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Online GtHawk

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Hurricane Hilary thread
« on: August 16, 2023, 12:04:01 pm »
The Arizona Weatherman and Raiden Storm had a meteorological discussion on the upcoming potential of Hurricane Hilary hitting Arizona and Southern California towards the weekend.

https://original.newsbreak.com/@arizona-weatherman-1653400/3122504082514-future-hurricane-hilary-is-going-to-directly-impact-arizona-with-heavy-rain-and-thunderstorms.

« Last Edit: August 17, 2023, 06:15:13 pm by jmyrlefuller »
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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2023, 03:24:50 pm »
So instead of the illegals worrying about dying of thirst, the flash floods will get them?
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Offline Drago

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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2023, 09:41:24 pm »
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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2023, 11:14:05 pm »
For a moment I thought Katie Hobbs was enlisting Mrs. Clinton for help in something and this was in the wrong category...
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Offline Kamaji

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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2023, 06:14:05 am »
Quote from: jmyrlefuller on August 16, 2023, 11:14:05 pm
For a moment I thought Katie Hobbs was enlisting Mrs. Clinton for help in something and this was in the wrong category...

:silly:
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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2023, 11:43:10 am »
I was looking at the GFS models yesterday, and I noticed what appeared to be a 960Mb storm off the coast near SD next week.

I thought it was a glitch.  If it isn't it is a significantly rare event.
« Last Edit: August 17, 2023, 11:11:32 pm by catfish1957 »
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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #6 on: August 17, 2023, 12:27:14 pm »
I am looking forward to it.  I love a good Monsoon storm! 
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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2023, 01:35:49 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 17, 2023, 12:27:14 pm
I am looking forward to it.  I love a good Monsoon storm!
Well you are certainly well situated for one, on a hill and watching from the battlements of Castillo del Cyber :silly:
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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2023, 01:43:27 pm »
Quote from: GtHawk on August 17, 2023, 01:35:49 pm
Well you are certainly well situated for one, on a hill and watching from the battlements of Castillo del Cyber :silly:

You betcha!!
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #9 on: August 17, 2023, 01:51:49 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 17, 2023, 12:27:14 pm
I am looking forward to it.  I love a good Monsoon storm!

Finally your Moat will be filled....again.
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #10 on: August 17, 2023, 02:25:53 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 17, 2023, 12:27:14 pm
I am looking forward to it.  I love a good Monsoon storm!

Well, I know you're probably prepared, but take care of yourself.  You're one of my favorite people.  3333hugs  From the pics of the castle that you have posted you should be up high enough from any flooding. 

I'm wondering if your kitties get antsy when a storm hits?
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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #11 on: August 17, 2023, 02:40:09 pm »
Quote from: libertybele on August 17, 2023, 02:25:53 pm
Well, I know you're probably prepared, but take care of yourself.  You're one of my favorite people.  3333hugs  From the pics of the castle that you have posted you should be up high enough from any flooding. 

I'm wondering if your kitties get antsy when a storm hits?

Some of the kittehs do get weird when there is thunder and lightning outside but they know it's safe in here. 

We are 900 ft above the Colorado River, but there are a couple of washes here that will be running.  Several months ago we had a big storm and I could not get out of my neighborhood.  We do have plenty of food and water, for now.
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #12 on: August 17, 2023, 02:49:14 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 17, 2023, 02:40:09 pm
Some of the kittehs do get weird when there is thunder and lightning outside but they know it's safe in here. 

We are 900 ft above the Colorado River, but there are a couple of washes here that will be running.  Several months ago we had a big storm and I could not get out of my neighborhood.  We do have plenty of food and water, for now.


Wow, I didn't realize you were that high up. Wonderful. The Castillo del Cyber is a good place to be. :beer:
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #13 on: August 17, 2023, 04:20:00 pm »
Quote from: libertybele on August 17, 2023, 02:49:14 pm

Wow, I didn't realize you were that high up. Wonderful. The Castillo del Cyber is a good place to be. :beer:

It's usually 3 degrees below the temperature on the river because of our altitude.  Ears pop a couple of times every time we drive into town.
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Hurricane Hilary is 'strengthening rapidly' and will likely become 'major' storm today, forecasters
« Reply #14 on: August 17, 2023, 05:08:22 pm »
Hurricane Hilary is 'strengthening rapidly' and will likely become 'major' storm today, forecasters say
Hilary has now become a Category 2 hurricane

Hurricane Hilary, which is bound to impact California and the Southwest, is "strengthening rapidly" Thursday and is "likely to become a major hurricane" by the end of the day, forecasters are warning.

