IBD/TIPP Poll: Biden, Trump Nearly Even Among Likely Voters
The most accurate poll for the 2016 presidential election now says that President Donald Trump is just 2.6 percentage points behind Democrat Joe Biden.
Four years ago, IBD/TIPP said the race between Trump and Hillary Clinton was closer than other national polls, and it was found to be the most accurate predictor of that election and the previous three.
The latest IBD/TIPP poll results show a tightening race between Trump and Biden among likely voters:
48.6% support Biden and 45.9% support Trump. That difference is within the margin of error.
A previous IBD/TIPP poll, whose results were released Sept. 21, showed Biden with a lead of 5.6 percentage points.
74% of registered voters who said they will vote for Trump back him strongly, while 66% of Biden voters said the same about their preferred candidate.
19% of registered voters said they are at least somewhat likely to change their mind about who they vote for before Election Day, including 26% of Trump voters and 13% of Biden voters.
45% said they think Trump will win the election, while 36% said they think Biden will win.
White voters support Trump, 53% to 42%.
Hispanic voters support Biden, 60% to 36.5%.
Black voters support Biden, 76% to 15%.
Biden leads among voters in the 18-24 age group (70% to 21%) and voters aged 65 and older (51.5% to 44%).
The poll was conducted from Sept. 30-Oct. 1 among 1,221 registered voters, including 1,023 likely voters. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.3 percentage points for the registered voters sample and plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for the likely voters sample. The sample of likely voters included 411 Democrats, 403 Republicans, and 201 independents.
RealClearPolitics calculates Biden's lead in national polls to be 6.8 percentage points.
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/ibdtipppoll/2020/10/02/id/990094/
