one side.  Kind of like today's I & I.
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Offline Free Vulcan

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2024, 10:40:30 am »
The problem with the polls is that the spread between Trump and Harris in the major swing states are still within the MOC (Margin-of-Cheating). I won't feel comfortable till they are double digits.
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2024, 01:28:04 pm »
There are many who think and feell that the Vegas money is a better tool to gauge voter sentiment that polls.

From RCP...  here is how Vegas see this, at this exact moment.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

Betting Odds Data
------------------

BETTING ODDS   
------------------
                              TRUMP     HARRIS
RCP Average.            -------      --------
                                  50.6   48.0
Betfair.                         48   48
Betsson                           50   48
Bovada                          53   48
Bwin.                           53   48
Points Bet                           52   50
Polymarket                   51   45
Smarkets                           47.    49                   

Trump ahead in 5 platforms, Harris ahead in 1, and one tie.   (Sorry for the spacing)
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Offline Kamaji

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2024, 07:00:58 pm »
Quote from: catfish1957 on October 08, 2024, 01:28:04 pm
There are many who think and feell that the Vegas money is a better tool to gauge voter sentiment that polls.

From RCP...  here is how Vegas see this, at this exact moment.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

Betting Odds Data
------------------

BETTING ODDS   
------------------
                              TRUMP     HARRIS
RCP Average.            -------      --------
                                  50.6   48.0
Betfair.                         48   48
Betsson                           50   48
Bovada                          53   48
Bwin.                           53   48
Points Bet                           52   50
Polymarket                   51   45
Smarkets                           47.    49                   

Trump ahead in 5 platforms, Harris ahead in 1, and one tie.   (Sorry for the spacing)


Yup.
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Online berdie

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2024, 07:42:48 pm »
Quote from: catfish1957 on October 08, 2024, 01:28:04 pm
There are many who think and feell that the Vegas money is a better tool to gauge voter sentiment that polls.

From RCP...  here is how Vegas see this, at this exact moment.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

Betting Odds Data
------------------

BETTING ODDS   
------------------
                              TRUMP     HARRIS
RCP Average.            -------      --------
                                  50.6   48.0
Betfair.                         48   48
Betsson                           50   48
Bovada                          53   48
Bwin.                           53   48
Points Bet                           52   50
Polymarket                   51   45
Smarkets                           47.    49                   

Trump ahead in 5 platforms, Harris ahead in 1, and one tie.   (Sorry for the spacing)



Maybe it's just me, but I'll go with the Vegas odds. It probably reflects more of what is really going on. Thanks for posting.
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2024, 03:06:54 pm »
Today in the betting markets, Trump has increased his lead from +2.6 to +4.0 (51.3-47.3)
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2024, 10:36:32 am »
Want Trump to win this thing?

Here is the plan:

Tucker Carlson, RFK, Jr. and Elon Musk are good friends with Joe Rogan.  They need to persuade him (quickly, to add) to do an interview with DJT.  If he did, it would be the most widely watched interview in history.  And somehow if they can just even get him to a mild endorsement?

Game over.....
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Online rustynail

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2024, 10:38:44 am »
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2024, 10:47:27 am »
Quote from: rustynail on October 10, 2024, 10:38:44 am
Joe Rogan Has 25 Days To Interview Donald Trump

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/joe-rogan-has-25-days-interview-donald-trump

Author had excellent observations..  Rogan is the most listened and influential non-partisan at this point. If he hates Kamel-uh Harris as much as he says he does, I hope he'll follow through.
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Online Lando Lincoln

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #12 on: October 10, 2024, 11:48:21 am »
It seems most markers are moving in Trump’s direction. And look at other factors. We are seeing Trump planning rallies at venues such as Madison Square Garden which will likely boost popular vote numbers. State candidates (Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin) are beginning to show concern for their once secure campaigns. The direction is real. Gotta keep the foot on the gas.
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Offline Bigun

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2024, 12:35:32 pm »
I find it REALLY strange that not one of these so called polling organizations EVER calls me.
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #14 on: October 10, 2024, 12:39:44 pm »
Quote from: Bigun on October 10, 2024, 12:35:32 pm
I find it REALLY strange that not one of these so called polling organizations EVER calls me.
It's like jury duty. If I have nothing to do and gobs of time, I'm never called in.
If I have a good job, money rolling in, things to do, they call me.
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How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #15 on: October 10, 2024, 12:48:00 pm »
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 10, 2024, 12:39:44 pm
It's like jury duty. If I have nothing to do and gobs of time, I'm never called in.
If I have a good job, money rolling in, things to do, they call me.