As of midday Thursday, the storm, which has now been upgraded to a Category 2 hurricane, is centered about 500 miles south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas in Mexico, with current maximum sustained winds of 105 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

"Heavy rainfall in association with Hilary is expected to impact the Southwestern United States from Friday through early next week, peaking on Sunday and Monday," the NHC said in its latest advisory. 

"Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated amounts in excess of 8 inches, will be possible across portions of southern California and southern Nevada," it added.

FOX Weather is forecasting parts of Arizona and Utah to be hit with several inches of rain as well through next Wednesday. .........

https://www.foxnews.com/us/hurricane-hilary-strengthening-rapidly-will-likely-become-major-storm-today-forecasters-say
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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #15 on: August 17, 2023, 06:16:10 pm »
Topics merged and stickied.
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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #16 on: August 17, 2023, 06:23:20 pm »
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #17 on: August 17, 2023, 06:26:11 pm »
Looks like I'm gonna get wet, starting tomorrow night.  The last heavy storm, I never lost WiFi, so knock on wood that I don't need to switch my Verizon hotspot on.
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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #18 on: August 17, 2023, 06:28:23 pm »
Latest from the National Hurricane Center:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?start
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Offline roamer_1

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #19 on: August 17, 2023, 06:29:30 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 17, 2023, 06:26:11 pm
Looks like I'm gonna get wet, starting tomorrow night.  The last heavy storm, I never lost WiFi, so knock on wood that I don't need to switch my Verizon hotspot on.

How are ya if the power goes? Got a fail-over jenny or anything?
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #20 on: August 17, 2023, 07:38:22 pm »
Quote from: roamer_1 on August 17, 2023, 06:29:30 pm
How are ya if the power goes? Got a fail-over jenny or anything?

No, if the power goes out I'll be SOL....
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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #21 on: August 17, 2023, 07:53:33 pm »
Quote from: catfish1957 on August 17, 2023, 11:43:10 am
I was looking at the GFS models yesterday, and I noticed what appeared to be a 960Mb storm off the coast of SD next week.

I thought it was a glitch.  If it isn't it is a significantly rare event.
Yeah, to those of us from the Dakotas, that seemed really screwed up.

Then I realized you were talking about Sandy Eggo.
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Offline roamer_1

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Re: Future Hurricane Hilary is going to directly impact Arizona with heavy rain and thunderstorms
« Reply #22 on: August 17, 2023, 08:13:59 pm »
Quote from: Smokin Joe on August 17, 2023, 07:53:33 pm
Yeah, to those of us from the Dakotas, that seemed really screwed up.

Then I realized you were talking about Sandy Eggo.

Yeah... I did the same thing... SODAK, wtf?   :silly: :beer:
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Offline Idiot

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Re: Hurricane Hilary is 'strengthening rapidly' and will likely become 'major' storm today, forecast
« Reply #23 on: August 17, 2023, 08:22:09 pm »
Quote from: libertybele on August 17, 2023, 05:08:22 pm
Hurricane Hilary is 'strengthening rapidly' and will likely become 'major' storm today, forecasters say
Hilary has now become a Category 2 hurricane

Hurricane Hilary, which is bound to impact California and the Southwest, is "strengthening rapidly" Thursday and is "likely to become a major hurricane" by the end of the day, forecasters are warning.

As of midday Thursday, the storm, which has now been upgraded to a Category 2 hurricane, is centered about 500 miles south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas in Mexico, with current maximum sustained winds of 105 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

"Heavy rainfall in association with Hilary is expected to impact the Southwestern United States from Friday through early next week, peaking on Sunday and Monday," the NHC said in its latest advisory. 

"Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated amounts in excess of 8 inches, will be possible across portions of southern California and southern Nevada," it added.

FOX Weather is forecasting parts of Arizona and Utah to be hit with several inches of rain as well through next Wednesday. .........

https://www.foxnews.com/us/hurricane-hilary-strengthening-rapidly-will-likely-become-major-storm-today-forecasters-say
Please let it come to Texas.  We were 110 degrees today.
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Hurricane Hilary is 'strengthening rapidly' and will likely become 'major' storm today, forecast
« Reply #24 on: August 17, 2023, 08:23:35 pm »
Quote from: Jack Russell on August 17, 2023, 08:22:09 pm
Please let it come to Texas.  We were 110 degrees today.

I arrange to send some.  You might get some rain when the Westerlies get hold of it.

ETA:  It's 110 here too.
« Last Edit: August 17, 2023, 08:24:37 pm by Cyber Liberty »
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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #25 on: August 17, 2023, 08:24:49 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 17, 2023, 06:26:11 pm
Looks like I'm gonna get wet, starting tomorrow night.  The last heavy storm, I never lost WiFi, so knock on wood that I don't need to switch my Verizon hotspot on.

