Democrat Votes Could Save Lisa Murkowski from Trump-Endorsed Kelly Tshibaka

[mystery-ak]

Democrat Votes Could Save Lisa Murkowski from Trump-Endorsed Kelly Tshibaka

Wendell Husebø 28 Aug 2022

Twenty-one year incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski’s (R-AK) best chance of defeating Trump-endorsed candidate Kelly Tshibaka could be Democrat voters.

Similar to how Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) tried to benefit from Democrat votes in her primary election loss, pro-impeachment Murkowski’s best hope of winning reelection against Tshibaka could be the opposition party.

Preliminary primary voting numbers from August 16 indicate Democrats could have contributed up to 30 points to Murkowski’s five point edge over Tshibaka (44.6 – 39.3 percent).

The Democrat vote could be just as impactful come November. J. Miles Coleman, the associate editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, estimated Tshibaka and Murkowski combined for about 85 percent of the open primary vote in which Democrats participated. That is because Alaska has open primaries ahead of a four-way ranked-choice general election, and thereby Democrats were permitted to vote for Murkowski in the primary — and they could select Murkowski as their second choice in the ranked-choice system in November.

In total, Democrat candidates in the August 16 primary only received about 8.5 percentage points with 90 percent reporting. But Democrat candidates usually receive between 38 and 40 percent of the general election vote in the largely conservative state, Tshibaka told Breitbart News in August. Coleman estimated the difference can add up to “a sign that Democrats may have supported Murkowski en masse.”

The combined 85 percent of the vote between Murkowski and Tshibaka with an estimated 38 to 40 percent overall turnout for Democrats in November suggests Democrats could account for a significant portion of the pro-Murkowski vote — perhaps roughly up to 30 points — depending on Democrat turnout and how Democrats vote in the ranked-choice voting system.

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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/08/28/democrat-votes-could-save-lisa-murkowski-from-trump-endorsed-kelly-tshibaka/

[Hoodat]

The way the GOP has stupidly and foolishly allowed the Dems to change the election format, all the Dems have to do is turn out to vote for the Dem candidate, and they will steal this seat.  The November ballot will have only four names on it - three Republicans and one Democrat.

[Fishrrman]

One more reason why "ranked-choice" voting should be outlawed EVERYWHERE, regardless of what type of election.

This will only happen with a "re-constituted" Constitution.
The existing one won't do.

[roamer_1]

I ain't saying it's so, but one thing that may spell disaster for Murkowski, believe it or not, is the Canadian Trucker strike - Yeah... Remember how Natives were treated during that?

AK is a lot like Canada - Natives have a big chunk of things. And native things bleed across the national borders - especially toward Alaska, but even down into the northern states. And Natives don't tend to forget. IIRC, Murkowski made comments backing Trudeau.

And that would make me laugh and laugh.

[libertybele]

The way the GOP has stupidly and foolishly allowed the Dems to change the election format, all the Dems have to do is turn out to vote for the Dem candidate, and they will steal this seat.  The November ballot will have only four names on it - three Republicans and one Democrat.

The GOP stupid and foolish??  Say it isn't so. 

[Cyber Liberty]

This isn't new.  Murky has always been elected by the Democrats.  That's why she's truly awful.

[Longiron]

One more reason why "ranked-choice" voting should be outlawed EVERYWHERE, regardless of what type of election.

This will only happen with a "re-constituted" Constitution.
The existing one won't do.

Will only happen when a opposition party is formed. The RINO party likes things just like they are and the UNIPARTY continues to live and thieve.