Prominent Election Expert Flags Largely ‘Ignored’ Metric Suggesting 2026 Could Be Good Year For House GOP
Photo of Jason Cohen Jason CohenMay 24, 20250
https://dailycaller.com/University of Virginia Center for Politics Director Larry Sabato on a Friday podcast pointed to a largely overlooked indicator that suggests Republicans could maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) published a poll in April that it says indicates “Republicans are in a strong position to defend and grow the House majority heading into 2026.” Sabato said on “Raging Moderates” that he personally does not believe Republicans will maintain control of the House, but highlighted an analysis published on May 14 in his Crystal Ball newsletter showing the public expects the GOP to succeed — an indicator he said has frequently proven reliable.
“What are we predicting so far? It would be nearly impossible to predict that Republicans would hold the House, although we’ve just published an analysis in the Crystal Ball from some distinguished political scientists who have used another measure — a measure that has been ignored for the most part: what does the public think will happen? Which party do they believe will hold on? Well, it’s early, but even the early predictions often have been right from the public,” Sabato said. “And they seem to think Republicans will hang on to both the House and Senate.”
https://conservativedailynews.com/2025/05/prominent-election-expert-flags-largely-ignored-metric-suggesting-2026-could-be-good-year-for-house-gop/
