Author Topic: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling  (Read 580 times)

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Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« on: November 29, 2020, 07:09:48 pm »
Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
The Spectator, Nov 27, 2020, Patrick Basham

To say out-loud that you find the results of the 2020 presidential election odd is to invite derision. You must be a crank or a conspiracy theorist. Mark me down as a crank, then. I am a pollster and I find this election to be deeply puzzling. I also think that the Trump campaign is still well within its rights to contest the tabulations. Something very strange happened in America’s democracy in the early hours of Wednesday November 4 and the days that followed. It’s reasonable for a lot of Americans to want to find out exactly what.

First, consider some facts. President Trump received more votes than any previous incumbent seeking reelection. He got 11 million more votes than in 2016, the third largest rise in support ever for an incumbent. By way of comparison, President Obama was comfortably reelected in 2012 with 3.5 million fewer votes than he received in 2008.

Trump’s vote increased so much because, according to exit polls, he performed far better with many key demographic groups. Ninety-five percent of Republicans voted for him. He did extraordinarily well with rural male working-class whites.

He earned the highest share of all minority votes for a Republican since 1960. Trump grew his support among black voters by 50 percent over 2016. Nationally, Joe Biden’s black support fell well below 90 percent, the level below which Democratic presidential candidates usually lose.

Trump increased his share of the national Hispanic vote to 35 percent. With 60 percent or less of the national Hispanic vote, it is arithmetically impossible for a Democratic presidential candidate to win Florida, Arizona, Nevada, and New Mexico. Bellwether states swung further in Trump’s direction than in 2016. Florida, Ohio and Iowa each defied America’s media polls with huge wins for Trump. Since 1852, only Richard Nixon has lost the electoral college after winning this trio, and that 1960 defeat to John F. Kennedy is still the subject of great suspicion.


More: https://spectator.us/reasons-why-the-2020-presidential-election-is-deeply-puzzling/

Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2020, 07:10:55 pm »
 pointing-up

Quote
Mark R. Levin
@marklevinshow


This is an extremely important and compelling article.  Please read and share it everywhere.

5:06 PM · Nov 28, 2020·Twitter for Android

https://twitter.com/marklevinshow/status/1332808080237662208

Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2020, 07:15:39 pm »
Kyle Becker
@kylenabecker


READ THIS: "I am a pollster and I find this election to be deeply puzzling."

1. "President Trump received more votes than any previous incumbent seeking reelection. He got 11 million more votes than in 2016, the third largest rise in support ever for an incumbent." [Thread 1/13]

2. "Trump’s vote increased so much because, according to exit polls, he performed far better with many key demographic groups. Ninety-five percent of Republicans voted for him."

3. "He earned the highest share of all minority votes for a Republican since 1960. Trump grew his support among black voters by 50 percent over 2016... Joe Biden’s black support fell well below 90 percent, the level below which Democratic presidential candidates usually lose."

4. "Trump increased his share of the national Hispanic vote to 35 percent. With 60 percent or less of the national Hispanic vote, it is arithmetically impossible for a Democratic presidential candidate to win Florida, Arizona, Nevada, and New Mexico."

5. "Bellwether states swung further in Trump’s direction than in 2016. Florida, Ohio and Iowa each defied America’s media polls with huge wins for Trump. Since 1852, only Richard Nixon has lost the electoral college after winning this trio"...

6. "Midwestern states Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin always swing in the same direction as Ohio and Iowa, their regional peers. Ohio likewise swings with Florida. Current tallies show that, outside of a few cities, the Rust Belt swung in Trump’s direction."

7. "Yet, Biden leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin because of an apparent avalanche of black votes in Detroit, Philadelphia, and Milwaukee. Biden’s ‘winning’ margin was derived almost entirely from such voters in these cities"...

8. "... as coincidentally his black vote spiked only in exactly the locations necessary to secure victory.  He did not receive comparable levels of support among comparable demographic groups in comparable states, which is highly unusual for the presidential victor."

9. "We are told that Biden won more votes nationally than any presidential candidate in history. But he won a record low of 17 percent of counties; he only won 524 counties, as opposed to the 873 counties Obama won in 2008. Yet, Biden somehow outdid Obama in total votes."

10. "Victorious presidential candidates, especially challengers, usually have down-ballot coattails; Biden did not. The Republicans held the Senate and enjoyed a ‘red wave’ in the House, where they gained a large number of seats while winning all 27 toss-up contests."

11. "Trump’s party did not lose a single state legislature and actually made gains at the state level."

12. "Another anomaly is found in the comparison between the polls and non-polling metrics. The latter include: party registrations trends; candidates’ respective primary votes; candidate enthusiasm; social media followings; broadcast and digital media ratings; online searches"...

"Adding to the mystery is a cascade of information about the bizarre manner in which so many ballots were accumulated and counted. The following peculiarities also lack compelling explanations"... SEE  https://spectator.us/reasons-why-the-2020-presidential-election-is-deeply-puzzling/



12:34 AM · Nov 29, 2020·Twitter Web App

https://twitter.com/kylenabecker/status/1332920839235399681




Offline DB

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #3 on: November 29, 2020, 08:10:13 pm »
Bump to an excellent article.