Hunker down and be safe.  Prayers up that it blows itself out sooner rather than later.
 034
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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #26 on: August 17, 2023, 08:27:35 pm »
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #27 on: August 17, 2023, 08:49:04 pm »
Quote from: mystery-ak on August 17, 2023, 08:27:35 pm


That map shows us outside of the "cone of uncertainty," but when Hilary hits landfall in Baja California she will start spreading out, and we are on the east side of that (the "brunt.").  We expect significant rainfall.

Where am I?  Look at where Nevada narrows down to a point, where AZ, CA and NV join.  When I go to the cig store on the Res in Nevada, we are about 4 miles from the California border.

I heard the weather people on TeeVee say Palm Springs is expecting 5 inches.  I won't get that, but it will be plenty.  Good thing we got groceries a couple days ago.
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Offline Sighlass

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #28 on: August 17, 2023, 11:01:29 pm »
Ohh good grief, I honestly thought this was a Babylon Bee joke post knocking our much beloved (/s) Hillary Clinton. 
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Offline MajorClay

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #29 on: August 17, 2023, 11:09:57 pm »
Looks like it could get in the the gulf of california.
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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #30 on: August 17, 2023, 11:31:22 pm »
The Saharan dust is supposed to settle into the Atlantic next week, so we may have some named storms in that region once Hilary is dead.
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Hurricane Hilary is 'strengthening rapidly' and will likely become 'major' storm today, forecast
« Reply #31 on: August 18, 2023, 01:04:02 am »
Quote from: libertybele on August 17, 2023, 05:08:22 pm
Hurricane Hilary is 'strengthening rapidly' and will likely become 'major' storm today, forecasters say
Hilary has now become a Category 2 hurricane

One of the comments on that story:

tony7988545
9 hours ago

They don’t know where hurricane Hillary came from because somehow its previous path was deleted. They say it swung past Epstein‘s island. There was another storm next to it that tried to alert officials about the storm, but somehow that storm killed itself.
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Offline Kamaji

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #32 on: August 18, 2023, 07:09:03 am »
Hurricane Hilary now major hurricane with ‘significant’ impacts expected in California, Southwest

By Steven Yablonski, FOX Weather
August 18, 2023

Hurricane Hilary rapidly intensified into a Category 3 cyclone on Thursday, and forecasters said that the hurricane’s path means the storm could bring “significant” impacts to Southern California and the Southwest by the weekend and into the first part of next week.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), rapid intensification occurs when a tropical cyclone’s maximum sustained winds increase by at least 35 mph in a 24-hour period.

“Rainfall impacts from Hilary within the Southwestern United States are expected to peak this weekend into Monday,” the NHC said in an advisory. “Flash, urban and arroyo flooding is possible with the potential for significant impacts.”

Ocean water temperatures off the coast of California remain cool, so influence should diminish the intensity of Hurricane Hilary if the forecast track brings the storm to the Golden State.

What forecasters are keeping an eye on will be the abundant tropical moisture that could be flowing into California, Nevada and Arizona.

*  *  *

Source:  https://nypost.com/2023/08/18/hurricane-hilary-now-major-hurricane-with-significant-impacts-expected-in-california-southwest/
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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #33 on: August 18, 2023, 08:21:36 am »
Cat 4?
Quote
LIVE COVERAGE
Updated 4 minutes ago
Hurricane Hilary live updates: Category 4 storm barrels toward California
The National Weather Service warned that the hurricane was expected to bring “significant impacts” to the Southwestern U.S. this weekend into early next week.
Updated Aug. 18, 2023, 8:15 AM EDT
By NBC News

What to know about the Category 4 storm

    *Hurricane Hilary strengthened to a Category 4 storm early Friday and is expected to weaken before reaching California.
    *The National Weather Service warned the system was expected to bring "significant impacts" to the Southwest this weekend into early next week.
    *Hilary reached maximum sustained winds of 140 miles per hour as of early Friday, according to the National Hurricane Center.
    *If the system makes landfall in California as a tropical storm, it will be a rarity. The last time this happened in the past century was in Long Beach in 1939 ...
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/live-blog/hurricane-hilary-live-updates-rcna100563
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Offline Drago

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #34 on: August 18, 2023, 09:44:36 am »
"Spaghetti Maps" (computer prediction models) are here:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#09E

(Right side of page)
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #35 on: August 18, 2023, 10:18:02 am »
I don't wish hurricanes on anyone, But it is nice to see the Leftcoast press go all-in on ginning up fear there rather than being here in FL ginning up fear.
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Offline Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #36 on: August 18, 2023, 10:19:57 am »
Quote from: Wingnut on August 18, 2023, 10:18:02 am
I don't wish hurricanes on anyone, But it is nice to see the Leftcoast press go all-in on ginning up fear there rather than being here in FL ginning up fear.

