Rasmussen Reports noticed something very fishy about polling

[mystery-ak]

September 1, 2020
Rasmussen Reports noticed something very fishy about polling
By Andrea Widburg

One of the most famous clues in a Sherlock Holmes mystery is what's commonly referred to as "the dog that didn't bark," or, as Holmes actually said, "the dog did nothing in the night-time."  Rasmussen Reports, which puts out a Daily Presidential Tracking Poll like clockwork, noticed that its competitors ceased barking (or, if you prefer, polling) after the two parties held their conventions.  According to Rasmussen, which would know, this silence was unprecedented.

Rasmussen published a series of tweets on Monday openly snarking at its competitors for their silence.  Moreover, whoever is writing Rasmussen's tweets was not shy about identifying a reason for the other polling outfits' unusual reticence: the narrative up until the conventions was that Biden was unstoppable; it's now quite possible that he's been stopped.

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Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
OK folks, no joke, this is now a national poll suppression story.

WHERE. ARE. THE. POLLS.  ???

more
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/09/rasmussen_reports_noticed_something_very_fishy_about_polling.html

[mystery-ak]

This came out this morning...I would like to see the breakdown of Repubs and Dems


Biden holds 8-point national lead in new poll

Biden enjoys 51 percent of support from likely voters, compared to Trump’s 43 percent, according to the Morning Consult poll released on Tuesday.

The poll, conducted Aug. 28-30 among 12,966 likely voters, has a margin of error between 1 and 2 percentage points.

more
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/514544-biden-holds-8-point-national-lead-in-new-poll

[skeeter]

This came out this morning...I would like to see the breakdown of Repubs and Dems


Biden holds 8-point national lead in new poll

Biden enjoys 51 percent of support from likely voters, compared to Trump’s 43 percent, according to the Morning Consult poll released on Tuesday.

The poll, conducted Aug. 28-30 among 12,966 likely voters, has a margin of error between 1 and 2 percentage points.

more
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/514544-biden-holds-8-point-national-lead-in-new-poll

The rats sure aren't acting like a party with a 8 pt advantage.

[Cyber Liberty]

I haven't seen any "battleground state" polls since before the DNC.  I DDG'ed it yesterday and there don't appear to be any.  This is very suspicious.

[XenaLee]

I haven't seen any "battleground state" polls since before the DNC.  I DDG'ed it yesterday and there don't appear to be any.  This is very suspicious.

Ergo, why the left suddenly is "against" violence and riots.... and started blaming Trump....instead of their previous approval and enabling of said riots.   It bit them.   

[EdinVA]

Your surprised?
Biden is ahead, just like we have peaceful protestors, just like Trump conspired with the Russians, just like Hunter has nothing to do with Ukraine...

[aligncare]

This came out this morning...I would like to see the breakdown of Repubs and Dems


Biden holds 8-point national lead in new poll

Biden enjoys 51 percent of support from likely voters, compared to Trump’s 43 percent, according to the Morning Consult poll released on Tuesday.

The poll, conducted Aug. 28-30 among 12,966 likely voters, has a margin of error between 1 and 2 percentage points.

more
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/514544-biden-holds-8-point-national-lead-in-new-poll

I’ve been harping on this for three years. The polls skew the sample heavily to democrats. When I mentioned it a couple of folks here just laughed and challenged my assertion. You know who you are. I was right then, I continue to be right now. Thank me. 

[catfish1957]

RCP is often the "go-to" location for reviewing political races

Considering RCP takes averages of several of the most recent polls as race standing, this makes sense.  Sleazy MSM is trying to skew numbers to overweigh the earlier polls favorable to Biden.

[catfish1957]

I’ve been harping on this for three years. The polls skew the sample heavily to democrats. When I mentioned it a couple of folks here just laughed and challenged my assertion. You know who you are. I was right then, I continue to be right now. Thank me. 

RCP includes party push polling, and my educated guess is that the ratio of dim:GOP in overall internal polling is about 4 to 1.  I don't know if that is either RCP skewing it, or whether the GOP doesn't poll as much.  Anyone care to guess?

[Bigun]

Polls!

[truth_seeker]

RCP is often the "go-to" location for reviewing political races

Considering RCP takes averages of several of the most recent polls as race standing, this makes sense.  Sleazy MSM is trying to skew numbers to overweigh the earlier polls favorable to Biden.

It is preparing for a day after election, Coup d 'etat plot whereby a Trump victory would be questioned.Clinton, Bush family.

Who is funding BLM-Antifa?

Get ready for Facebook "fact checkers" etc.

[skeeter]

It is preparing for a day after election, Coup d 'etat plot whereby a Trump victory would be questioned.Clinton, Bush family.

Who is funding BLM-Antifa?

Get ready for Facebook "fact checkers" etc.

These are people who corrupted the FBI & CIA in a phony investigation, conducted an impeachment based upon a phone call, shut the entire economy down over a flu bug, and enabled killers who burned acres & acres of city real estate in order to defeat this president. They are now commmiting open extortion for &^% sake.

They are a crime syndicate. Does anyone think they do not have a plan to steal this election?

[Gefn]

I personally take polls with a grain of salt.

How many people know someone who will decide on Monday night or Tuesday morning who they’ll vote for?

[XenaLee]

These are people who corrupted the FBI & CIA in a phony investigation, conducted an impeachment based upon a phone call, shut the entire economy down over a flu bug, and enabled killers who burned acres & acres of city real estate in order to defeat this president. They are now commmiting open extortion for &^% sake.

They are a crime syndicate. Does anyone think they do not have a plan to steal this election?

