Trump sows election doubts, at odds with Pennsylvania GOP confidence

[bigheadfred]

Last I knew, Nate Silver was giving Trump an 85% chance of winning the electoral.

[catfish1957]

Last I knew, Nate Silver was giving Trump an 85% chance of winning the electoral.

Silver's update this morning....

"Instead, it’s all in line with a race that’s really and truly close to 50/50. We’ll very likely have another update in the PM."

[jafo2010]

This election would not be remotely close if it was honest.

TRUMP MUST WIN BY A NUMBER GREATER THAN THE MARGIN OF ERROR IN EVERY TOSS UP STATE.  I AM 100% CERTAIN THE DEMS HAVE PREPARED MORE THAN 1 MILLION PHONY BALLOTS IN JUST PENNSYLVANIA ALONE.

        YOU MUST VOTE...YOU MUST VOTE...YOU MUST VOTE

                                                 TO WIN!

[catfish1957]

Here's a little more analysis to show how close this is in the Rust Belt if polls are correct.

0.3% in WI, based on '20 votes total  is 9,600 votes
0.3% in Mi , based on '20 votes total  is 16,500 votes
0.3% in PA  based on ' 20 votes total is 20,400 votes   

That's a final total of 46,500 votes that could w flip the election to Harris.  Hate to tell you folks, with 90% certainty, I think Harris' sleazy corrupt campaign easily has that many in the bag already

[bigheadfred]

Here's a little more analysis to show how close this is in the Rust Belt if polls are correct.

0.3% in WI, based on '20 votes total  is 9,600 votes
0.3% in Mi , based on '20 votes total  is 16,500 votes
0.3% in PA  based on ' 20 votes total is 20,400 votes   

That's a final total of 46,500 votes that could w flip the election to Harris.  Hate to tell you folks, with 90% certainty, I think Harris' sleazy corrupt campaign easily has that many in the bag already

What was early voting showing?  That may be the biggest game changer.

[cato potatoe]

No need to berate the potential voters.  This is a horrible closing message, and it’s all on Trump. 

[cato potatoe]

What was early voting showing?  That may be the biggest game changer.

Good in Wisconsin, so-so in Michigan, bad in Pennsylvania.

[libertybele]

Good in Wisconsin, so-so in Michigan, bad in Pennsylvania.

For what it's worth -- I just received a text that 199,000+ ballots have not been received nor counted in PA.

Election day/night is not here.  Election Day is Tuesday. 

This is why early voting is so dangerous -- counting votes BEFORE Election Day is wrong in so many ways.

It discourages those who haven't been able to vote yet. 

Get out and Vote!! 

[catfish1957]

What was early voting showing?  That may be the biggest game changer.

The overall message in WI, MI, and PA?   Good news on GOP registration and early voting numbers , offset by crazy gender numbers that have women making up anywhere from 52-55% of the total electorate.  Really hard to say, but my guess is might be a wash, 

[catfish1957]

For what it's worth -- I just received a text that 199,000+ ballots have not been received nor counted in PA.

And why in this and the other rust belt dim run states, that these "uncounted" might allow  Franken like shenanigans.  Much like 2020.

[cato potatoe]

Silver's update this morning....

"Instead, it’s all in line with a race that’s really and truly close to 50/50. We’ll very likely have another update in the PM."

There is conflicting information with state polls vs. the national popular vote.  The nationwide margin has moved by roughly 5 points, but that is about the largest shift you will find in any state poll.  The rust belt is virtually identical to 2020, and that would require a big move somewhere else.  So either she’s winning the popular vote or some of these state polls are bogus (again).

[catfish1957]

There is conflicting information with state polls vs. the national popular vote.  The nationwide margin has moved by roughly 5 points, but that is about the largest shift you will find in any state poll.  The rust belt is virtually identical to 2020, and that would require a big move somewhere else.  So either she’s winning the popular vote or some of these state polls are bogus (again).

Yeah, I kind of see that too.  It's like Trump has made some gains in the non-Swing states, but has faltered in the rust belt 3 of the Super 7.

But, there is no doubt that those 3 lean left generally more than those in the sun belt.  I kind of chalk it up to a phenomenon where you see  many of the pissed electorate gravitate back to their home base, as the election nears.

[mystery-ak]

He's sounding good at the Kinston, North Carolina rally...maybe he had a nap on the plane

[libertybele]

And why in this and the other rust belt dim run states, that these "uncounted" might allow  Franken like shenanigans.  Much like 2020.

@catfish1957 pray and think positive

[Bigun]

My Wisconsin vote is a difference maker.

 

[libertybele]

He's sounding good at the Kinston, North Carolina rally...maybe he had a nap on the plane

I don't know of anyone other than Trump who can go through what he's been through during his presidency, been in and out of court, falsely accused, and has continued to do rallies for the past several years and has made a concentrated effort to do several campaign stops each day and still have the energy he exudes.

Yes, I saw a portion of the rally and read the article which didn't help maters.... but .... keep praying.  He's going to win this one! People still need to get out and vote!

[jafo2010]

                              A   N   D          V   O   T   E  !

All of you that are conservative, and reluctant to support Trump for various reasons, please vote.  Trump will need millions of votes in just the toss up states to break even with the corrupt Democommie machine.

[catfish1957]

Agreed.  And the crowd in that camp here, sure has been quiet lately.

As anti-Trump as I was earlier, I fully understand the alternative is 100X worse.  If and when we lose the Republic, there will be moments we remember and look back on in regret,.  I hope those still on the fence realize that. 

I for one am exhausted monitoring this thing, and really want it to be over.

[jafo2010]

Everyone wants the election over.

But what every person visiting this site should know, is that if you want a government operating EXACTLY LIKE RUSSIA, where freedom continues to dissipate into thin air in the USA, and once gone, gone forever, then vote for the Democommies.

If you want to return our republic, and it has been stolen with the fixed election of 2020, the only hope is electing Trump.

They are talking about one party winning everything.  Bottomline, that will never happen.  Even with a majority held by either party in the Senate, it is NOT a voting majority.  A simple majority means nothing almost in the Senate.  Appointments yes, legislation no.  Takes 60% plurality to make a difference in the Senate.  And that will almost never happen.

[Fishrrman]

I made my predictions and comments in another thread.

But "Pennsylvania is the keystone" this time around.
Whoever wins there, wins the election.

I don't see Mr. Trump winning either Michigan or Wisconsin.
It's P. A., or the highway.

[cato potatoe]

I made my predictions and comments in another thread.

But "Pennsylvania is the keystone" this time around.
Whoever wins there, wins the election.

I don't see Mr. Trump winning either Michigan or Wisconsin.
It's P. A., or the highway.

You might get a surprise out of Michigan.  Black, muslim, and other arab voters are suppressed or supporting Trump.  Around 240k muslims registered to vote in Michigan, and 870k blacks.  Trump lost Michigan by 154k.  Republicans have thus far turned out as 42% of voters while only being 30% of registrants.  It will be close.

I can come up with as many reasons as not that Trump will win all 3 states.