Nearly 380,000 votes were cast in Ohio 12 in 2016. Around 205,000 in Tuesday's Special election.
One would suspect that Democrats, who we are constantly being told are "engaged, motivated, enthused", would have a higher representation at the polls last Tuesday for an early-August Special Election than would the Republicans who have historically made this District a reliably red one.
With Gubernatorial and a U.S. Senate race on the ballot November 6, one can expect more of a Presidential year turnout than the usual off-year participation. That bodes well for the GOP, whose supporters have other interests and obligations in their lives besides politics and who are quick to suffer political fatigue.
Luntz is a jackass. He says whatever those who pay him want to hear. The supporters of GOP policy and candidates will be out en force this November. If the RATS had taken eight of nine of these special elections I'd be worried. But, the GOP candidates took 8 out of 9.