Donald Trump is in serious danger of losing in 2020 (Klein)

[corbe]

Donald Trump is in serious danger of losing in 2020

by Philip Klein

September 11, 2019 04:29 PM
 
Having been burned the last time around, pundits may be wary of saying so, but the truth is President Trump is in serious danger of losing his reelection bid in 2020.

Of course, there’s reason to be cautious with any predictions. The election is more than a year from now, we have no idea who the Democratic nominee will be, previous incumbents have struggled with popularity in their third year only to be reelected the following fall, and Trump won in 2016 despite pooling poorly.

All of that said, there are a number of factors that should be worrisome to Trump and his Republican supporters.

To start, it’s worth remembering just how close Trump came to losing in 2016. Despite the appearance of a relatively comfortable Electoral College margin, Trump won because he edged out Hillary Clinton in three states (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan) by less than a point. Effectively, 80,000 additional votes in those states would have swung the election to Clinton. The Democratic nominee does not need to do dramatically better than Clinton in order to win, but only to marginally improve over Clinton’s performance in these battlegrounds.

Both nationally and at the individual state level Trump is extremely unpopular, with just a 39% approval rating in the most recent Gallup poll.

It’s true that at the equivalent time during their presidencies, Barack Obama and Ronald Reagan weren’t polling much better — at 40% and 43%, respectively. Both comfortably won reelection, Reagan doing so by a historic landslide.

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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columnists/donald-trump-is-in-serious-danger-of-losing-in-2020

[TomSea]

I agree, it's sad, one of the best presidents policywise of my lifetime, achievements too, perhaps his behavior makes him a target.

[Absalom]

I agree, it's sad, one of the best presidents policywise of my lifetime, achievements too, perhaps his behavior makes him a target.

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His behavior?????
Behavior is the way one conducts oneself toward others.
Trump's daily antics and capers are the stuff of the
unhinged and hardly any behavioral norm.
His Mother knew this when he was 10 years old!!!!!

[jafo2010]

Trump will win by a landslide.  Not quite as big as Reagan's 2nd term, but a huge win.

[FeelNoPain]

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His behavior?????
Behavior is the way one conducts oneself toward others.
Trump's daily antics and capers are the stuff of the
unhinged and hardly any behavioral norm.
His Mother knew this when he was 10 years old!!!!!

It is comical watching Trump enablers trying to understate just how deranged his daily lunacy is. If it was an elderly relative of theirs committing the exact same behaviors they would have long ago intervened.

[FeelNoPain]

I agree, it's sad, one of the best presidents policywise of my lifetime, achievements too, perhaps his behavior makes him a target.

Of course, Trump has valid policy points.
So why aren't you clamoring for someone who isn't so repulsive to such a large slice of the electorate to take the reins? Trump could save face, and possibly the country, right now by saying, "I've shown the Republicans how to win, brought to light the issues that are important to the American people, and now I'm handing the mantle off to someone else, so I can enjoy my family, my wealth, my young son, etc," and he could retire from politics undefeated.

If it wasn't for the immunity that his office holds, I wonder if he would be tempted to do just that.