You are citing extremist’s numbers, not factual data about the numbers of people who have died.
No I am not - the predicted numbers of deaths across the course of this, according to worst case, is 200k to 1.7m
But that ain't even it.
They are using confirmed cases, which are cases tested and proved, to come up with the mortality rate. But for every confirmed case there are a myriad of cases that never will be tested or confirmed. Because testing is only done when symptoms present and warrant the testing.
to wit:
Say 100 confirmed cases with 1 death in a given region.
but there are 900 cases that never get logged, because the flu like symptoms were mild enough that the infected never went in to be tested...
The mortality rate is defined as 1 in 100.
But the truth is 1 in 1000.
That is a far cry less virulent and a far more palatable mortality rate... incidentally that rate will likely track with common virus pandemics... Like flu.
If less people are exposed, less people will become sick.
At the personal level that is true - you have a better chance (still a matter of chance). But not in the aggregate. Again, we have never controlled a virus in the wild. NEVER. It will run it's course.
And the economy will recover from these short term measures taken.
I take it you are not a small-businessman. When I was operating, I guarantee you, my businesses could not sustain a 60 day shut-down. Certainly not 90 days. ANY shut=down would have been flirting with bankruptcy. And I know I am not alone in that.
Shutting it off will be devastating on many many levels.
