I'll cut FeelNoPain a little slack.
I'm on record here as predicting (months before ANYONE else in this forum) that the 2020 election is going to be a close one. REALLY close.
And that's IF Mr. Trump can win it.
Six months ago, it looked like he would (albeit modestly).
Now... even that prediction requires re-assessment.
I sense there are still one or two MORE "black swan events" comin' down the pike that no one can forsee at the moment. And no way to predict how they'll impact the outcome.
I'd truly enjoy my predictions above to be completely wrong, and that Mr. Trump wins by a big margin in both the electoral college and the popular vote.
We'll just have to wait and see.
A Fishrrman quote to remember:
"After Trump... the deluge...."