Kamala Up? What Do the Polls Really Say?

[mystery-ak]

August 7, 2024
Kamala Up? What Do the Polls Really Say?
By John Kudla

This is an interesting situation.  As Kamala rises in the polls, the stock market declines.  Are the two linked?  Probably not, but who knows?

As of today, the Kamala bounce seems to be real.  A Morning Consult poll from early this month has Harris up by 4 over Trump.  This is a massive poll of 11,000+ registered voters, supposedly giving it more credibility.  But what would be more convincing would be a more targeted poll of likely voters.  One key takeaway from this poll is that Kamala’s popularity may have peaked at 50% and is now moving down.

In what might be a case of polling schizophrenia, a recent Rasmussen Reports poll has Trump ahead by 4.  At nearly the same time, a more recent survey from Scott Rasmussen’s RMG Research showed that Kamala was up by 4.  Figure that out.

Clearly, Democrats were in a state of panic regarding Joe Biden.  Now that that crisis has passed and they have a candidate who can speak undemented though circular English, almost every leftist organization is in a state of verbal orgasmic euphoria.  But is this the result of irrational enthusiasm?  Plugged-in Democrat David Axelrod seems to think so and warned his party that “it is absolutely Trump’s race to lose right now.”

So Axelrod’s message to freaked out Trump-supporters is to get a grip.  Remember that the Real Clear Politics polling average of a five-way race has Kamala up by just a fraction.  On this date in 2016, the RCP average had Hillary up by almost 7.

more
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/08/kamala_up_what_do_the_polls_really_say.html

[Smokin Joe]

Yeah, and Hillary's 'fix' didn't take. But the ground rules have been changed, and the 'steal' worked much better the next time around. I'm sure it is even more refined by now. (They will keep using it until it doesn't work!)

[DefiantMassRINO]

I will not be early voting or mail-in voting.  This election will be a nail-biter through Election Day.

[240B]

I will not be early voting or mail-in voting.  This election will be a nail-biter through Election Day.

I plan to vote as many times as I can. The Democrats have made multiple voting legal these days.
In fact, multiple voting is a Democrat institution. "Vote early and vote often." is not joke anymore.

[Fishrrman]

It doesn't matter when I vote where I live.
My candidates will lose anyway (with the possible exception of "the local level")...

[jafo2010]

The decline in the market has EVERYTHING to do with Kamela.

Think back, and I will tell you, HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF.  AGAIN. AND AGAIN. AND AGAIN.

Back in June, 2008, after the Democrat Convention selected and confirmed Barack Obama, the market declined.  Bush got the blame, but it was the selection of Obama that had the market crash.  Now, Harris is selected, without a single person voting in the electorate, voting for her, without an EARNED DELEGATE, despite there being two other candidates[other than Biden] that did earn delegates and did receive votes from the electorate.  So much for democracy!

So, the Democrat Party candidate is someone dumber than a box of rocks, the market is going down, and people are curious to know if there is any connection?  Well, da!!!

I can see the DJIA falling to the teens again.  Would not be surprised in the least.

Instability is a HUGE agent with the markets.  How much more instable could we be with a dumber than a box of rocks leader like Harris?

And equally important, we have a POTUS who cannot stand trial because of mental deficiency, cannot run for another term for mental deficiency, and yet is still POTUS.  Talk about instability!!!    Ugggh!

[Smokin Joe]

wll, add to that, every proposed policy by Biden, and Now Harris/Walz is going to make energy more expensive and less reliable. The Envirocommunists are bad for industry, and wokeness is toppling icons, so who wouldn't want out of the markets?

[Smokin Joe]

Well, add to that, every proposed policy by Biden, and Now Harris/Walz is going to make energy more expensive and less reliable. The Envirocommunists are bad for industry, and wokeness is toppling icons, so who wouldn't want out of the markets?

[LMAO]

The decline in the market has EVERYTHING to do with Kamela.

Think back, and I will tell you, HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF.  AGAIN. AND AGAIN. AND AGAIN.

Back in June, 2008, after the Democrat Convention selected and confirmed Barack Obama, the market declined.  Bush got the blame, but it was the selection of Obama that had the market crash.  Now, Harris is selected, without a single person voting in the electorate, voting for her, without an EARNED DELEGATE, despite there being two other candidates[other than Biden] that did earn delegates and did receive votes from the electorate.  So much for democracy!

So, the Democrat Party candidate is someone dumber than a box of rocks, the market is going down, and people are curious to know if there is any connection?  Well, da!!!

I can see the DJIA falling to the teens again.  Would not be surprised in the least.

Instability is a HUGE agent with the markets.  How much more instable could we be with a dumber than a box of rocks leader like Harris?

And equally important, we have a POTUS who cannot stand trial because of mental deficiency, cannot run for another term for mental deficiency, and yet is still POTUS.  Talk about instability!!!    Ugggh!

No


The stock market was overvalued. It was overdue for a correction.

So when the stock market dropped to nearly  3000 points in 2020, whose fault was that?  When we had a sell off and the market dropped in late 2019 because of Trump’s trade war, was that Kamala Harris’s fault?


Trump said  in 2020 if Biden got elected, the stock market would crash. We reached record highs


Trump tried to take credit for its record highs earlier this year. He then tried to blame Kamala when it corrected earlier this week in an unhinged post. When it went up the next day, he was silent. I suspect he will do this frequently as the campaign heats up and his electoral prospects fade. Market goes up, it’s because of him. It goes down, Kamala’s fault

Even Neil Cavuto from FOX had to shake his head.

Trump’s strategy is to hope enough people suffer horribly enough so they elect him out of desperation. That might happen, but I wouldn’t want to  rely on that. We had a window into his mindset when  he said he hopes that the economy crashes before November.

Campaigns that run on doom never win. Even in 1980 when the national mood was at an all-time low, Reagan didn’t scream that if Carter got reelected, the markets would crash and we would go communist. And who can forget the “Hope and Change” slogan and how that propelled Barack Obama to the presidency