Natural Forces Drove 2023 Warming Spike, Not Human Emissions
Variables like the 2022 Honga Tonga eruption likely triggered the global warming spike—not rising emissions.
by Frank Bosse with Pierre Gosselin July 28, 2025, 11:14 AM
We remember: by mid-2023, the data on global temperatures had shown a very marked increase. It had gotten warmer globally quite quickly, by an incredible 0.5°C compared to 2022. [emphasis, links added]
This led to a new record for the year being announced in 2024. The German public television Tagesschau (and many other media) did so in great detail.
The whole (climate) world asked about the cause. The Tagesschau correctly concluded that the (rather mediocre) El Nino could only make a very small contribution in the second half of 2023.
Looking at the temporal change, the rise in global temperatures occurred simultaneously with the El Niño rise in ocean temperatures in the tropical East Pacific (an area called “Niño 3.4”), which was already an indication that this was not where the problem lay: the lag is usually three months for global temperatures to follow Niño 3.4.
https://climatechangedispatch.com/natural-forces-2023-warming/