I can guarantee that they're gonna try.   We won't let them get away with it, though.

[mystery-ak]

Biden blows past Trump in Arizona and sweeps in swath of battlegrounds: Poll

In total, Morning Consult surveyed 17,813 likely voters in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin for its late August round of research.

.@MorningConsult⁩ polls show race unchanged except in Ariz where Biden widens lead

Ariz: Biden 52-42
Mich: Biden 52-42
Pa: Biden 49-45
Minn: Biden 50-43
Wis: Biden 52-43
Fla: Biden 49-47
Tex: Trump 48-47
OH: Trump 50-45
NC: Biden 49-47
Ga: Biden 49-46

Nationwide, Biden had an 8-point lead on Trump, 51% to 43%. That separate Morning Consult tracking poll surveyed about 12,000 likely voters between Friday and Sunday. Its results were on par with the group's Aug. 14-16 study and put Biden in a better post-convention position to 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Four years ago, Clinton was only in front of Trump by 3 points after the conventions.

Biden's comfortable national berth in the Morning Consult polling can be compared to an Emerson College survey published Monday that had Trump behind Biden by only 2 points. But Morning Consult's research better aligns with polling averages. RealClearPolitics puts Biden ahead by an average of 6.2 points, while the two-term vice president is in front by an average 7.1 points, according to FiveThirtyEight.


more
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/biden-blows-past-trump-in-arizona-and-sweeps-in-swath-of-battlegrounds-poll

[Cyber Liberty]

It is preparing for a day after election, Coup d 'etat plot whereby a Trump victory would be questioned.Clinton, Bush family.

Who is funding BLM-Antifa?

Get ready for Facebook "fact checkers" etc.

Bookface just announced a tightening of the rules October 1st.  More pulled posts, more banning.

[skeeter]

I can guarantee that they're gonna try.   We won't let them get away with it, though.

Only one person can stop them - AG Barr.

[skeeter]

Biden blows past Trump in Arizona and sweeps in swath of battlegrounds: Poll

In total, Morning Consult surveyed 17,813 likely voters in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin for its late August round of research.

.@MorningConsult⁩ polls show race unchanged except in Ariz where Biden widens lead

Ariz: Biden 52-42
Mich: Biden 52-42
Pa: Biden 49-45
Minn: Biden 50-43
Wis: Biden 52-43
Fla: Biden 49-47
Tex: Trump 48-47
OH: Trump 50-45
NC: Biden 49-47
Ga: Biden 49-46

Nationwide, Biden had an 8-point lead on Trump, 51% to 43%. That separate Morning Consult tracking poll surveyed about 12,000 likely voters between Friday and Sunday. Its results were on par with the group's Aug. 14-16 study and put Biden in a better post-convention position to 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Four years ago, Clinton was only in front of Trump by 3 points after the conventions.

Biden's comfortable national berth in the Morning Consult polling can be compared to an Emerson College survey published Monday that had Trump behind Biden by only 2 points. But Morning Consult's research better aligns with polling averages. RealClearPolitics puts Biden ahead by an average of 6.2 points, while the two-term vice president is in front by an average 7.1 points, according to FiveThirtyEight.


more
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/biden-blows-past-trump-in-arizona-and-sweeps-in-swath-of-battlegrounds-poll

This is like listening to a radio broadcast of the Levittown Tigers beating the hell out of the Washington Nationals. I just don't buy it.

[mystery-ak]

This is like listening to a radio broadcast of the Levittown Tigers beating the hell out of the Washington Nationals. I just don't buy it.

The pollsters are  starting to use *likely voters* in their polls..BUT they neglect to tell us the ratio of Dem and Repubs samples...

[Free Vulcan]

It always comes do the makeup of the sample, which is basically the assumption of who is going to vote and how.

If that's wrong, your poll is wrong, but if the objective is to sway opinion rather than report it, you skew the sample.

Most campaign internal polls are far more accurate, but rarely released. As for the Dems, watch the body language and telegraphing to get an idea of what their internal polls are saying.

[Bigun]

It always comes do the makeup of the sample, which is basically the assumption of who is going to vote and how.

If that's wrong, your poll is wrong, but if the objective is to sway opinion rather than report it, you skew the sample.

Most campaign internal polls are far more accurate, but rarely released. As for the Dems, watch the body language and telegraphing to get an idea of what their internal polls are saying.

We've been saying exactly this for years now @Free Vulcan. How long does it take for it to soak in?

Polling is  done by people who know how to get the exact result they want.

[libertybele]

We've been saying exactly this for years now @Free Vulcan. How long does it take for it to soak in?

Polling is  done by people who know how to get the exact result they want.

    

[Free Vulcan]

We've been saying exactly this for years now @Free Vulcan. How long does it take for it to soak in?

Polling is  done by people who know how to get the exact result they want.

And ironically, it mostly seems to come back and bite them on the butt.

Such as with Hillary. They believed their own bs, and their candidate lost.

But they never learn.

[Fishrrman]

Gefn asked:
"How many people know someone who will decide on Monday night or Tuesday morning who they’ll vote for?"

Well, I don't associate with any... not any more.

But... there are thousands upon thousands, perhaps millions of them.

I decided who I would "vote for" (in 2020) on Wednesday November 9, 2016.

[Fishrrman]

Xena wrote:
"I can guarantee that they're gonna try.   We won't let them get away with it, though."

Agreed with your first sentence.
As for the second... too early yet to tell.

We squeaked by in the state of Florida back in 2000.

But the democrat-communists have learned a lot more about cheating since then. Gonna be HARDER to stop them at it this time around...