Author Topic: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over  (Read 2681 times)

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bkepley

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The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« on: August 11, 2015, 02:10:37 pm »
Quote
Harry Enten
FiveThirtyEight

Not long ago, Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders was surging. In just a few months, the Vermont senator halved Hillary Clinton’s lead in Iowa and moved to within shouting distance of her in New Hampshire. But it’s probably time to change the verb tense. No longer is Sanders surging. He has surged. From now on, picking up additional support will be more of a slog.
...
Support for Sanders rocketed up in Iowa but has leveled off since June. The story is nearly the same in New Hampshire. Sanders rose from June to July in the Granite State, but his ascent slowed.
...

I think like Trump he has an enthusiastic core but if it's not Hillary I don't think it'll be Sanders...maybe Biden.
More here: http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-bernie-sanders-surge-appears-to-be-over/

Offline mountaineer

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2015, 02:17:26 pm »
Didn't he just draw 25,000 or so in Portland, Ore.? No big surprise in that crazy town, but I wouldn't count him out just yet - unless he finally flips out over those #blacklivesmatter nuts that keep disrupting his rallies.  :laugh:
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bkepley

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2015, 02:30:37 pm »
Didn't he just draw 25,000 or so in Portland, Ore.? No big surprise in that crazy town, but I wouldn't count him out just yet - unless he finally flips out over those #blacklivesmatter nuts that keep disrupting his rallies.  :laugh:

Yes but FiveThirtyEight is usually pretty good at statistics.

Offline Carling

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2015, 02:34:51 pm »
He just got 27k in LA last night.  The kooks that comprise the Aden base are in for him.

Is he Howard Dean, the sequel?  Support that seems to be a mile wide, yet an inch deep?
« Last Edit: August 11, 2015, 02:35:42 pm by Carling »
Trump has created a cult and looks more and more like Hitler every day.
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Offline Dexter

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2015, 02:35:09 pm »
Underestimating Bernie Sanders would be an impressively stupid thing to do.
« Last Edit: August 11, 2015, 02:39:43 pm by Dexter »
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Offline Carling

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2015, 02:36:26 pm »
Underestimating Bernie Sanders would be an impressively stupid thing to do.

What is it about him that makes you support him?  Be true to yourself and stop this charade, please.
« Last Edit: August 11, 2015, 02:37:00 pm by Carling »
Trump has created a cult and looks more and more like Hitler every day.
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Offline Dexter

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2015, 02:37:40 pm »
What is it about him that makes you support him?  Be true to yourself and stop this charade, please.

You're truly a dwarf among internet trolls. I am immune to your nonsense.
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Offline musiclady

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2015, 02:38:12 pm »
Didn't he just draw 25,000 or so in Portland, Ore.? No big surprise in that crazy town, but I wouldn't count him out just yet - unless he finally flips out over those #blacklivesmatter nuts that keep disrupting his rallies.  :laugh:

So curious that the #blacklivesmatter nutcases keep interrupting the rallies of their best friends...........
Character still matters.  It always matters.

I wear a mask as an exercise in liberty and love for others.  To see it as an infringement of liberty is to entirely miss the point.  Be kind.

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Offline Carling

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2015, 02:40:38 pm »
You're truly a dwarf among internet trolls. I am immune to your nonsense.

I agree.  Your slow play troll game here has been impressive in any definition of trolling.  You didn't fool me from the beginning, but apparently have others here fooled. 
Trump has created a cult and looks more and more like Hitler every day.
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Offline Dexter

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2015, 02:42:13 pm »
So curious that the #blacklivesmatter nutcases keep interrupting the rallies of their best friends...........

Do you think it's possible that the Hillary Clinton camp set that up in an attempt to sabotage him? I know crowds of 20,000+ Bernie supporters have to be making her nervous.
« Last Edit: August 11, 2015, 02:43:35 pm by Dexter »
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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #10 on: August 11, 2015, 02:44:57 pm »
Underestimating Bernie Sanders would be an impressively stupid thing to do.[unless you want a Socialist President]

I saw your post BEFORE you edited it, Dex.

WTF do you think Hillary Clinton is? 

1) She wrote her college thesis title, "There's only the Fight", in which she champions the Saul Alinsky model.

2) She publicly stated that she would like to take the oil companies' profits and redistribute them.

3) She publicly stated that "we need to take some things away from people for the benefit of the common good".

Thought you were smarter than this, Dexter.    :chairbang:
« Last Edit: August 11, 2015, 02:45:43 pm by DCPatriot »
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

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"It was only a sunny smile, and little it cost in the giving, but like morning light it scattered the night and made the day worth living" F. Scott Fitzgerald

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #11 on: August 11, 2015, 02:46:25 pm »
I agree.  Your slow play troll game here has been impressive in any definition of trolling.  You didn't fool me from the beginning, but apparently have others here fooled.

Not me, Carling.  Not me!   :beer:
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

"Journalism is about covering the news.  With a pillow.  Until it stops moving."    - David Burge (Iowahawk)

"It was only a sunny smile, and little it cost in the giving, but like morning light it scattered the night and made the day worth living" F. Scott Fitzgerald

Offline musiclady

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #12 on: August 11, 2015, 02:48:22 pm »
I agree.  Your slow play troll game here has been impressive in any definition of trolling.  You didn't fool me from the beginning, but apparently have others here fooled.

Not me either!
« Last Edit: August 11, 2015, 02:48:46 pm by musiclady »
Character still matters.  It always matters.

I wear a mask as an exercise in liberty and love for others.  To see it as an infringement of liberty is to entirely miss the point.  Be kind.

