Five Thirty Eight - 2022

[libertybele]

Five Thirty Eight 2022 - Senate Forecast


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo

[mystery-ak]

Not to sure Nate is all that accurate lately..I know the Dems love him cause he tells them they are gonna win all the time...here is an interesting statement by Nate from the 2020 election...mindful taken out of context..lol

One big takeaway here is that, perhaps unsurprisingly, we did best in calling races correctly when we were more confident of the outcome. We got 41 percent of our toss-up calls right, along with 77 percent of our “lean” calls, 95 percent of our “likely” calls, and 100 percent (399 of 399) of our “solid” calls.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-fivethirtyeights-2020-forecasts-did-and-what-well-be-thinking-about-for-2022/

[HikerGuy83]

I still think 538 is one of the better bets when it comes to information.