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Mothers and fathers die. For the population to remain constant, the two of them need to produce about 2.1 children on average in order to replace themselves. (The extra 0.1 is necessary to offset the deaths of children who never reach reproductive age.) This figure is called the “fertility rate.”Recent data shows that the fertility rate in the United States is nowhere near that 2.1 figure. It has instead dropped to an all-time low of about 1.6. American woman on average give birth to only 1.6 children.This raises a question: How fast will our population decline due to our low fertility rate of 1.6 compared to the replacement rate of 2.1?The answer is, pretty fast. At our current fertility rate of 1.6, the U.S. population will decline by 50% in 77 years.morehttps://theaspenbeat.com/2026/04/09/shrinking-america-the-population-will-soon-decline-by-50/