« on: January 29, 2024, 11:13:56 am »
https://hotair.com/david-strom/2024/01/29/how-russia-could-break-up-nato-n608102Germany is contemplating reinstating conscription because war with Russia within the next 5 years is now considered a distinct possibility.
That sounds insane despite the fact that European countries are seriously underprepared to defend themselves. Germany barely has a functional military anymore, despite promises to radically increase military readiness. German Leopard tanks are failing in Ukraine, the Luftwaffe is almost a joke, and their ammunition stockpiles are woefully inadequate.
The UK is still downsizing its military, believe it or not.
https://t.co/9KfUqtdH2f
Still, Russia has proven to be a pretty incompetent military, and NATO has always been able to rely on US defense promises.
The US could defeat Russia on the battlefield.
So why are European military and political leaders worrying about a confrontation with Russia. Until recently I discounted the possibility of direct conflict.
https://twitter.com/laszloan/status/1750505994331852852
The mistake that I was making was a simple but stupid one: assuming that a Russian military challenge to NATO would be a direct challenge to create a military-to-military attack.
It’s an easy mistake to make, but it fundamentally misunderstands what goal Russia would have in challenging NATO militarily. If you think that Russia would want to retake one or more of the Baltic states, you would have to assume that this would be a very risky move. Other NATO countries would likely respond, which would be devastating to the assets Russia put at risk.
Air power alone would be devastating because chances are good that NATO would begin the war with air superiority and rapidly have air dominance. Russia clearly has an air force that is inferior in quality to Western countries, and the US would be able to rapidly deploy devastating force. If Ukraine can hold its own against Russia, it would have no chance against combined NATO forces.
But what if Russia takes a different path?
EXCERPT
https://youtu.be/ZY7GPBSyONU

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