1. If he simply wins the same states from 2016 again, he wins again.
2. Two percent blacks increase, two percent Hispanic increases.
3. Trump is a disciple of Dr. Norman Vincent Peale; "The Power of Positive Thinking."
4. He beat the polls before, and may do it again, provided that he runs.
If when being entirely honest, you admit you have been wrong about him, you might want to consider that fact in your self-appraisal of your prediction prowess.