Blue State Blues: Republicans Should Not Be Overconfident About 2022 — or 2024

[mystery-ak]

Blue State Blues: Republicans Should Not Be Overconfident About 2022 — or 2024

Joel B. Pollak 14 Jan 2022

Republicans have entered 2022 in a bullish mood. The conventional wisdom is that they will retake the House, and that they have a good chance of retaking the Senate as well, despite an unfavorable map.

Certainly President Joe Biden appears to be doing his best to help them, hitting a new record low approval rating of 33% in the Democrat-friendly Quinnipiac poll on Wednesday.

But Republicans aren’t doing too much yet to help themselves, and they risk wasting a golden opportunity.

First, the House. Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has governed as if she had been given a sweeping left-wing mandate rather than a razor-thin majority, the result of unexpected Democratic losses in 2020. Her caucus, sensing doom, has apparently started to panic: as of this week, 26 incumbent Democrats had announced their retirements.

Given that the president’s party typically loses 27 seats, on average, in the House during midterm elections, Republicans are already feeling confident.

more
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/01/14/blue-state-blues-republicans-should-not-be-overconfident-about-2022-or-2024/

[Kamaji]

Republicans should be campaigning and strategizing as if they were the third monkey on the ramp to Noah's ark, and it was beginning to rain heavily.

[Fishrrman]

There are as-yet unforeseen events between now and November.
Black swans...  waiting to spread their wings.