@mystery-ak @Cyber Liberty@Applewood @musiclady @roamer_1 Article said, "For now, the hard-left vote — the spine of the Democratic Party this cycle — remains split between Warren and Sanders. If something’s not done and soon, Biden may ride his whoppers to the Democratic nomination."
I keep looking at the Dems using what I know about historical voting practices of voters - what makes them vote like they do.
I think Warren will be the candidate and for the same reason she becomes the candidate, she will beat Trump. Please don't do the usual and say I love Warren and hate Trump. This has to do with how Independents vote and how women will vote this particular election.
Independents vote by emotion as they care not who is Democrat and Republican. The country is divided about 40% hard core Dems and Reps. Independents are about 20% and it is that 20% who decides who wins, plus, this time, I put many Rep women voters added to the Independents in this election.
My opinion is, Independents are sick of every day Trump on TV keeping turmoil going every single day. They want peace in their house so they don't have to see this turmoil every day - therefore, vote for a Democrat to give them peace. Also, add they want a more steady number on the stock market, not this every day unknown market dropping hundreds of points, then moving up some. The market number depends on what Trump says in a tweet - Independents do not want this in their lives.
After Independent voters,
women of both parties do not like Trump - his morals, the way he treats women, no point in listing here why women don't like him - you already know that. Hard core Republican women will/may vote for him, but there are not that many really hard core Republican women country wide, and some of them are going behind the curtain at the voting booth and leaving that box unchecked or vote for a Dem. woman. That is another reason for Republican non hardcore women to vote for Warren - she is like them, a woman. Naturally, all Dems will vote for a woman. Even Dem men will vote for her over Trump - better a woman than him.
It is a long time before the primary and something could happen in the process for my opinion to change, but right now, this is what I see happening.