"Sometimes I think the Church would be better off if we would call a moratorium on activity for about six weeks and just wait on God to see what He is waiting to do for us. That's what they did before Pentecost."   - A. W. Tozer

Use the time God is giving us to seek His will and feel His presence.

Offline Relic

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #13 on: August 11, 2015, 02:59:32 pm »
Not me, Carling.  Not me!   :beer:

Meh. It's pretty clear what Dex is. I've suspected for a long time that he's a reincarnation of Liberal Spy.
It's not really a big deal. He's generally respectful and harmless. He's a heck of a lot better than some of the "conservatives" who seem to start every post with an insult.

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #14 on: August 11, 2015, 03:03:35 pm »
Meh. It's pretty clear what Dex is. I've suspected for a long time that he's a reincarnation of Liberal Spy.
It's not really a big deal. He's generally respectful and harmless. He's a heck of a lot better than some of the "conservatives" who seem to start every post with an insult.

He doesn't bother me either.   But I'd be dishonest not to point out the obvious here.
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

"Journalism is about covering the news.  With a pillow.  Until it stops moving."    - David Burge (Iowahawk)

"It was only a sunny smile, and little it cost in the giving, but like morning light it scattered the night and made the day worth living" F. Scott Fitzgerald

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #15 on: August 11, 2015, 03:05:31 pm »
Quote
I agree.  Your slow play troll game here has been impressive in any definition of trolling.  You didn't fool me from the beginning, but apparently have others here fooled.

I believe that I was among the first to figure him out!
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

Online Lando Lincoln

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #16 on: August 11, 2015, 03:07:30 pm »
So many firsts!!!  All on one thread!   :beer:
There are some among us who live in rooms of experience we can never enter.
John Steinbeck

Offline musiclady

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #17 on: August 11, 2015, 03:10:02 pm »
I believe that I was among the first to figure him out!

I'll fight you for that honor, Bigun!  ^-^
Character still matters.  It always matters.

I wear a mask as an exercise in liberty and love for others.  To see it as an infringement of liberty is to entirely miss the point.  Be kind.

"Sometimes I think the Church would be better off if we would call a moratorium on activity for about six weeks and just wait on God to see what He is waiting to do for us. That's what they did before Pentecost."   - A. W. Tozer

Use the time God is giving us to seek His will and feel His presence.

Offline musiclady

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #18 on: August 11, 2015, 03:12:08 pm »
Meh. It's pretty clear what Dex is. I've suspected for a long time that he's a reincarnation of Liberal Spy.
It's not really a big deal. He's generally respectful and harmless. He's a heck of a lot better than some of the "conservatives" who seem to start every post with an insult.

I agree.  A polite troll is much better than an always nasty 'conservative.'

Besides, it's occasionally enjoyable to parry with a liberal.  Keeps you on your toes!
Character still matters.  It always matters.

I wear a mask as an exercise in liberty and love for others.  To see it as an infringement of liberty is to entirely miss the point.  Be kind.

"Sometimes I think the Church would be better off if we would call a moratorium on activity for about six weeks and just wait on God to see what He is waiting to do for us. That's what they did before Pentecost."   - A. W. Tozer

Use the time God is giving us to seek His will and feel His presence.

Online Bigun

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #19 on: August 11, 2015, 03:36:47 pm »
I'll fight you for that honor, Bigun!  ^-^

I didn't say I was THE first! Just said I was AMONG the first! :whistle:
 
« Last Edit: August 11, 2015, 03:37:21 pm by Bigun »
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

Offline musiclady

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #20 on: August 11, 2015, 03:42:20 pm »
I didn't say I was THE first! Just said I was AMONG the first! :whistle:

We can both share the gold medal!   :beer:
Character still matters.  It always matters.

I wear a mask as an exercise in liberty and love for others.  To see it as an infringement of liberty is to entirely miss the point.  Be kind.

"Sometimes I think the Church would be better off if we would call a moratorium on activity for about six weeks and just wait on God to see what He is waiting to do for us. That's what they did before Pentecost."   - A. W. Tozer

Use the time God is giving us to seek His will and feel His presence.

Online Bigun

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #21 on: August 11, 2015, 03:51:48 pm »
We can both share the gold medal!   :beer:

Naw! It belongs to you. You are MUCH more patient with him than I have been.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

Offline musiclady

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #22 on: August 11, 2015, 04:29:39 pm »
Naw! It belongs to you. You are MUCH more patient with him than I have been.

Well, you know how children need two parents....... one male and one female...... to have two different styles of discipline?

Let's say you're the Dad with the rod, and I'm the Mom with the lecture.   :patriot:
Character still matters.  It always matters.

I wear a mask as an exercise in liberty and love for others.  To see it as an infringement of liberty is to entirely miss the point.  Be kind.

"Sometimes I think the Church would be better off if we would call a moratorium on activity for about six weeks and just wait on God to see what He is waiting to do for us. That's what they did before Pentecost."   - A. W. Tozer

Use the time God is giving us to seek His will and feel His presence.

Offline Dexter

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #23 on: August 11, 2015, 07:37:36 pm »
Thought you were smarter than this, Dexter.    :chairbang:

Apparently not.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing."
-Socrates

Offline Dexter

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Re: The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
« Reply #24 on: August 11, 2015, 07:39:16 pm »
polite troll

A polite troll is not a troll. A troll is rude and seeks to upset people. I haven't done that in the nearly two years I've been posting here.
« Last Edit: August 11, 2015, 07:43:32 pm by Dexter »
"I know one thing, that I know nothing."
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