Boom: Data Analyst Delivers 'Big Time Reality Check' for Dems on Midterms
By Nick Arama | 2:55 PM on May 12, 2026The opinions expressed by contributors are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of RedState.com.
Midterms are getting closer, and Republicans are going to need to go all in to show they are the better choice. Midterms historically tend to run against the party in power, so they have that deficit up front.
But wins in the redistricting battle have been buoying Republican hopes. Plus, it's been quite something to watch Democrats like House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (NY-08) lose their minds and attack the courts when they lose. It's why they're screaming and scrambling to stop the GOP redistricting wins, even postulating nutty schemes like trying to boot the Virginia Supreme Court judges who voted in a way they didn't like.
Heartbreak for Dems As VA Senate Majority Leader Delivers Crushing Blow to Latest Gerrymander Scheme
Now CNN senior data analyst Harry Enten has some more good news for Republicans and what he termed "a big time reality check" for Democrats.
Enten explained that not only hadn't Democrats' generic Congressional ballot lead expanded; it had, in fact, shrunk since March. They had been up six points in March, but now it was only three points, with "no clear leader" and "within the margin of error," Enten emphasized.
https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2026/05/12/data-analyst-delivers-some-bad-news-for-dems-on-midterms-n2202254