Offline Absalom

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #4 on: November 29, 2020, 08:44:38 pm »
As the days pass, the finality of the election solidifies; yet alas not for the Followers.
For them, the election will be eternally puzzling;
a mystery wrapped in a riddle enveloped by an enigma.
No surprise, as their beliefs will always trump reality, no matter any facts
and this will be their mover and shaker for the next 4 years!!!

Offline Knox27

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #5 on: November 29, 2020, 08:49:09 pm »
As the days pass, the finality of the election solidifies; yet alas not for the Followers.
For them, the election will be eternally puzzling;
a mystery wrapped in a riddle enveloped by an enigma.
No surprise, as their beliefs will always trump reality, no matter any facts
and this will be their mover and shaker for the next 4 years!!!

Sad!

Offline DB

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #6 on: November 29, 2020, 08:53:43 pm »
As the days pass, the finality of the election solidifies; yet alas not for the Followers.
For them, the election will be eternally puzzling;
a mystery wrapped in a riddle enveloped by an enigma.
No surprise, as their beliefs will always trump reality, no matter any facts
and this will be their mover and shaker for the next 4 years!!!

You sure did drop your claimed principles of truth fast.

I didn't think you were an ends justify the means type but clearly I was wrong.

Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #7 on: November 29, 2020, 09:03:34 pm »
As the days pass, the finality of the election solidifies; yet alas not for the Followers. For them, the election will be eternally uzzling;
a mystery wrapped in a riddle enveloped by an enigma.  No surprise, as their beliefs will always trump reality, no matter any facts
and this will be their mover and shaker for the next 4 years!!!

Surprise us and try posting while sober --- just once.

Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #8 on: November 29, 2020, 09:40:21 pm »
Bump to an excellent article.

I agree.  BTTT.
For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
I will NOT comply.
 
Castillo del Cyber Autonomous Zone ~~~~~>                          :dontfeed:

Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #9 on: November 29, 2020, 09:41:22 pm »
As the days pass, the finality of the election solidifies; yet alas not for the Followers.
For them, the election will be eternally puzzling;
a mystery wrapped in a riddle enveloped by an enigma.
No surprise, as their beliefs will always trump reality, no matter any facts
and this will be their mover and shaker for the next 4 years!!!

@Absalom Who are you calling "Followers."  I want an answer to this question.
For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
I will NOT comply.
 
Castillo del Cyber Autonomous Zone ~~~~~>                          :dontfeed:

Offline Fishrrman

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #10 on: November 29, 2020, 11:31:18 pm »
"Something very strange happened in America’s democracy in the early hours of Wednesday November 4 and the days that followed. It’s reasonable for a lot of Americans to want to find out exactly what."

No, it's not what happened on November 4 (and the days following).
It's what happened in the months and years BEFORE November 3rd.

See here:
http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,419614.msg2325876.html#msg2325876

Offline Absalom

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #11 on: November 29, 2020, 11:50:07 pm »
@Absalom Who are you calling "Followers."  I want an answer to this question.
----------------------------------
Those who paid/pay attention to the daily comings/goings and affairs of Ted Williams and the Red Sox, of Bart Starr and the Packers, of Michael Jordan and the Bulls, of Matt Drudge and
his Reports, of Maria Bartiromo and her program, of Taylor Swift and her music, of Trump and his politics; among millions of examples.
Synonyms for followers include an adherent/devotee/supporter/defender/champion/
enthusiast/admirer/fan of a person/cause or activity.
« Last Edit: November 29, 2020, 11:52:31 pm by Absalom »

Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #12 on: November 30, 2020, 12:01:24 am »
----------------------------------
Those who paid/pay attention to the daily comings/goings and affairs of Ted Williams and the Red Sox, of Bart Starr and the Packers, of Michael Jordan and the Bulls, of Matt Drudge and
his Reports, of Maria Bartiromo and her program, of Taylor Swift and her music, of Trump and his politics; among millions of examples.
Synonyms for followers include an adherent/devotee/supporter/defender/champion/
enthusiast/admirer/fan of a person/cause or activity.

Works OK for me.  Just don't start calling Briefers "stupid" again.   888mouth
For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
I will NOT comply.
 
Castillo del Cyber Autonomous Zone ~~~~~>                          :dontfeed:

Offline Absalom

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Re: Reasons why the 2020 presidential election is deeply puzzling
« Reply #13 on: November 30, 2020, 01:44:58 am »
Works OK for me.  Just don't start calling Briefers "stupid" again.   888mouth
-----------------------
Man to Man Cyber, to the best of my awareness, I have never, ever called
anyone on TBR stupid, regardless of what my opinion of their opinion, is.
If you can locate such a label by me, I will formally apologize to the individual.
« Last Edit: November 30, 2020, 01:46:18 am by Absalom »