Don't they also need the rain badly?
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #37 on: August 18, 2023, 10:29:54 am »
Quote from: Wingnut on August 18, 2023, 10:18:02 am
I don't wish hurricanes on anyone, But it is nice to see the Leftcoast press go all-in on ginning up fear there rather than being here in FL ginning up fear.

I am glad to see you on this thread...I am in the target now, and it went to a 4 overnight, a 3 was expected.  I got some rain last night, but it was not related to Hilary.  Monsoons are also starting to arrive.  And the track shifted a bit to the East.  The storms may converge here.
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Offline Gefn

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #38 on: August 18, 2023, 10:44:43 am »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 18, 2023, 10:29:54 am
I am glad to see you on this thread...I am in the target now, and it went to a 4 overnight, a 3 was expected.  I got some rain last night, but it was not related to Hilary.  Monsoons are also starting to arrive.  And the track shifted a bit to the East.  The storms may converge here.

@Cyber Liberty take care. Sandy was no joke so I wouldn't wish anything like that on anyone. Stay safe and I hope you and the kitties will be ok
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #39 on: August 18, 2023, 10:47:27 am »
Quote from: Gefn on August 18, 2023, 10:44:43 am
@Cyber Liberty take care. Sandy was no joke so I wouldn't wish anything like that on anyone. Stay safe and I hope you and the kitties will be ok

They know they are safe.  Sometimes having a Castle has its benefits.   rrthree
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #40 on: August 18, 2023, 11:24:27 am »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 18, 2023, 10:29:54 am
I am glad to see you on this thread...I am in the target now, and it went to a 4 overnight, a 3 was expected.  I got some rain last night, but it was not related to Hilary.  Monsoons are also starting to arrive.  And the track shifted a bit to the East.  The storms may converge here.

Here is the joke we post when we might be in the path of a 'cane


Jim Cantore
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #41 on: August 18, 2023, 11:44:04 am »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 18, 2023, 10:29:54 am
I am glad to see you on this thread...I am in the target now, and it went to a 4 overnight, a 3 was expected.  I got some rain last night, but it was not related to Hilary.  Monsoons are also starting to arrive.  And the track shifted a bit to the East.  The storms may converge here.

Thanks for the update; stay safe!!
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #42 on: August 18, 2023, 11:50:16 am »
Quote from: Wingnut on August 18, 2023, 11:24:27 am
Here is the joke we post when we might be in the path of a 'cane


Jim Cantore

:happyhappy:
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Online mystery-ak

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #43 on: August 18, 2023, 02:05:03 pm »
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Offline Idiot

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #44 on: August 18, 2023, 02:34:48 pm »
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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #45 on: August 18, 2023, 02:43:08 pm »
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Offline roamer_1

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #46 on: August 18, 2023, 02:51:15 pm »
Quote from: Wingnut on August 18, 2023, 10:18:02 am
I don't wish hurricanes on anyone, But it is nice to see the Leftcoast press go all-in on ginning up fear there rather than being here in FL ginning up fear.

I am with you on that.  :laugh:

BUT, all y'all are ready... And a cat 4 is a worry to you.

L.A. ain't ready. Their buildings ain't ready. Their people ain't ready. This is gonna suck for wherever this makes landfall. When's the last time there has been a serious cyclone at Cali's door?

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #47 on: August 18, 2023, 02:53:55 pm »
Quote from: roamer_1 on August 18, 2023, 02:51:15 pm
I am with you on that.  :laugh:

BUT, all y'all are ready... And a cat 4 is a worry to you.

L.A. ain't ready. Their buildings ain't ready. Their people ain't ready. This is gonna suck for wherever this makes landfall. When's the last time there has been a serious cyclone at Cali's door?

I sure don't remember any...I guess I will google it...lol
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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #48 on: August 18, 2023, 02:55:03 pm »
What was the last hurricane to hit California?
News of Hurricane Hilary barreling toward Southern California has drawn reminders of "El Cordonazo," a tropical storm that hit the state almost 84 years ago. "El Cordonazo," which made landfall in Long Beach in September 1939, is the last tropical storm recorded in California.1 hour ago

List of California hurricanes
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_California_hurricanes
« Last Edit: August 18, 2023, 02:56:04 pm by mystery-ak »
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Hurricane Hilary thread
« Reply #49 on: August 18, 2023, 02:57:01 pm »
Quote from: Wingnut on August 18, 2023, 10:18:02 am
I don't wish hurricanes on anyone, But it is nice to see the Leftcoast press go all-in on ginning up fear there rather than being here in FL ginning up fear.

I'm just hoping that this will be a quiet hurricane season for FL.  We could use a break.

Temps have dropped down today to 84.  Definitely some cooling off.
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