There is just a cosmic truth to some things in life.
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Online rustynail

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #16 on: October 10, 2024, 01:20:40 pm »
The Hill
@thehill
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3m
Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump by 6 percentage points among suburban voters, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll.
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #17 on: October 10, 2024, 01:24:04 pm »
Quote from: rustynail on October 10, 2024, 01:20:40 pm
The Hill
@thehill
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Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump by 6 percentage points among suburban voters, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll.

And Unicorn poo poo is rainbow colored too.   Nope.... Kamel-uh's only lead is in inner city areas.
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Offline The_Reader_David

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2024, 02:31:25 pm »
Quote from: catfish1957 on October 10, 2024, 01:24:04 pm
And Unicorn poo poo is rainbow colored too.   Nope.... Kamel-uh's only lead is in inner city areas.

There and college towns.
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #19 on: October 15, 2024, 02:02:07 pm »
Today in the betting markets....

Trump has reached an all time high in odds differnential since Harris has entered the race.

Vegas odds have increased his lead to 11.1%  (55.0-43.9)
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Online bigheadfred

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #20 on: October 15, 2024, 05:19:30 pm »
Leading Report
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BREAKING: Trump has reached a record high against Kamala Harris, with a 16.4-point lead, according to Polymarket odds.
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Online mystery-ak

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #21 on: October 15, 2024, 05:44:12 pm »
Nolte: Polls Show Trump Leading in Wisconsin and Michigan

John Nolte 15 Oct 2024

The two latest polls out of the crucial swing states of Wisconsin and Michigan show former President Donald Trump with a slim lead.

An AARP poll of 1,382 likely Michigan voters taken between October 2-8 found the race tied at 46 percent when third-party candidates are included. In a head-to-head race, Trump earned 49 percent support while sitting Vice President Kamala Harris sits at 48 percent.

most
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/10/15/nolte-polls-show-trump-leading-in-wisconsin-and-michigan/
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Offline mountaineer

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #22 on: October 15, 2024, 06:46:23 pm »
Donald Trump cracks 58% for the first time against Harris on political betting platform Polymarket. The surge comes as the left has launched a coordinated smear campaign to make Trump look "unfit" for office.
 
The betting markets appear to see through the smear campaign as Trump's odds to win surge. ...

https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1846265576970506621
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Offline mountaineer

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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #23 on: October 15, 2024, 06:51:03 pm »
Isn't Nate the guy so unreliable we shouldn't trust any farther than we could throw him?

Nate Silver
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Today's update. It's now literally 50/50.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1846259437599907880
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Re: Latest Polls RCP
« Reply #24 on: October 15, 2024, 09:16:05 pm »
Quote from: mystery-ak on October 15, 2024, 05:44:12 pm
Nolte: Polls Show Trump Leading in Wisconsin and Michigan

John Nolte 15 Oct 2024

The two latest polls out of the crucial swing states of Wisconsin and Michigan show former President Donald Trump with a slim lead.

An AARP poll of 1,382 likely Michigan voters taken between October 2-8 found the race tied at 46 percent when third-party candidates are included. In a head-to-head race, Trump earned 49 percent support while sitting Vice President Kamala Harris sits at 48 percent.

most
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/10/15/nolte-polls-show-trump-leading-in-wisconsin-and-michigan/

We need to remember that Trump under polled in 2016 and 2020 in these states. In Wisconsin, I think it was almost 6%. There are a lot of quiet Trump voters - not like the libs who blare their candidate while stomping their feet. Trump is outperforming the polls.
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